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縱觀歷史,每當美國意識到其在全球經濟中的主導地位受到威脅時,金價就會飆升,圍繞金本位的爭論就會升溫。
Throughout history, gold has symbolized stability during economic crises. In the late 1990s, figures like Peter Schiff championed gold as the ultimate monetary standard, much like today’s Bitcoin advocates.
縱觀歷史,黃金在經濟危機期間一直象徵著穩定。 20 世紀 90 年代末,彼得希夫 (Peter Schiff) 等人物擁護黃金作為最終貨幣標準,就像今天的比特幣倡導者一樣。
But the U.S. has time and again refused to go back to the gold standard despite financial crises, instead choosing new ways of doing economics. Now, BTC seems to occupy that very ideological space once reserved for gold. Ki Young Ju, Founder & CEO of CryptoQuant, made this parallel and asked whether the U.S. would position Bitcoin as a strategic asset.
但儘管面臨金融危機,美國卻一再拒絕回歸金本位,反而選擇新的經濟發展方式。現在,比特幣似乎佔據了曾經為黃金保留的意識形態空間。 CryptoQuant 創辦人兼執行長 Ki Young Ju 也做出了同樣的比喻,並詢問美國是否會將比特幣定位為戰略資產。
Throughout history, whenever the United States perceived a threat to its dominance in the global economy, gold prices surged, and debates around the gold standard gained traction.
縱觀歷史,每當美國意識到其在全球經濟中的主導地位受到威脅時,金價就會飆升,圍繞金本位的爭論就會升溫。
In the late 1990s, Peter Schiff championed gold as the true form of money, much like today’s Bitcoin proponents. But the U.S. has consistently refused to go back to the gold standard despite financial crises, opting instead for new economic strategies.
20 世紀 90 年代末,Peter Schiff 擁護黃金作為貨幣的真正形式,就像今天的比特幣支持者一樣。但儘管發生了金融危機,美國始終拒絕回歸金本位,而是選擇了新的經濟策略。
Now, BTC appears to be occupying the same ideological space that was once reserved for gold. Ki Young Ju, Founder & CEO of CryptoQuant, has drawn this parallel and is wondering whether the U.S. will eventually position Bitcoin as a strategic asset.
現在,比特幣似乎佔據了曾經為黃金保留的相同意識形態空間。 CryptoQuant 創辦人兼執行長 Ki Young Ju 進行了類似的比較,並想知道美國最終是否會將比特幣定位為戰略資產。
If we look at the U.S. economic strategy throughout history, whenever it felt threatened in the global economy, gold prices went up, and there were always these discussions about the gold standard coming back.
如果我們回顧美國歷史上的經濟戰略,每當它感覺到全球經濟受到威脅時,金價就會上漲,並且總是有關於金本位回歸的討論。
While BTC adherents foresee a future whereby the US will adopt the virtual currency as a hedge against economic risk, for now, market sentiment places an exceptionally heavy premium on continued dollar dominance.
儘管比特幣擁護者預計未來美國將採用虛擬貨幣來對沖經濟風險,但目前市場情緒對美元持續主導地位給予了極高的評價。
For the U.S. to seriously consider the adoption of BTC, there would need to be a real challenge to its global economic hegemony. For now, the dollar is still believed in, and global capital continues to pour into U.S. markets as a sign of confidence in its resilience.
美國要認真考慮採用比特幣,就需要對其全球經濟霸權發動真正的挑戰。目前,美元仍被看好,全球資本持續湧入美國市場,顯示對其韌性充滿信心。
Trump’s Ambiguous Bitcoin Stance
川普模稜兩可的比特幣立場
Former U.S. President Donald Trump has made a career out of touting American economic supremacy. On the campaign trail, the way he spoke about BTC marked him as a likely crypto ally.
美國前總統川普以宣揚美國經濟霸權為職業。在競選過程中,他談論 BTC 的方式表明他可能是加密貨幣盟友。
But if there is one thing to be taken from the Trump record, it is that he approaches virtually everything with a calculating sense of political expedience.
但如果說從川普的記錄中可以看出一件事,那就是他幾乎以一種精明的政治權宜之計對待所有事情。
If Trump goes ahead with boosting the dollar and giving more confidence in the U.S. economic sphere, it could play second fiddle to all of his BTC advocacy. Most politicians’ priorities seem to change after election; on separate occasions, Trump has already shown the ability to take a pragmatic view of top issues without pissing off his supporters.
如果川普繼續提振美元並增強人們對美國經濟領域的信心,這可能會取代他所有的比特幣倡議。大多數政客的優先事項似乎在選舉後發生了變化。川普已經在不同場合表現出了在不激怒其支持者的情況下對重大問題採取務實態度的能力。
Bitcoin’s Role In Future U.S. Policies
比特幣在美國未來政策中的作用
The role of Bitcoin in economic strategy is far from articulated. While Trump’s BTC Conference remarks were pro-BTC, they still seemed more a function of votes than policy. In the meantime, BTC can be seen as symbolic instead of practical, like a form of gold.
比特幣在經濟戰略中的作用還遠未闡明。儘管川普在 BTC 會議上的言論是支持 BTC 的,但它們似乎仍然更多是選票而不是政策的角色。同時,比特幣可以被視為象徵性的而非實用性的,就像黃金的一種形式。
The dollar remains the safe haven of choice globally, with South Koreans still favoring it over gold or Bitcoin, especially with the won weakening—a sign of its enduring strength.
美元仍然是全球首選的避風港,韓國人仍然青睞美元而不是黃金或比特幣,特別是在韓元走弱的情況下——這是韓元持久強勢的跡象。
While Bitcoin may continue to attract ideological supporters, its role in the U.S. financial system depends on larger geopolitical and economic shifts. Until then, BTC remains more of a speculative asset than a strategic pillar of U.S. policy.
雖然比特幣可能會繼續吸引意識形態支持者,但它在美國金融體系中的作用取決於更大的地緣政治和經濟變化。在那之前,比特幣仍然是一種投機資產,而不是美國政策的戰略支柱。
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