XRP（XRP）市場正在閃爍警告標誌，因為看跌技術模式在其每週圖表上出現

XLM下降三角模式的提示為40％。自2024年後期集會以來，XRP價格圖一直在形成潛在的三角形模式

The XRP (XRP) market is flashing warning signs as a bearish technical pattern emerges on its weekly chart, coinciding with macroeconomic pressures from anticipated US tariffs in April.

XRP（XRP）市場正在閃爍警告標誌，因為看跌技術模式在其每週圖表上出現，這與4月預期的美國關稅的宏觀經濟壓力相吻合。

XRP descending triangle pattern hints at 40% drop

XRP下降三角形圖案提示為40％

Since its late 2024 rally, the XRP price chart has been forming a potential triangle pattern on its weekly chart, characterized by a flat support level at around $1.32 and a downward-sloping resistance line.

自2024年後期集會以來，XRP價格圖一直在其每週圖表上形成潛在的三角形模式，其特徵是平面支撐級別約1.32美元左右，並且阻力下降。

A descending triangle pattern forming after a strong uptrend is seen as a bearish reversal indicator. As a rule, the setup resolves when the price breaks below the flat support level and falls by as much as the triangle’s maximum height.

強大上升趨勢後形成的下降三角形模式被視為看跌逆轉指標。通常，當價格突破以下時，設置會解決，並下降到三角形的最大高度。

XRP/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

XRP/USD每週價格圖表。資料來源：TradingView

As of March 28, XRP was testing the triangle’s support for a potential breakdown move. In this case, the price may fall toward the downside target at around $1.32 by April, presenting a potential 40% drop from current price levels.

截至3月28日，XRP正在測試三角對潛在崩潰動作的支持。在這種情況下，到4月份的價格可能會降至1.32美元左右，從目前的價格水平下降了40％。

XRP’s descending triangle target aligns closely with veteran trader Peter Brandt’s prediction, who anticipates a possible decline to as low as $1.07 due to a “textbook” head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the daily chart.

XRP的下降三角目標與經驗豐富的商人彼得·布蘭特（Peter Brandt）的預測緊密相吻合，他預計由於每日圖表上形成了“教科書”的頭和肩模式，可能會下降到1.07美元。

XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: Peter Brandt

XRP/USD每日價格圖。資料來源：彼得·布蘭特

Conversely, a rebound from the triangle’s support level could lead the price toward its upper trendline at around $2.55. A clear breakout above this resistance level threatens to invalidate the bearish structures and send the price toward the previous high of $3.35.

相反，從三角形的支持水平反彈可能會將價格帶到其上層趨勢線約為2.55美元左右。高於此阻力水平的明顯突破有可能使看跌結構無效，並將價格發送到先前的3.35美元。

Trump tariffs could amplify XRP sell-off

特朗普的關稅可能會擴大XRP拋售

The broader market has grown increasingly cautious in response to President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on auto imports, set to take effect on April 3.

對於唐納德·特朗普總統對汽車進口的25％關稅，越來越多的市場越來越謹慎，將於4月3日生效。

These tariffs are expected to result in higher prices for US manufacturers and consumers. The February 2025 US CPI report already showed a 0.2% month-over-month increase.

預計這些關稅將為美國製造商和消費者帶來更高的價格。 2025年2月的美國CPI報告已經顯示，每月增長了0.2％。

St. Louis Federal Reserve President Alberto Musalem estimated that these tariffs might contribute approximately 1.2 percentage points to inflation, with about 0.5 percentage points stemming from direct effects and 0.7 percentage points from indirect effects.

聖路易斯美聯儲主席阿爾貝托·穆薩勒姆（Alberto Musalem）估計，這些關稅可能會給通貨膨脹率約1.2個百分點，約0.5個百分點源於直接效應，而間接影響的0.7個百分點。

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates to a target range of 400–425 basis points in June has fallen to 55.7% as of March 28, a decrease from 67.3% a week earlier and 58.4% just one day ago.

根據CME FedWatch工具的數據，截至3月28日，聯邦儲備降低率降低到6月28日的目標範圍為400-425個基點的可能性下降到55.7％，從一周前的67.3％下降，僅在一天前58.4％。

Target rate probabilities for the June Fed meeting. Source: CME

六月美聯儲會議的目標利率概率。資料來源：CME

A delayed rate cut would reduce the flow of capital into speculative markets, stalling the momentum for XRP and other digital assets that thrive in a low-rate, risk-on environment.

延遲降低的稅率將減少資本流入投機市場，從而阻止XRP和其他在低利率，風險的環境中蓬勃發展的數字資產的勢頭。