XRP（XRP）市场正在闪烁警告标志，因为看跌技术模式在其每周图表上出现

XLM下降三角模式的提示为40％。自2024年后期集会以来，XRP价格图一直在形成潜在的三角形模式

The XRP (XRP) market is flashing warning signs as a bearish technical pattern emerges on its weekly chart, coinciding with macroeconomic pressures from anticipated US tariffs in April.

XRP（XRP）市场正在闪烁警告标志，因为看跌技术模式在其每周图表上出现，这与4月预期的美国关税的宏观经济压力相吻合。

XRP descending triangle pattern hints at 40% drop

XRP下降三角形图案提示为40％

Since its late 2024 rally, the XRP price chart has been forming a potential triangle pattern on its weekly chart, characterized by a flat support level at around $1.32 and a downward-sloping resistance line.

自2024年后期集会以来，XRP价格图一直在其每周图表上形成潜在的三角形模式，其特征是平面支撑级别约1.32美元左右，并且阻力下降。

A descending triangle pattern forming after a strong uptrend is seen as a bearish reversal indicator. As a rule, the setup resolves when the price breaks below the flat support level and falls by as much as the triangle’s maximum height.

强大上升趋势后形成的下降三角形模式被视为看跌逆转指标。通常，当价格突破以下时，设置会解决，并下降到三角形的最大高度。

XRP/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

XRP/USD每周价格图表。资料来源：TradingView

As of March 28, XRP was testing the triangle’s support for a potential breakdown move. In this case, the price may fall toward the downside target at around $1.32 by April, presenting a potential 40% drop from current price levels.

截至3月28日，XRP正在测试三角对潜在崩溃动作的支持。在这种情况下，到4月份的价格可能会降至1.32美元左右，从目前的价格水平下降了40％。

XRP’s descending triangle target aligns closely with veteran trader Peter Brandt’s prediction, who anticipates a possible decline to as low as $1.07 due to a “textbook” head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the daily chart.

XRP的下降三角目标与经验丰富的商人彼得·布兰特（Peter Brandt）的预测紧密相吻合，他预计由于每日图表上形成了“教科书”的头和肩模式，可能会下降到1.07美元。

XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: Peter Brandt

XRP/USD每日价格图。资料来源：彼得·布兰特

Conversely, a rebound from the triangle’s support level could lead the price toward its upper trendline at around $2.55. A clear breakout above this resistance level threatens to invalidate the bearish structures and send the price toward the previous high of $3.35.

相反，从三角形的支持水平反弹可能会将价格带到其上层趋势线约为2.55美元左右。高于此阻力水平的明显突破有可能使看跌结构无效，并将价格发送到先前的3.35美元。

Trump tariffs could amplify XRP sell-off

特朗普的关税可能会扩大XRP抛售

The broader market has grown increasingly cautious in response to President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on auto imports, set to take effect on April 3.

对于唐纳德·特朗普总统对汽车进口的25％关税，越来越多的市场越来越谨慎，将于4月3日生效。

These tariffs are expected to result in higher prices for US manufacturers and consumers. The February 2025 US CPI report already showed a 0.2% month-over-month increase.

预计这些关税将为美国制造商和消费者带来更高的价格。 2025年2月的美国CPI报告已经显示，每月增长了0.2％。

St. Louis Federal Reserve President Alberto Musalem estimated that these tariffs might contribute approximately 1.2 percentage points to inflation, with about 0.5 percentage points stemming from direct effects and 0.7 percentage points from indirect effects.

圣路易斯美联储主席阿尔贝托·穆萨勒姆（Alberto Musalem）估计，这些关税可能会给通货膨胀率约1.2个百分点，约0.5个百分点源于直接效应，而间接影响的0.7个百分点。

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates to a target range of 400–425 basis points in June has fallen to 55.7% as of March 28, a decrease from 67.3% a week earlier and 58.4% just one day ago.

根据CME FedWatch工具的数据，截至3月28日，联邦储备降低率降低到6月28日的目标范围为400-425个基点的可能性下降到55.7％，从一周前的67.3％下降，仅在一天前58.4％。

Target rate probabilities for the June Fed meeting. Source: CME

六月美联储会议的目标利率概率。资料来源：CME

A delayed rate cut would reduce the flow of capital into speculative markets, stalling the momentum for XRP and other digital assets that thrive in a low-rate, risk-on environment.

延迟降低的税率将减少资本流入投机市场，从而阻止XRP和其他在低利率，风险的环境中蓬勃发展的数字资产的势头。