TON（開放網路）區塊鏈見證了交易數量份額的急劇下降

TON（開放網路）區塊鏈在第一層區塊鏈中的交易數量份額急劇下降——從 2024 年 9 月的約 50% 降至截至 10 月 7 日的約 30%。

The Open Network (TON) blockchain has experienced a significant decrease in its share of transactions among layer-one blockchains, dropping from around 50% in September 2024 to approximately 30% as of Oct. 7.

開放網路（TON）區塊鏈在第一層區塊鏈中的交易份額大幅下降，從 2024 年 9 月的 50% 左右下降到截至 10 月 7 日的約 30%。

According to data from Footprint Analytics, TON processed about 212.5 million transactions by the end of September, compared to its earlier peak performance. This rapid decline raises concerns about TON’s competitiveness, especially against other major Layer-1 networks like Solana and Ethereum, which have maintained higher transaction volumes.

根據 Footprint Analytics 的數據，截至 9 月底，TON 處理了約 2.125 億筆交易，相比先前的峰值表現。這種快速下降引發了人們對 TON 競爭力的擔憂，尤其是相對於 Solana 和以太坊等其他主要的 Layer-1 網絡，這些網絡一直保持著較高的交易量。

Factors Contributing to the Decline in Transaction Activity

導致交易活動下降的因素

One of the main reasons for this decline is the rise of other Layer-1 blockchains, such as Arbitrum, Avalanche, and Ethereum, which offer faster transactions and lower fees, making them more appealing to developers and users. Notably, Solana processed over 1.1 billion transactions in September 2024, far outpacing TON's activity.

這種下降的主要原因之一是其他Layer-1 區塊鏈的崛起，例如Arbitrum、Avalanche 和以太坊，它們提供更快的交易和更低的費用，使它們對開發人員和用戶更具吸引力。值得注意的是，Solana 在 2024 年 9 月處理了超過 11 億筆交易，遠遠超過 TON 的活動。

Moreover, Ethereum has maintained its dominance through upgrades like the Ethereum Improvement Proposal (EIP), which reduces block creation times and enhances the network's overall efficiency.

此外，以太坊透過以太坊改進提案（EIP）等升級保持了其主導地位，該提案減少了區塊創建時間並提高了網路的整體效率。

External factors have also impacted TON's decline. For instance, the recent arrest of Pavel Durov, the CEO of Telegram, caused a sharp drop in the price of Toncoin, the native token of the TON blockchain. Following Durov's arrest, Toncoin's value decreased by 25%. This event triggered a wave of sell-offs, contributing to a broader decline in both network activity and token value.

外部因素也影響了 TON 的下滑。例如，最近 Telegram 執行長 Pavel Durov 被捕，導致 TON 區塊鏈的原生代幣 Toncoin 的價格大幅下跌。杜羅夫被捕後，Toncoin 的價值下跌了 25%。這起事件引發了一波拋售潮，導致網路活動和代幣價值出現更廣泛的下跌。

Bearish Signals Emerging for TON

TON 出現看跌訊號

While TON's transaction activity has been declining, its price is also facing bearish pressure. The TON/USDT pair recently broke down from a rising wedge pattern, which is typically considered a bearish signal that could lead to further declines. Currently, the price hovers around $5.23 after failing to hold support at $5.31.

在TON的交易活躍度不斷下降的同時，其價格也面臨看跌壓力。 TON/USDT 貨幣對最近從上升楔形形態中突破，這通常被認為是可能導致進一步下跌的看跌信號。目前，在未能守住 5.31 美元的支撐位後，價格徘徊在 5.23 美元左右。

Technical indicators also align with the bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates more room for downward movement, currently at 43.74. Additionally, the exponential moving averages (EMAs) for the 20, 50, 100, and 200-day periods have crossed into bearish territory, suggesting continued selling pressure.

技術指標也與看跌趨勢一致。相對強弱指數（RSI）顯示下行空間較大，目前為 43.74。此外，20、50、100 和 200 天週期的指數移動平均線 (EMA) 已進入看跌區域，顯示拋售壓力持續存在。

Key support at $4.81 remains crucial for TON. However, a break below this level could accelerate the decline to around $4.62.

4.81 美元的關鍵支撐對 TON 仍然至關重要。然而，跌破該水平可能會加速跌至 4.62 美元左右。