TON（开放网络）区块链见证了交易数量份额的急剧下降

TON（开放网络）区块链在第一层区块链中的交易数量份额急剧下降——从 2024 年 9 月的约 50% 降至截至 10 月 7 日的约 30%。

The Open Network (TON) blockchain has experienced a significant decrease in its share of transactions among layer-one blockchains, dropping from around 50% in September 2024 to approximately 30% as of Oct. 7.

开放网络（TON）区块链在第一层区块链中的交易份额大幅下降，从 2024 年 9 月的 50% 左右下降到截至 10 月 7 日的约 30%。

According to data from Footprint Analytics, TON processed about 212.5 million transactions by the end of September, compared to its earlier peak performance. This rapid decline raises concerns about TON’s competitiveness, especially against other major Layer-1 networks like Solana and Ethereum, which have maintained higher transaction volumes.

根据 Footprint Analytics 的数据，截至 9 月底，TON 处理了约 2.125 亿笔交易，相比之前的峰值表现。这种快速下降引发了人们对 TON 竞争力的担忧，尤其是相对于 Solana 和以太坊等其他主要的 Layer-1 网络，这些网络一直保持着较高的交易量。

Factors Contributing to the Decline in Transaction Activity

导致交易活动下降的因素

One of the main reasons for this decline is the rise of other Layer-1 blockchains, such as Arbitrum, Avalanche, and Ethereum, which offer faster transactions and lower fees, making them more appealing to developers and users. Notably, Solana processed over 1.1 billion transactions in September 2024, far outpacing TON's activity.

这种下降的主要原因之一是其他 Layer-1 区块链的崛起，例如 Arbitrum、Avalanche 和以太坊，它们提供更快的交易和更低的费用，使它们对开发人员和用户更具吸引力。值得注意的是，Solana 在 2024 年 9 月处理了超过 11 亿笔交易，远远超过 TON 的活动。

Moreover, Ethereum has maintained its dominance through upgrades like the Ethereum Improvement Proposal (EIP), which reduces block creation times and enhances the network's overall efficiency.

此外，以太坊通过以太坊改进提案（EIP）等升级保持了其主导地位，该提案减少了区块创建时间并提高了网络的整体效率。

External factors have also impacted TON's decline. For instance, the recent arrest of Pavel Durov, the CEO of Telegram, caused a sharp drop in the price of Toncoin, the native token of the TON blockchain. Following Durov's arrest, Toncoin's value decreased by 25%. This event triggered a wave of sell-offs, contributing to a broader decline in both network activity and token value.

外部因素也影响了 TON 的下滑。例如，最近 Telegram 首席执行官 Pavel Durov 被捕，导致 TON 区块链的原生代币 Toncoin 的价格大幅下跌。杜罗夫被捕后，Toncoin 的价值下跌了 25%。这一事件引发了一波抛售潮，导致网络活动和代币价值出现更广泛的下跌。

Bearish Signals Emerging for TON

TON 出现看跌信号

While TON's transaction activity has been declining, its price is also facing bearish pressure. The TON/USDT pair recently broke down from a rising wedge pattern, which is typically considered a bearish signal that could lead to further declines. Currently, the price hovers around $5.23 after failing to hold support at $5.31.

在TON的交易活跃度不断下降的同时，其价格也面临看跌压力。 TON/USDT 货币对最近从上升楔形形态中突破，这通常被认为是可能导致进一步下跌的看跌信号。目前，在未能守住 5.31 美元的支撑位后，价格徘徊在 5.23 美元左右。

Technical indicators also align with the bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates more room for downward movement, currently at 43.74. Additionally, the exponential moving averages (EMAs) for the 20, 50, 100, and 200-day periods have crossed into bearish territory, suggesting continued selling pressure.

技术指标也与看跌趋势一致。相对强弱指数（RSI）显示下行空间更大，目前为 43.74。此外，20、50、100 和 200 天周期的指数移动平均线 (EMA) 已进入看跌区域，表明抛售压力持续存在。

Key support at $4.81 remains crucial for TON. However, a break below this level could accelerate the decline to around $4.62.

4.81 美元的关键支撑对 TON 仍然至关重要。然而，跌破该水平可能会加速跌至 4.62 美元左右。