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即使股市經歷了艱難的時期,比特幣一直保持強大。但是,專家認為這可能不會持續。
Bitcoin has been remarkably resilient despite the turbulent times in the stock market. However, experts believe this might not last.
儘管股票市場上的動盪時期,比特幣仍然非常有彈性。但是,專家認為這可能不會持續。
Analysts at Matrixport suggest that Bitcoin could begin moving in tandem with the stock market, especially following Donald Trump's new tariff plans. The president is set to unveil tariffs on 15 countries, including China, Canada, and Mexico.
Matrixport的分析師表明,比特幣可以開始與股票市場同時發展,尤其是在唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的新關稅計劃之後。總統將在包括中國,加拿大和墨西哥在內的15個國家 /地區公佈關稅。
As a result of these tariffs, investors could pull back from riskier assets like Bitcoin, potentially causing its price to decline.
由於這些關稅,投資者可以從比特幣等風險較高的資產中退縮,這可能導致其價格下降。
Crypto analyst Markus Thielen also anticipates Bitcoin's price to move in line with equities due to the broader market shift.
加密分析師Markus Thielen還預計比特幣的價格會隨著更大的市場轉移而與股票相符。
"We expect BTC to move in tandem with equities as the broader market adjusts. At present, BTC funding rates are slightly positive, and there are fewer traders in the market, displaying caution. Traders are not yet making any significant moves."
“我們預計,隨著更廣泛的市場調整,BTC將與股票同行。目前,BTC的融資率略有積極,市場上的交易者較少,謹慎行事。交易者尚未採取任何重大舉措。”
This indicates that investors are currently playing it safe and observing the market trends closely.
這表明投資者目前正在安全地發揮作用,並密切關注市場趨勢。
Aran Hawker, CEO of CoinPanel, further explained how major economic shifts can affect Bitcoin.
Coinpanel首席執行官Aran Hawker進一步解釋了重大經濟轉變如何影響比特幣。
"The Nasdaq's role as a lead indicator in the current risk-off move offers a useful benchmark for attributing parallel weakness across the digital assets market. In essence, if the stock market declines, anticipate Bitcoin to follow suit."
“納斯達克作為當前風險舉動中的主要指標的作用為歸因於整個數字資產市場的平行弱點提供了有用的基準。本質上,如果股市下降,則預計比特幣會效仿。”
Meanwhile, Bitcoin's price has been hovering in a narrow range over the last few weeks. It soared to a record high of $108,000 in January but slid below $90,000 last week.
同時,在過去的幾周中,比特幣的價格一直在狹窄的範圍內徘徊。一月份,它飆升至創紀錄的108,000美元,但上週滑低於90,000美元。
However, some experts believe that Trump's tariff plan could actually help Bitcoin in the long run.
但是,一些專家認為,從長遠來看,特朗普的關稅計劃實際上可以幫助比特幣。
Columbia Business School professor Omid Malekan says Bitcoin could become a safe asset, just like gold.
哥倫比亞商學院教授Omid Malekan說,比特幣可能像黃金一樣成為安全的資產。
"Bitcoin has found footing in some circles as 'digital gold,' and the physical variety is soaring on the tariff news. Some investors may start seeing Bitcoin as a safer place to put their money."
“比特幣在某些圈子中找到了'數字黃金'的地位,而物理品種在關稅新聞上飆升。一些投資者可能會開始將比特幣視為投入錢的更安全的地方。”
However, economist Peter Schiff, a long-time Bitcoin critic, says Bitcoin is too risky.
但是,長期的比特幣評論家彼得·希夫(Peter Schiff)說,比特幣太冒險了。
"Maybe they can buy more gold, or perhaps some physical Bitcoin, though I’d prefer the gold. It’s a digital risk in a risk-off market. I don't think people will start buying more Bitcoin because of the tariffs."
“也許他們可以購買更多的黃金,或者也許可以買一些物理比特幣,儘管我更喜歡黃金。這是冒險市場中的數字風險。我認為人們不會因為關稅而開始購買更多的比特幣。”
Schiff further argues that Bitcoin's price is too unstable to be a safe investment like gold.
希夫進一步認為,比特幣的價格太不穩定了,無法像黃金這樣的安全投資。
"It's never going to be a true store of value like gold because its price is far too volatile. It's not clear what will happen next with Trump's tariff plans, but it could have a big impact on Bitcoin's price."
“這永遠不會像黃金那樣成為真正的價值存儲,因為它的價格太波動了。目前尚不清楚特朗普的關稅計劃接下來會發生什麼,但這可能會對比特幣的價格產生重大影響。”
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