現在，Polmoarket賠率分配了XRP交易所基金（ETF）的83％的機會，於2025年7月批准

樂觀的激增是在主要資產經理（包括位，金絲雀資本，WisdomTree和21shares）的一系列申請之後。

Polymarket traders are betting heavily on the approval of a XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) by July 2025, with traders assigning an 83% probability to this event. This optimism is fueled by a wave of filings from major asset managers seeking to launch XRP ETFs.

到2025年7月，Polymarket交易者正在大量押注XRP交易所交易基金（ETF），而交易員分配了83％的概率。尋求推出XRP ETF的主要資產經理的一波歸檔浪潮助長了這種樂觀。

According to Polymarket, traders are now pricing in a 19% increase in the probability of an XRP ETF approval in just one week. This surge in optimism corresponds with Grayscale's bold move to convert its XRP Trust into an ETF.

根據Polymarket的數據，交易者現在在短短一周內獲得XRP ETF批准的可能性增長了19％。樂觀的激增與灰度的大膽動作相對應，將其XRP信任轉換為ETF的大膽舉動。

On Jan. 30, the asset manager filed a 19b-4 application with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), proposing to list its XRP ETF on NYSE Arca. Grayscale's XRP Trust holds over $16 million in assets, making it a significant institutional product linked to XRP.

1月30日，資產經理向美國證券交易委員會（SEC）提交了19B-4申請，建議在紐約證券交易所ARCA上列出其XRP ETF。 Grayscale的XRP Trust持有超過1600萬美元的資產，使其成為與XRP相關的重要機構產品。

CoinShares, ProShares, REX Shares, and Bitwise have also joined the race to launch an XRP ETF, submitting applications to the SEC. These filings follow the successful launch of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which attracted major institutional inflows.

Coinshares，Proshares，Rex股票和Bitwise也加入了XRP ETF的競賽，將申請提交給SEC。這些文件遵循比特幣和以太坊ETF的成功推出，這吸引了主要的機構流入。

XRP price is once again making waves, and traders can't help but notice the striking similarities to the token's explosive 2017 breakout. XRP is currently trading at $3.02, with speculation surrounding an XRP ETF driving fresh momentum.

XRP價格再次引起了海浪，交易者不禁會注意到與代幣的2017年爆炸性突破的驚人相似之處。 XRP目前的交易價格為3.02美元，圍繞XRP ETF駕駛新鮮動量的猜測。

Crypto analyst Javon Marks points out that XRP has just broken out of a massive pattern, which is more than double the size of its 2017 setup. Back then, the token went on to skyrocket 2,900%, hitting an all-time high of $3.84 in just a few months. Marks suggests that if history repeats itself, XRP could be looking at a run toward $99—a staggering 2,700% gain from current levels.

加密分析師Javon Marks指出，XRP剛剛破壞了大規模的模式，其大小是其2017年設置的兩倍以上。那時，代幣繼續飆升2,900％，在短短幾個月內達到了3.84美元的歷史最高點。 Marks表明，如果歷史重演，XRP可能會朝99美元的價格看，這是當前水平的驚人收益。

Meanwhile, technical indicators show key resistance at $3.34, a level XRP must break to challenge its 2018 all-time high of $3.84. Analysts predict that XRP could test the $4 mark by mid-February if momentum continues.

同時，技術指標顯示關鍵阻力為3.34美元，XRP必須打破以挑戰其2018年曆史最高高點3.84美元。分析師預測，如果勢頭繼續進行，則XRP可以在2月中旬到2月中旬測試$ 4。

If momentum keeps building, hitting $4 by mid-February isn't out of the question. With Polymarket odds for an XRP ETF approval at 83%, institutional money could be the final push XRP needs to make history again.

如果動量繼續建造，那麼到5月中旬到4美元就不可能。 XRP ETF批准為83％的XRP ETF賠率，機構資金可能是XRP再次創造歷史所需的最終推動力。

XRP's ETF hopes were once dashed under Biden's SEC Chair Gary Gensler, who pushed back against crypto-friendly policies. But now, things are quickly changing. With Trump back in office and Mark Uyeda leading the SEC, many anticipate a softening stance toward crypto, paving the way for more ETF approvals.

XRP的ETF希望曾經在Biden的SEC主席Gary Gensler下破滅，後者反對對加密友好的政策。但是現在，情況正在迅速發生變化。隨著特朗普重返辦公室，馬克·烏耶達（Mark Uyeda）領導了SEC，許多人預計對加密貨幣的柔和立場，為更多的ETF批准鋪平了道路。

In January, Ripple Labs President Monica Long fueled speculation by stating that an XRP ETF could soon be a reality. Additionally, FOX Business journalist Eleanor Terrett hinted at more ETF filings to come, bolstering expectations that regulators may be easing their stance on crypto funds.

一月份，Ripple Labs總裁Monica Long Long促使人們猜測XRP ETF很快可能是現實。此外，福克斯商業記者埃莉諾·特雷特（Eleanor Terrett）暗示了更多的ETF申請，並加強了對監管機構可能會放鬆加密基金立場的期望。

The SEC's recent closed-door meeting on Ripple's legal case has also sparked curiosity. While no details have been disclosed, some speculate that a resolution could clear the way for an XRP ETF. If that happens, XRP could be the next big name in the ETF boom.

SEC最近在Ripple法律案件上舉行的閉門會議也引起了好奇心。儘管尚未披露細節，但有些人推測解決方案可以清除XRP ETF的道路。如果發生這種情況，XRP可能是ETF繁榮中的下一個大牌。

Following Trump's inauguration, the Polymarket odds peaked at 89% but later cooled to 82% after the SEC's internal discussions on Ripple. If regulatory tailwinds continue, XRP could be the next crypto asset to join the ETF market. Now, all eyes are on the SEC's next move—will it approve an XRP ETF by July?

在特朗普的就職典禮之後，在SEC關於Ripple的內部討論之後，多個賠率峰值為89％，但後來冷卻至82％。如果繼續進行監管的後風，XRP可能是加入ETF市場的下一個加密資產。現在，所有人的目光都集中在SEC的下一步行動中 - 它將在7月之前批准XRP ETF嗎？

In this article, the views, and opinions stated by the author, or any people named are for informational purposes only, and they don’t establish the investment, financial, or any other advice. Trading or investing in cryptocurrency assets comes with a risk of financial loss.

在本文中，作者或任何人的觀點和意見僅是出於信息目的，並且不建立投資，財務或任何其他建議。對加密貨幣資產進行交易或投資具有財務損失的風險。