现在，Polmoarket赔率分配了XRP交易所基金（ETF）的83％的机会，于2025年7月批准

乐观的激增是在主要资产经理（包括位，金丝雀资本，WisdomTree和21shares）的一系列申请之后。

Polymarket traders are betting heavily on the approval of a XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) by July 2025, with traders assigning an 83% probability to this event. This optimism is fueled by a wave of filings from major asset managers seeking to launch XRP ETFs.

到2025年7月，Polymarket交易者正在大量押注XRP交易所交易基金（ETF），而交易员分配了83％的概率。寻求推出XRP ETF的主要资产经理的一波归档浪潮助长了这种乐观。

According to Polymarket, traders are now pricing in a 19% increase in the probability of an XRP ETF approval in just one week. This surge in optimism corresponds with Grayscale's bold move to convert its XRP Trust into an ETF.

根据Polymarket的数据，交易者现在在短短一周内获得XRP ETF批准的可能性增长了19％。乐观的激增与灰度的大胆动作相对应，将其XRP信任转换为ETF的大胆举动。

On Jan. 30, the asset manager filed a 19b-4 application with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), proposing to list its XRP ETF on NYSE Arca. Grayscale's XRP Trust holds over $16 million in assets, making it a significant institutional product linked to XRP.

1月30日，资产经理向美国证券交易委员会（SEC）提交了19B-4申请，建议在纽约证券交易所ARCA上列出其XRP ETF。 Grayscale的XRP Trust持有超过1600万美元的资产，使其成为与XRP相关的重要机构产品。

CoinShares, ProShares, REX Shares, and Bitwise have also joined the race to launch an XRP ETF, submitting applications to the SEC. These filings follow the successful launch of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which attracted major institutional inflows.

Coinshares，Proshares，Rex股票和Bitwise也加入了XRP ETF的竞赛，将申请提交给SEC。这些文件遵循比特币和以太坊ETF的成功推出，这吸引了主要的机构流入。

XRP price is once again making waves, and traders can't help but notice the striking similarities to the token's explosive 2017 breakout. XRP is currently trading at $3.02, with speculation surrounding an XRP ETF driving fresh momentum.

XRP价格再次引起了海浪，交易者不禁会注意到与代币的2017年爆炸性突破的惊人相似之处。 XRP目前的交易价格为3.02美元，围绕XRP ETF驾驶新鲜动量的猜测。

Crypto analyst Javon Marks points out that XRP has just broken out of a massive pattern, which is more than double the size of its 2017 setup. Back then, the token went on to skyrocket 2,900%, hitting an all-time high of $3.84 in just a few months. Marks suggests that if history repeats itself, XRP could be looking at a run toward $99—a staggering 2,700% gain from current levels.

加密分析师Javon Marks指出，XRP刚刚破坏了大规模的模式，其大小是其2017年设置的两倍以上。那时，代币继续飙升2,900％，在短短几个月内达到了3.84美元的历史最高点。 Marks表明，如果历史重演，XRP可能会朝99美元的价格看，这是当前水平的惊人收益。

Meanwhile, technical indicators show key resistance at $3.34, a level XRP must break to challenge its 2018 all-time high of $3.84. Analysts predict that XRP could test the $4 mark by mid-February if momentum continues.

同时，技术指标显示关键阻力为3.34美元，XRP必须打破以挑战其2018年历史最高高点3.84美元。分析师预测，如果势头继续进行，则XRP可以在2月中旬到2月中旬测试$ 4。

If momentum keeps building, hitting $4 by mid-February isn't out of the question. With Polymarket odds for an XRP ETF approval at 83%, institutional money could be the final push XRP needs to make history again.

如果动量继续建造，那么到5月中旬到4美元就不可能。 XRP ETF批准为83％的XRP ETF赔率，机构资金可能是XRP再次创造历史所需的最终推动力。

XRP's ETF hopes were once dashed under Biden's SEC Chair Gary Gensler, who pushed back against crypto-friendly policies. But now, things are quickly changing. With Trump back in office and Mark Uyeda leading the SEC, many anticipate a softening stance toward crypto, paving the way for more ETF approvals.

XRP的ETF希望曾经在Biden的SEC主席Gary Gensler下破灭，后者反对对加密友好的政策。但是现在，情况正在迅速发生变化。随着特朗普重返办公室，马克·乌耶达（Mark Uyeda）领导了SEC，许多人预计对加密货币的柔和立场，为更多的ETF批准铺平了道路。

In January, Ripple Labs President Monica Long fueled speculation by stating that an XRP ETF could soon be a reality. Additionally, FOX Business journalist Eleanor Terrett hinted at more ETF filings to come, bolstering expectations that regulators may be easing their stance on crypto funds.

一月份，Ripple Labs总裁Monica Long Long促使人们猜测XRP ETF很快可能是现实。此外，福克斯商业记者埃莉诺·特雷特（Eleanor Terrett）暗示了更多的ETF申请，并加强了对监管机构可能会放松加密基金立场的期望。

The SEC's recent closed-door meeting on Ripple's legal case has also sparked curiosity. While no details have been disclosed, some speculate that a resolution could clear the way for an XRP ETF. If that happens, XRP could be the next big name in the ETF boom.

SEC最近在Ripple法律案件上举行的闭门会议也引起了好奇心。尽管尚未披露细节，但有些人推测解决方案可以清除XRP ETF的道路。如果发生这种情况，XRP可能是ETF繁荣中的下一个大牌。

Following Trump's inauguration, the Polymarket odds peaked at 89% but later cooled to 82% after the SEC's internal discussions on Ripple. If regulatory tailwinds continue, XRP could be the next crypto asset to join the ETF market. Now, all eyes are on the SEC's next move—will it approve an XRP ETF by July?

在特朗普的就职典礼之后，在SEC关于Ripple的内部讨论之后，多个赔率峰值为89％，但后来冷却至82％。如果继续进行监管的后风，XRP可能是加入ETF市场的下一个加密资产。现在，所有人的目光都集中在SEC的下一步行动中 - 它将在7月之前批准XRP ETF吗？

In this article, the views, and opinions stated by the author, or any people named are for informational purposes only, and they don’t establish the investment, financial, or any other advice. Trading or investing in cryptocurrency assets comes with a risk of financial loss.

在本文中，作者或任何人的观点和意见仅是出于信息目的，并且不建立投资，财务或任何其他建议。对加密货币资产进行交易或投资具有财务损失的风险。