比特幣（BTC）市場情緒仍然很高，儘管糾正了-11％，但立場可能會創建有利的政策

儘管比1月20日的歷史最高點下降了11％，但比特幣仍在散戶投資者中保持吸引力。

Bitcoin price has experienced an 11% decline from its January 20 all-time high, yet it continues to maintain strong appeal among retail investors. On-chain data from Santiment reveals that many traders still view BTC as a “safe haven” asset, especially as altcoins undergo significant corrections.

比特幣價格從1月20日的歷史最高水平下降了11％，但它繼續在散戶投資者中保持強烈的吸引力。 Santiment的鍊鍊數據表明，許多交易者仍然將BTC視為“避風港”資產，尤其是當山寨幣經過重大更正時。

Unlike previous downturns where panic selling dominated, the current sentiment toward Bitcoin remains optimistic, with many traders viewing the recent price drop as a relative safe haven within the market. As altcoins have undergone heavy retraces, traders have flocked back into BTC.

與以前的恐慌銷售主導的下滑不同，當前對比特幣的情緒仍然樂觀，許多交易者將最近的價格下跌視為市場上的相對避風港。由於山寨幣經歷了重大回試，交易者湧入了BTC。

There is also continued optimism that Trump’s pro-crypto policies, particularly in relation to institutional adoption and regulatory clarity, will contribute toward another leg up in Bitcoin’s price performance.

也有持續的樂觀情緒，特朗普的親克賴特托政策，尤其是在機構採用和監管方面的方面，將有助於比特幣的價格績效的另一個領域。

One major factor contributing to this positive outlook is the growing belief that former U.S. President Donald Trump’s pro-crypto stance could create favorable policies for the industry. Many investors anticipate that regulatory clarity and institutional adoption will strengthen Bitcoin’s position, potentially triggering a fresh rally.

促成這種積極前景的一個主要因素是，越來越多的信念是，前美國總統唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的親克賴特托（Crypto）立場可以為該行業製定有利的政策。許多投資者預計，監管清晰度和機構採用將加強比特幣的立場，並有可能引發新的集會。

The Risk Of Overconfidence In Market Trends

市場趨勢過度自信的風險

While Bitcoin’s long-term outlook looks healthy, sometimes excessive bullishness creates a case for a shakeout in the marketplace. According to Santiment, when bullish sentiment is extreme, a correction tends to follow. Individual investors act emotionally, and causing abrupt price movements.

儘管比特幣的長期前景看起來很健康，但有時過多的看漲卻為市場上的搖擺不定。根據santiment的說法，當看漲的情緒是極端的時，就會採取更正。個人投資者在情感上採取行動，並導致價格變動。

If BTC retracts again, smaller investors may over panic and sell, creating a chance for long-term investors to buy at bargain prices. Historically, such retracts have posed no problem for long-term investors, and long-term investors have continued buying Bitcoin through such fluctuations, supporting the view that the asset continues to be a sound store of value in the face of near-term fluctuations in price.

如果BTC再次撤回，那麼較小的投資者可能會過時恐慌和出售，為長期投資者提供便宜的價格購買機會。從歷史上看，這種縮回對長期投資者來說沒有任何問題，而長期投資者繼續通過這種波動購買比特幣，支持這樣的觀點，即面對近期波動的資產仍然是一個有價值的商品。價格。

Bitcoin’s Potential Cycle Top: $170K-$350K

比特幣的潛在循環頂部：$ 170K- $ 350K

Crypto market observer EGRAG CRYPTO has forecasted ambitious BTC price targets for its future cycle high through Fibonacci extensions and its price behavior in the past. In his analysis, three key markers coincide in the $170K-$200K range, and it’s a level one must pay attention to.

加密市場觀察者Egrag Crypto預測了雄心勃勃的BTC價格目標，其未來週期通過斐波那契的擴展和過去的價格行為。在他的分析中，三個關鍵標記在$ 170k- $ 200k的範圍內重合，這是一個必須關注的級別。

By examining BTC’s performance with its 10-month moving average in past bull cycles, its previous gains have ranged between 460% and 1000%. In case Bitcoin experiences its minimum historical gain, its price can go up to $365K in a blow-off top scenario.

通過在過去的牛周中檢查BTC的10個月移動平均水平，其先前的收益在460％至1000％之間。如果比特幣經歷其最低歷史收益，則其價格可以在吹捧的最高場景中高達36.3萬美元。

However, more conservatively, forecasts for a future peak vary between $170K and $200K, with a range of $250K-$350K for a deeper bull run. All of these price values, even at a speculative level, follow in accordance with previous cycles, providing a basis for a repeat bull run of record-setting proportion.

但是，更保守的是，未來峰值的預測在$ 170萬至20萬美元之間，售價為25萬美元至35萬美元，售價為35萬美元。所有這些價格值，即使在投機級別上，都按照先前的周期遵循，為重複的記錄比例的牛跑提供了基礎。

What Lies Ahead For Bitcoin?

比特幣面臨什麼？

Despite the price fluctuations, long-term Bitcoin trends are positive. Institutional investors’ interest keeps growing, and buying during dips in the market proves confidence in the future value of the asset. Still, investors have to exercise caution, for market moods can change in a matter of seconds.

儘管價格波動波動，但長期比特幣趨勢還是積極的。機構投資者的利益不斷增長，在市場上的下降期間購買證明了對資產的未來價值的信心。儘管如此，投資者仍必須謹慎行事，因為市場情緒可能會在幾秒鐘內發生變化。

Retail optimism can generate near-term pull-backs in anticipation of a long-term rallying taking shape. History will most likely have a strong positive direction, but Bitcoin’s journey toward new record highs will most likely depend on macroeconomics, investors’ moods, and regulators’ actions in the near future.

零售樂觀可以產生近期的下拉，預期長期的集會形成。歷史很可能會有很大的積極方向，但是比特幣在不久的將來取決於宏觀經濟，投資者的情緒和監管機構的行動，比特幣的旅程很可能取決於宏觀經濟學，投資者的情緒和監管機構的行動。