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加密貨幣新聞文章

2024 年 10 月的數據顯示,主要科技股的波動率超過了比特幣 11%,其中特斯拉達到... [+] 24%、AMD 16% 和 Nvidia 12%

2024/11/02 16:25

根據我的計算,特斯拉股票以 24% 的波動率位居波動率榜首,其次是 AMD 的 16% 和 Nvidia 的 12%,都超過了比特幣 11% 的波動範圍。

2024 年 10 月的數據顯示,主要科技股的波動率超過了比特幣 11%,其中特斯拉達到... [+] 24%、AMD 16% 和 Nvidia 12%

Major tech stocks outpaced bitcoin in volatility during October 2024, with Tesla reaching new heights.

2024 年 10 月,主要科技股的波動性超過了比特幣,其中特斯拉創下了新高。

According to my calculations, Tesla topped the volatility charts at 24%, followed by AMD at 16% and Nvidia at 12%, all surpassing bitcoin's 11% movement range.

根據我的計算,特斯拉以 24% 的波動率位居榜首,其次是 AMD 的 16% 和 Nvidia 的 12%,都超過了比特幣 11% 的波動範圍。

Other tech giants showed lower volatility than bitcoin. Intel registered 9% price swings, while Meta and Microsoft stayed around 8%. Amazon showed 7% volatility, with Google at 6%. Apple proved the most stable among analyzed stocks with just under 6% monthly volatility.

其他科技巨頭的波動性低於比特幣。英特爾的價格波動為 9%,而 Meta 和微軟則維持在 8% 左右。亞馬遜的波動率為 7%,Google的波動率為 6%。事實證明,蘋果是分析股票中最穩定的,每月波動率略低於 6%。

This volatility distribution suggests the conventional financial narrative may need updating, as the data no longer supports the assumption that bitcoin is significantly more volatile than blue-chip tech stocks. Notably, Tesla's 24% volatility more than doubled bitcoin's 11% movement range in October 2024.

這種波動性分佈顯示傳統的金融敘事可能需要更新,因為數據不再支持比特幣比藍籌科技股波動性更大的假設。值得注意的是,特斯拉 24% 的波動幅度是 2024 年 10 月比特幣 11% 波動幅度的兩倍以上。

Looking at maximum daily price movements, Tesla recorded the highest single-day gain at +21.92% and AMD showed the steepest drop at -10.62%, both far exceeding bitcoin's relatively modest range of +5.11% to -3.95%. Most tech stocks showed asymmetric movements with larger drops than gains, while Tesla stood out with its gain being more than twice its largest decline of -8.78%.

從每日最大價格走勢來看,特斯拉單日最高漲幅為+21.92%,AMD 跌幅最大為-10.62%,兩者都遠遠超過了比特幣相對溫和的+5.11%至-3.95%的區間。大多數科技股表現出不對稱走勢,跌幅大於漲幅,而特斯拉表現突出,其漲幅是最大跌幅-8.78%的兩倍多。

To test bitcoin's volatility against traditional markets, I analyzed major tech stocks with high trading volumes and media attention. I measured price swings using daily logarithmic returns in October 2024, computing their standard deviation as monthly volatility percentage. All price data was sourced from Investing.com.

為了測試比特幣相對於傳統市場的波動性,我分析了交易量高、媒體關注度高的主要科技股。我使用 2024 年 10 月的每日對數回報來衡量價格波動,將其標準差計算為每月波動率百分比。所有價格數據均來自 Investing.com。

The October data showing bitcoin as more stable than some major tech stocks extends its long-term trend toward price stability. This shift can be attributed to several key market factors.

十月的數據顯示,比特幣比一些主要科技股更穩定,這延續了其價格穩定的長期趨勢。這種轉變可歸因於幾個關鍵的市場因素。

"What we're witnessing now is bitcoin maturing as an asset, with large, stable holders and significant institutional buy-in," Mike Ermolaev, founder of Outset PR, said in an email statement. "While bitcoin isn't immune to market forces, the volatility gap between it and high-growth tech stocks is telling: bitcoin is increasingly behaving like a less speculative asset," Ermolaev explained, pointing to bitcoin ETF inflows as evidence of institutional confidence in the cryptocurrency's stability.

Outset PR 創始人 Mike Ermolaev 在電子郵件聲明中表示:「我們現在看到的是,比特幣作為一種資產正在走向成熟,擁有大量穩定的持有者和大量機構買入。埃爾莫拉耶夫解釋說:「雖然比特幣不能免受市場力量的影響,但它與高成長科技股之間的波動性差距說明了這一點:比特幣的表現越來越像一種投機性較低的資產。

"There is more overlap in equity and crypto traders than most realize, and that brings more similar volatility," said Mike Cagney, CEO of Figure Markets in an email statement. "As we begin to migrate to venues that feature both equity and crypto that can be cross collateralized, the two will be more correlated," he added, pointing to the increasing market integration through platforms offering cross-collateralization between both asset types.

Figure Markets 執行長 Mike Cagney 在電子郵件聲明中表示:「股票和加密貨幣交易者之間的重疊程度比大多數人意識到的要多,這會帶來更多類似的波動性。他補充說:「當我們開始遷移到同時具有可交叉抵押的股權和加密貨幣的場所時,兩者將更加相關。」他指出,透過提供兩種資產類型之間的交叉抵押的平台,市場一體化程度不斷提高。

"Bitcoin's unexpected stability in October might signal its emerging role as a modern safe-haven asset," Alan Orwick, Co-Founder at Quai Network, said in an email statement. "It might just be time to hedge against inflation by allocating a portion of an investment portfolio to bitcoin," Orwick noted, referencing an investor Paul Tudor Jones's recent suggestion that "all roads lead to inflation" due to the U.S.'s fiscal trajectory.

Quai Network 聯合創始人艾倫·奧威克 (Alan Orwick) 在電子郵件聲明中表示:“比特幣在 10 月份出人意料的穩定可能標誌著其作為現代避險資產的新興角色。”奧威克指出,「也許是時候透過將部分投資組合分配給比特幣來對沖通膨了。」他提到了投資者保羅都鐸瓊斯(Paul Tudor Jones) 最近的建議,即由於美國的財政軌跡,「所有道路都會導致通膨」。

But maybe volatility isn’t a drawback.

但也許波動性並不是缺點。

"It's part of what makes emerging asset classes like crypto, and even stocks like Tesla, AMD, and Nvidia, so dynamic," Dr. Tonya M. Evans, Digital Money Expert at Penn State Dickinson Law, said in an email statement. "Just as traditional finance markets settled over time, bitcoin will likely follow suit as adoption continues to grow and expand," Evans noted, suggesting that volatility should be viewed as "a sign of new opportunities in an evolving financial landscape for both traditional finance and emerging digital assets markets."

賓州州立大學迪金森法學院數位貨幣專家Tonya M. Evans 博士在電子郵件聲明中表示,「這是加密貨幣等新興資產類別,甚至特斯拉、AMD 和Nvidia 等股票如此充滿活力的部分原因。埃文斯指出:「正如傳統金融市場隨著時間的推移而穩定下來一樣,隨著採用率的不斷增長和擴大,比特幣也可能會效仿。」他建議,波動性應被視為「傳統金融和不斷變化的金融格局中新機遇的標誌」。新興的數位資產市場。”

新聞來源:www.forbes.com

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