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加密货币新闻
2024 年 10 月的数据显示,主要科技股的波动率超过了比特币 11%,其中特斯拉达到... [+] 24%、AMD 16% 和 Nvidia 12%
2024/11/02 16:25
根据我的计算,特斯拉股票以 24% 的波动率位居波动率榜首,其次是 AMD 的 16% 和 Nvidia 的 12%,都超过了比特币 11% 的波动范围。
Major tech stocks outpaced bitcoin in volatility during October 2024, with Tesla reaching new heights.
2024 年 10 月,主要科技股的波动性超过了比特币,其中特斯拉创下了新高。
According to my calculations, Tesla topped the volatility charts at 24%, followed by AMD at 16% and Nvidia at 12%, all surpassing bitcoin's 11% movement range.
根据我的计算,特斯拉以 24% 的波动率位居榜首,其次是 AMD 的 16% 和 Nvidia 的 12%,都超过了比特币 11% 的波动范围。
Other tech giants showed lower volatility than bitcoin. Intel registered 9% price swings, while Meta and Microsoft stayed around 8%. Amazon showed 7% volatility, with Google at 6%. Apple proved the most stable among analyzed stocks with just under 6% monthly volatility.
其他科技巨头的波动性低于比特币。英特尔的价格波动为 9%,而 Meta 和微软则保持在 8% 左右。亚马逊的波动率为 7%,谷歌的波动率为 6%。事实证明,苹果公司是所分析股票中最稳定的,每月波动率略低于 6%。
This volatility distribution suggests the conventional financial narrative may need updating, as the data no longer supports the assumption that bitcoin is significantly more volatile than blue-chip tech stocks. Notably, Tesla's 24% volatility more than doubled bitcoin's 11% movement range in October 2024.
这种波动性分布表明传统的金融叙述可能需要更新,因为数据不再支持比特币比蓝筹科技股波动性更大的假设。值得注意的是,特斯拉 24% 的波动幅度是 2024 年 10 月比特币 11% 波动幅度的两倍多。
Looking at maximum daily price movements, Tesla recorded the highest single-day gain at +21.92% and AMD showed the steepest drop at -10.62%, both far exceeding bitcoin's relatively modest range of +5.11% to -3.95%. Most tech stocks showed asymmetric movements with larger drops than gains, while Tesla stood out with its gain being more than twice its largest decline of -8.78%.
从每日最大价格走势来看,特斯拉单日最高涨幅为+21.92%,AMD 跌幅最大为-10.62%,两者都远远超过了比特币相对温和的+5.11%至-3.95%的区间。大多数科技股表现出不对称走势,跌幅大于涨幅,而特斯拉表现突出,其涨幅是最大跌幅-8.78%的两倍多。
To test bitcoin's volatility against traditional markets, I analyzed major tech stocks with high trading volumes and media attention. I measured price swings using daily logarithmic returns in October 2024, computing their standard deviation as monthly volatility percentage. All price data was sourced from Investing.com.
为了测试比特币相对于传统市场的波动性,我分析了交易量高、媒体关注度高的主要科技股。我使用 2024 年 10 月的每日对数回报来衡量价格波动,将其标准差计算为每月波动率百分比。所有价格数据均来自 Investing.com。
The October data showing bitcoin as more stable than some major tech stocks extends its long-term trend toward price stability. This shift can be attributed to several key market factors.
十月份的数据显示,比特币比一些主要科技股更稳定,这延续了其价格稳定的长期趋势。这种转变可归因于几个关键的市场因素。
"What we're witnessing now is bitcoin maturing as an asset, with large, stable holders and significant institutional buy-in," Mike Ermolaev, founder of Outset PR, said in an email statement. "While bitcoin isn't immune to market forces, the volatility gap between it and high-growth tech stocks is telling: bitcoin is increasingly behaving like a less speculative asset," Ermolaev explained, pointing to bitcoin ETF inflows as evidence of institutional confidence in the cryptocurrency's stability.
Outset PR 创始人迈克·埃尔莫拉耶夫 (Mike Ermolaev) 在一份电子邮件声明中表示:“我们现在看到的是,比特币作为一种资产正在走向成熟,拥有大量稳定的持有者和大量机构买入。”埃尔莫拉耶夫解释说:“虽然比特币不能免受市场力量的影响,但它与高增长科技股之间的波动性差距说明了这一点:比特币的表现越来越像一种投机性较低的资产。”他指出,比特币 ETF 的流入证明了机构对比特币的信心。加密货币的稳定性。
"There is more overlap in equity and crypto traders than most realize, and that brings more similar volatility," said Mike Cagney, CEO of Figure Markets in an email statement. "As we begin to migrate to venues that feature both equity and crypto that can be cross collateralized, the two will be more correlated," he added, pointing to the increasing market integration through platforms offering cross-collateralization between both asset types.
Figure Markets 首席执行官迈克·卡格尼 (Mike Cagney) 在一份电子邮件声明中表示:“股票和加密货币交易者之间的重叠程度比大多数人意识到的要多,这会带来更多类似的波动性。”他补充说:“当我们开始迁移到同时具有可交叉抵押的股权和加密货币的场所时,两者将更加相关。”他指出,通过提供两种资产类型之间的交叉抵押的平台,市场一体化程度不断提高。
"Bitcoin's unexpected stability in October might signal its emerging role as a modern safe-haven asset," Alan Orwick, Co-Founder at Quai Network, said in an email statement. "It might just be time to hedge against inflation by allocating a portion of an investment portfolio to bitcoin," Orwick noted, referencing an investor Paul Tudor Jones's recent suggestion that "all roads lead to inflation" due to the U.S.'s fiscal trajectory.
Quai Network 联合创始人艾伦·奥威克 (Alan Orwick) 在一份电子邮件声明中表示:“比特币在 10 月份出人意料的稳定可能标志着其作为现代避险资产的新兴角色。”奥威克指出,“也许是时候通过将部分投资组合分配给比特币来对冲通胀了。”他提到了投资者保罗·都铎·琼斯 (Paul Tudor Jones) 最近的建议,即由于美国的财政轨迹,“所有道路都会导致通胀”。
But maybe volatility isn’t a drawback.
但也许波动性并不是一个缺点。
"It's part of what makes emerging asset classes like crypto, and even stocks like Tesla, AMD, and Nvidia, so dynamic," Dr. Tonya M. Evans, Digital Money Expert at Penn State Dickinson Law, said in an email statement. "Just as traditional finance markets settled over time, bitcoin will likely follow suit as adoption continues to grow and expand," Evans noted, suggesting that volatility should be viewed as "a sign of new opportunities in an evolving financial landscape for both traditional finance and emerging digital assets markets."
宾夕法尼亚州立大学迪金森法学院数字货币专家 Tonya M. Evans 博士在一份电子邮件声明中表示,“这是加密货币等新兴资产类别,甚至特斯拉、AMD 和 Nvidia 等股票如此充满活力的部分原因。”埃文斯指出:“正如传统金融市场随着时间的推移而稳定下来一样,随着采用率的不断增长和扩大,比特币也可能会效仿。”他建议,波动性应被视为“传统金融和不断变化的金融格局中新机遇的标志”。新兴的数字资产市场。”
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