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金色財經
The MEME market has recently attracted a large number of investors due to its high-frequency volatility and potential for substantial gains. However, this type of trading also carries significant risks, making it crucial for investors to approach it cautiously and avoid falling into the trap of addiction.
MEME市場因其高頻波動性和大幅收益潛力,近期吸引了大量投資者。然而,這種類型的交易也存在很大的風險,因此投資者必須謹慎行事,避免陷入成癮的陷阱。
To achieve optimal results in MEME trading, it is essential to conduct thorough research on the long-term value and technical potential of projects. This approach will help identify more robust investment directions amidst the volatility.
為了在 MEME 交易中取得最佳效果,必須對專案的長期價值和技術潛力進行深入研究。這種方法將有助於在波動中確定更穩健的投資方向。
The market, to function effectively, requires a balance of rationality and passion, rather than being dominated by a single stimulus.
市場要有效運轉,需要理性與激情的平衡,而不是被單一刺激主導。
Currently, the screening of MEME projects follows two lines: "speculation" and value discovery. This article analyzes high-frequency "speculative" trading methods, revealing how professional MEME creators exhaust investors' energy and capital.
目前,MEME專案的篩選遵循兩條路線:「炒作」和價值發現。本文分析高頻「投機」交易方式,揭示專業MEME創造者如何耗盡投資者的精力和資金。
1 Hour 15 Times Case
1小時15次案例
Taking the MEME token Agora as an example, after investors preliminarily judge that the project has the potential for an increase, they engage in scalping trading for arbitrage. Multiple scalping trades quickly double the investors' capital, and this is just the beginning. After the second-to-last purchase, Agora rapidly surged to a 15-fold increase within 30 minutes. Due to the lack of take-profit and stop-loss features on the web trading interface, the actual profit was far from 15 times. However, stimulated by the 15-fold increase, investors fell into a cycle of continued speculation, ultimately losing everything amidst the volatility.
以MEME代幣Agora為例,投資人初步判斷該專案有上漲潛力後,進行倒賣交易套利。多次倒賣交易很快就會使投資者的資金翻倍,而這只是開始。倒數第二次購買後,Agora 在 30 分鐘內迅速飆升至 15 倍。由於網頁交易介面缺乏停盈和停損功能,實際獲利遠未達15倍。然而,在15倍漲幅的刺激下,投資人陷入了持續炒作的循環,最終在波動中血本無歸。
PS: Scalping is a high-frequency trading strategy where traders capture short-term price fluctuations in stocks, futures, or other financial instruments to make a profit. The core idea of scalping is to quickly enter and exit trades based on short-term market fluctuations, gaining small profits on each trade but accumulating returns through multiple transactions.
PS:倒賣是一種高頻交易策略,交易者利用股票、期貨或其他金融工具的短期價格波動來獲利。剝頭皮的核心思想是根據短期市場波動快速進出交易,每筆交易賺取微薄利潤,但透過多次交易累積收益。
30 Seconds Analysis to 10 Minutes Capital Zeroing "Strategy"
30秒解析10分鐘資本歸零“攻略”
MEME trading is a high-intensity game of information capture and rapid execution, and PVP trading has evolved a structured indicator system for project screening. In this model, the analysis and execution phases are extremely compressed, usually completed in just a few minutes, especially when a project's market cap has just reached N times the internal market cap (about $68,000). At this point, N is usually less than 10, meaning the market cap is below $600,000, and market competition is exceptionally fierce. However, once a project peaks and then falls back, these new projects are often quickly abandoned by investors, leading to a sharp decline in interest.
MEME交易是資訊擷取與快速執行的高強度遊戲,PVP交易演化出結構化的專案篩選指標體系。在這個模型中,分析和執行階段被極度壓縮,通常只需幾分鐘即可完成,特別是當專案的市值剛剛達到內部市值的N倍(約68,000美元)時。此時,N通常小於10,意味著市值低於60萬美元,市場競爭異常激烈。然而,一旦專案見頂然後回落,這些新專案往往很快就會被投資者放棄,導致興趣急劇下降。
Release Time: 30 minutes is usually a critical dividing line, as most projects begin to show signs of dumping and profit-taking about 30 minutes after release (data collected around 6 PM Beijing time).
發佈時間:30分鐘通常是一個關鍵的分界線,因為大多數項目在發布後30分鐘左右就開始出現拋售和獲利回吐的跡象(數據採集於北京時間下午6點左右)。
Market Cap Size: Projects with a market cap around $300,000 are generally more reasonable, while those reaching tens of millions of dollars may carry a higher risk of exit scams.
市值規模:市值在30萬美元左右的項目通常較為合理,而市值達到數千萬美元的項目可能存在較高的退出詐騙風險。
Exit Scam Risk: The GMGN platform marks developers' operational records in historical projects, such as withdrawing liquidity, dumping, or running away. These markers are important indicators for assessing project stability.
退出詐騙風險:GMGN平台標記了開發商在歷史專案中的營運記錄,例如撤回流動性、傾銷、跑路等。這些標記是評估專案穩定性的重要指標。
Blue-Chip Index: As a growth indicator, the blue-chip index reflects investors' purchasing power and community consensus by analyzing the blue-chip tokens held by investors, providing indirect evidence for assessing project health.
藍籌指數:藍籌指數作為成長指標,透過分析投資者持有的藍籌代幣,反映投資者的購買力和社區共識,為評估專案健康提供間接證據。
Order Book Health Indicator (X = Trading Volume / Market Cap): Typically, in the early stages of a project, the X value approaches 2, followed by a downward-opening parabolic trend. When the parabola peaks, trading volume hits a new high, and market cap approaches a cyclical high point, indicating that PVP trading activity has reached its climax. Afterward, trading volume decreases, market cap drops, and "smart money" begins to exit.
訂單簿健康指標(X=交易量/市值):通常,在專案的早期階段,X值接近2,隨後呈現向下開口的拋物線趨勢。當拋物線見頂時,交易量再創新高,市值逼近週期性高點,顯示PVP交易活動已達到高潮。隨後,交易量減少,市值下降,「聰明錢」開始退出。
Additionally, trading volume can provide a preliminary judgment on tokens. For example, a single trade amount hitting a new high may indicate the entry of large funds, which is positive for the market. However, many trading platforms currently do not provide trend changes in single trade amounts or statistics on trading frequency, so relying solely on trading volume data may not be sufficient for comprehensive market analysis.
另外,交易量可以對代幣進行初步判斷。例如,單筆交易額創出新高,可能預示著大資金的入場,這對市場是利好。然而,目前許多交易平台並沒有提供單筆交易金額的趨勢變化或交易頻率的統計,因此僅依靠交易量數據可能不足以進行全面的市場分析。
TOP 10 Address Indicator: This indicator analyzes the top ten addresses by token holdings and their proportion of total supply. Generally, a holding ratio below 20% for the top ten addresses is considered healthy, indicating a more dispersed token distribution, stronger community consensus, and relatively lower selling risk.
TOP 10 地址指標:此指標以代幣持有量及其佔總供應量的比例分析前 10 個地址。一般來說,前十名地址的持倉比例低於20%屬於健康狀態,顯示代幣分佈更加分散,社區共識更加強烈,拋售風險相對較低。
Profit Expectation Formula: As the market cap of a token grows from $300,000 to $3 million, its success rate is often very low. Investors typically invest 1-10 SOL in a single project, but excessive liquidity addition may lead to a price surge, triggering greed among holders and rapid profit-taking. For example, if the success rate of a project selected by investors is P=10
獲利預期公式:當代幣市值從30萬美元成長到300萬美元時,其成功率往往很低。投資者通常會在單一項目上投資1-10 SOL,但過多的流動性添加可能會導致價格飆升,引發持有者的貪婪和快速獲利了結。例如,如果投資者選擇的項目的成功率為P=10
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