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金色财经
The MEME market has recently attracted a large number of investors due to its high-frequency volatility and potential for substantial gains. However, this type of trading also carries significant risks, making it crucial for investors to approach it cautiously and avoid falling into the trap of addiction.
MEME市场因其高频波动性和大幅收益潜力,近期吸引了大量投资者。然而,这种类型的交易也存在很大的风险,投资者必须谨慎行事,避免陷入成瘾的陷阱。
To achieve optimal results in MEME trading, it is essential to conduct thorough research on the long-term value and technical potential of projects. This approach will help identify more robust investment directions amidst the volatility.
为了在 MEME 交易中取得最佳效果,必须对项目的长期价值和技术潜力进行深入研究。这种方法将有助于在波动中确定更稳健的投资方向。
The market, to function effectively, requires a balance of rationality and passion, rather than being dominated by a single stimulus.
市场要有效运转,需要理性与激情的平衡,而不是被单一刺激所主导。
Currently, the screening of MEME projects follows two lines: "speculation" and value discovery. This article analyzes high-frequency "speculative" trading methods, revealing how professional MEME creators exhaust investors' energy and capital.
目前,MEME项目的筛选遵循两条路线:“炒作”和价值发现。本文分析高频“投机”交易方式,揭示专业MEME创作者如何耗尽投资者的精力和资金。
1 Hour 15 Times Case
1小时15次案例
Taking the MEME token Agora as an example, after investors preliminarily judge that the project has the potential for an increase, they engage in scalping trading for arbitrage. Multiple scalping trades quickly double the investors' capital, and this is just the beginning. After the second-to-last purchase, Agora rapidly surged to a 15-fold increase within 30 minutes. Due to the lack of take-profit and stop-loss features on the web trading interface, the actual profit was far from 15 times. However, stimulated by the 15-fold increase, investors fell into a cycle of continued speculation, ultimately losing everything amidst the volatility.
以MEME代币Agora为例,投资者初步判断该项目有上涨潜力后,进行倒卖交易套利。多次倒卖交易很快就会使投资者的资金翻倍,而这仅仅是开始。倒数第二次购买后,Agora 在 30 分钟内迅速飙升至 15 倍。由于网页交易界面缺乏止盈和止损功能,实际盈利远未达到15倍。然而,在15倍涨幅的刺激下,投资者陷入了持续炒作的循环,最终在波动中血本无归。
PS: Scalping is a high-frequency trading strategy where traders capture short-term price fluctuations in stocks, futures, or other financial instruments to make a profit. The core idea of scalping is to quickly enter and exit trades based on short-term market fluctuations, gaining small profits on each trade but accumulating returns through multiple transactions.
PS:倒卖是一种高频交易策略,交易者利用股票、期货或其他金融工具的短期价格波动来获利。剥头皮的核心思想是根据短期市场波动快速进出交易,每笔交易赚取微薄利润,但通过多次交易累积收益。
30 Seconds Analysis to 10 Minutes Capital Zeroing "Strategy"
30秒解析10分钟资金归零“攻略”
MEME trading is a high-intensity game of information capture and rapid execution, and PVP trading has evolved a structured indicator system for project screening. In this model, the analysis and execution phases are extremely compressed, usually completed in just a few minutes, especially when a project's market cap has just reached N times the internal market cap (about $68,000). At this point, N is usually less than 10, meaning the market cap is below $600,000, and market competition is exceptionally fierce. However, once a project peaks and then falls back, these new projects are often quickly abandoned by investors, leading to a sharp decline in interest.
MEME交易是信息捕捉和快速执行的高强度游戏,PVP交易演化出结构化的项目筛选指标体系。在这个模型中,分析和执行阶段被极度压缩,通常只需几分钟即可完成,特别是当项目的市值刚刚达到内部市值的N倍(约68,000美元)时。此时,N通常小于10,意味着市值低于60万美元,市场竞争异常激烈。然而,一旦项目见顶然后回落,这些新项目往往很快就会被投资者放弃,导致兴趣急剧下降。
Release Time: 30 minutes is usually a critical dividing line, as most projects begin to show signs of dumping and profit-taking about 30 minutes after release (data collected around 6 PM Beijing time).
发布时间:30分钟通常是一个关键的分界线,因为大多数项目在发布后30分钟左右就开始出现抛售和获利回吐的迹象(数据采集于北京时间下午6点左右)。
Market Cap Size: Projects with a market cap around $300,000 are generally more reasonable, while those reaching tens of millions of dollars may carry a higher risk of exit scams.
市值规模:市值在30万美元左右的项目一般较为合理,而市值达到千万美元的项目可能存在较高的退出诈骗风险。
Exit Scam Risk: The GMGN platform marks developers' operational records in historical projects, such as withdrawing liquidity, dumping, or running away. These markers are important indicators for assessing project stability.
退出诈骗风险:GMGN平台标记了开发商在历史项目中的操作记录,例如撤回流动性、倾销、跑路等。这些标记是评估项目稳定性的重要指标。
Blue-Chip Index: As a growth indicator, the blue-chip index reflects investors' purchasing power and community consensus by analyzing the blue-chip tokens held by investors, providing indirect evidence for assessing project health.
蓝筹指数:蓝筹指数作为成长指标,通过分析投资者持有的蓝筹代币,反映投资者的购买力和社区共识,为评估项目健康度提供间接证据。
Order Book Health Indicator (X = Trading Volume / Market Cap): Typically, in the early stages of a project, the X value approaches 2, followed by a downward-opening parabolic trend. When the parabola peaks, trading volume hits a new high, and market cap approaches a cyclical high point, indicating that PVP trading activity has reached its climax. Afterward, trading volume decreases, market cap drops, and "smart money" begins to exit.
订单簿健康指标(X=交易量/市值):通常,在项目的早期阶段,X值接近2,随后呈向下开口的抛物线趋势。当抛物线见顶时,交易量再创新高,市值逼近周期性高点,表明PVP交易活动已达到高潮。随后,交易量减少,市值下降,“聪明钱”开始退出。
Additionally, trading volume can provide a preliminary judgment on tokens. For example, a single trade amount hitting a new high may indicate the entry of large funds, which is positive for the market. However, many trading platforms currently do not provide trend changes in single trade amounts or statistics on trading frequency, so relying solely on trading volume data may not be sufficient for comprehensive market analysis.
另外,交易量可以对代币进行初步判断。例如,单笔交易额创出新高,可能预示着大资金的入场,这对市场是利好。然而,目前很多交易平台并没有提供单笔交易金额的趋势变化或交易频率的统计,因此仅仅依靠交易量数据可能不足以进行全面的市场分析。
TOP 10 Address Indicator: This indicator analyzes the top ten addresses by token holdings and their proportion of total supply. Generally, a holding ratio below 20% for the top ten addresses is considered healthy, indicating a more dispersed token distribution, stronger community consensus, and relatively lower selling risk.
TOP 10 地址指标:该指标按代币持有量及其占总供应量的比例分析前十名地址。一般来说,前十地址的持仓比例低于20%属于健康状态,表明代币分布更加分散,社区共识更加强烈,抛售风险相对较低。
Profit Expectation Formula: As the market cap of a token grows from $300,000 to $3 million, its success rate is often very low. Investors typically invest 1-10 SOL in a single project, but excessive liquidity addition may lead to a price surge, triggering greed among holders and rapid profit-taking. For example, if the success rate of a project selected by investors is P=10
利润预期公式:当代币市值从30万美元增长到300万美元时,其成功率往往很低。投资者通常会在单个项目上投资 1-10 SOL,但过多的流动性添加可能会导致价格飙升,引发持有者的贪婪和快速获利了结。例如,如果投资者选择的项目的成功率为P=10
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