萊特幣 (LTC) 將於 2024 年 12 月面臨調整，可能下跌 45-60%

萊特幣 (LTC) 的價格自今年迄今的低點 49.90 美元以來幾乎翻了一番，看來將在 2024 年 12 月經歷大幅調整

Litecoin (LTC) had an impressive run in 2024, almost doubling in value from its year-to-date low of $49.90, established three months ago. However, as we approach December, technical and macroeconomic factors suggest that LTC may be poised for a sharp correction.

萊特幣 (LTC) 在 2024 年表現出色，其價值幾乎從三個月前創下的年初至今低點 49.90 美元翻了一番。然而，隨著 12 月的臨近，技術和宏觀經濟因素表明 LTC 可能會大幅回調。

A Close Look At Litecoin’s Technical Picture

仔細看看萊特幣的技術圖景

A glance at the LTC/USD daily chart reveals that the cryptocurrency has been trading within the confines of a symmetrical triangle for the past few months. Resistance is pegged at around $100, while support is situated near $66.

瀏覽 LTC/USD 日線圖可以發現，過去幾個月該加密貨幣一直在對稱三角形的範圍內交易。阻力位在 100 美元左右，支撐位在 66 美元附近。

Despite several attempts to break out to the upside, Litecoin has consistently failed to cross above the psychological $100 level. Interestingly, the volume profile seems to be supporting the bearish case.

儘管萊特幣多次嘗試向上突破，但始終未能突破 100 美元的心理關卡。有趣的是，成交量分佈似乎支持看跌情況。

As Litecoin attempts to move higher, we can observe declining trading activity. This could indicate a lack of buying interest at current levels, increasing the likelihood of a pullback toward $66.12, the lower trendline of the triangle.

隨著萊特幣試圖走高，我們可以觀察到交易活動下降。這可能表明當前水平缺乏購買興趣，從而增加了回調至 66.12 美元（三角形下方趨勢線）的可能性。

In other words, we can expect to see LTC’s price drop by 30% before reaching the lower support level. A breakdown below this level could result in a further drop toward $40, which is aligned with historical support levels from 2020.

換句話說，我們預計 LTC 的價格在達到較低支撐位之前會下跌 30%。跌破該水平可能會導致進一步跌向 40 美元，這與 2020 年以來的歷史支撐位一致。

On the other hand, if LTC manages to break out above the upper trendline, it could be setting its sights on $130. A close above this level would invalidate the bearish pattern and open up the possibility of a move toward $150.

另一方面，如果 LTC 成功突破上方趨勢線，則可能將目標定在 130 美元。收盤價高於該水平將使看跌模式失效，並有可能升至 150 美元。

Macroeconomic Factors To Drive LTC Price toward $125 in Early 2025

宏觀經濟因素將推動 LTC 價格在 2025 年初漲至 125 美元

While December 2024 may pose challenges for Litecoin, the outlook for 2025 appears optimistic, thanks to external catalysts such as Donald Trump’s anticipated market-friendly policies and the potential launch of a Litecoin-focused exchange-traded fund (ETF).

雖然2024 年12 月可能會給萊特幣帶來挑戰，但由於唐納德·川普預期的市場友好政策以及可能推出專注於萊特幣的交易所交易基金(ETF) 等外部催化劑，2025 年的前景似乎樂觀。

Over the past year, there have been rumors circulating within the cryptocurrency community regarding the possibility of a Litecoin ETF. Now, it seems that these whispers may finally be coming to fruition.

在過去的一年裡，加密貨幣社群內一直流傳著關於萊特幣 ETF 的可能性的謠言。現在看來，這些竊竊私語或許終於要實現了。

According to recent reports, a registration statement has been filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for a spot LTC ETF. The proposed fund would hold Litecoin directly and track its daily net asset value based on the CoinDesk Litecoin Price Index (LTX).

根據最近報道，現貨 LTC ETF 已向美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 提交註冊聲明。擬議的基金將直接持有萊特幣，並根據 CoinDesk 萊特幣價格指數（LTX）追蹤其每日資產淨值。

This marks a critical step toward expanding institutional access to LTC investments, as the SEC has previously approved several physically backed Bitcoin ETFs and spot Ether ETFs.

這標誌著擴大機構對 LTC 投資的准入邁出了關鍵一步，因為 SEC 先前已批准了數個實物支持的比特幣 ETF 和現貨以太坊 ETF。

These developments pave the way for further integration of Litecoin into mainstream financial products, which could significantly boost its adoption and liquidity in 2025.

這些發展為萊特幣進一步融入主流金融產品鋪平了道路，這可能會在 2025 年顯著提高其採用率和流動性。