XRP可能正在閃爍長期看跌趨勢的早期跡象

目前，其MVRV比率（這是市場價值與人們實際為代幣支付的價格）的降至200天移動平均線的下降。

"Might" be flashing the early signs of a long-term bearish trend — or maybe it's just another fakeout in a market full of them.

“可能”正在閃爍長期看跌趨勢的早期跡象，或者也許只是在一個充滿市場的市場中的另一個假貨。

Now, though, its MVRV ratio (that's market value vs. what people actually paid for their tokens) has dipped below the 200-day moving average. Not great. But also... maybe not game over just yet.

但是，現在，其MVRV比率（這與人們實際為代幣支付的價格相比，這是市場價值）的降至200天移動平均線的下降。不好。但是...也許還沒有玩。

This kind of crossover has, in the past, sometimes led to bigger trend shifts. Sometimes. According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, it's still too early to call it confirmed — but if this signal holds, it could mean XRP's about to enter a different kind of phase. One where the price doesn't play nice.

過去，這種跨界有時會導致趨勢變化。有時。根據加密分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）的說法，現在稱其為確認還為時過早，但是如果該信號成立，這可能意味著XRP即將進入另一種階段。價格不好的地方。

This Week: A Drop, Then A Bounce

本週：一滴，然後彈跳

XRP didn't exactly close out March on a high note. In fact, it closed below its opening price on six out of seven trading days during the last week of the month. That's... not bullish.

XRP並沒有在高音中完全關閉三月。實際上，在當月最後一周的七個交易日中的六個交易日中的六個交易價格低於其開業價格。那不是看好。

The price slipped from almost $2.50 to end the month hovering around $2.02 — a solid drop that had some traders reaching for the panic button.

價格從近2.50美元下跌到結束月，徘徊在2.02美元左右，這是一些交易者達到恐慌按鈕的實力。

But on Monday morning, it slipped even lower, hitting lows of $1.97 before bouncing back. By Tuesday afternoon, it had already bounced back above $2, trading hands at around $2.1062. A move of over 7% in a single session.

但是在星期一早上，它降低了下滑，在彈跳之前跌入了1.97美元的低點。到星期二下午，它已經彈回2美元以上，交易價格約為2.1062美元。一次會議中的移動超過7％。

Still Rangebound — For Now

仍然可以使用 - 目前

Despite the warning signs and the slip below $2, XRP stayed afloat and bounced back inside that familiar $2 to $3 range it's been bouncing between for the last couple of months.

儘管有警告標誌和低於2美元的滑移，但XRP仍在漂浮，並在過去幾個月之間一直彈跳到熟悉的2至3美元之間。

At least for now, it seems to have avoided breaking down completely.

至少目前，它似乎已經避免了完全分解。

Cardano (ADA) Also Saw A Drop, Then A Bounce

卡爾達諾（ADA）也看到了一滴，然後彈跳

Funny enough, Cardano (ADA) is going through something eerily similar.

有趣的是，Cardano（ADA）正在經歷異常相似的事情。

ADA also dipped hard on Monday, falling to lows of $0.61 before bouncing cleanly off support and rallying almost 8%, landing near $0.6693 at press time.

艾達（Ada）週一還努力下跌，跌至0.61美元的低點，然後彈跳乾淨地支撐並集結了近8％，在發稿時降落接近0.6693美元。

The setup is kind of the same: a drop, a recovery, and a lot of questions.

設置是相同的：滴，恢復和許多問題。

And there's a little extra juice behind ADA's move.Coinbase just got the green light to offer CFTC-regulated ADA futures, which could give it a short-term tailwind. The approval came after the standard two-week review, and it might help build bullish momentum if traders decide to take it.

ADA的舉動背後還有一些額外的果汁。 Coinbase剛獲得了綠燈，可以提供CFTC調節的ADA期貨，這可能會給它帶來短期的逆風。批准是在標準為期兩週的評論之後獲得的，如果交易者決定接受它，這可能有助於建立看漲的動力。

Why People Are Watching XRP & ADA So Closely

為什麼人們如此仔細地觀看XRP和ADA

Here's the thing — neither XRP nor ADA are exactly "hot" altcoins right now. At least not in the same way that LINK or ATOM have been trending lately.

這就是事情 - XRP和ADA現在都不是“熱”山寨幣。至少與鏈接或原子最近流行的方式相同。

But they've both been getting attention because of their ties (or at least perceived ties) to U.S. policy circles and the current administration.

但是，由於與美國政策界和現任政府的聯繫（或至少有聯繫），他們倆都引起了人們的關注。

Both tokens have also become kind of bellwethers for the broader altcoin space. When they move, the market watches — and sometimes follows.

這兩個令牌也已成為較寬的山寨幣空間的鈴鐺。當他們移動時，市場會觀看 - 有時會跟隨。