XRP可能正在闪烁长期看跌趋势的早期迹象

目前，其MVRV比率（这是市场价值与人们实际为代币支付的价格）的降至200天移动平均线的下降。

"Might" be flashing the early signs of a long-term bearish trend — or maybe it's just another fakeout in a market full of them.

“可能”正在闪烁长期看跌趋势的早期迹象，或者也许只是在一个充满市场的市场中的另一个假货。

Now, though, its MVRV ratio (that's market value vs. what people actually paid for their tokens) has dipped below the 200-day moving average. Not great. But also... maybe not game over just yet.

但是，现在，其MVRV比率（这与人们实际为代币支付的价格相比，这是市场价值）的降至200天移动平均线的下降。不好。但是...也许还没有玩。

This kind of crossover has, in the past, sometimes led to bigger trend shifts. Sometimes. According to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, it's still too early to call it confirmed — but if this signal holds, it could mean XRP's about to enter a different kind of phase. One where the price doesn't play nice.

过去，这种跨界有时会导致趋势变化。有时。根据加密分析师阿里·马丁内斯（Ali Martinez）的说法，现在称其为确认还为时过早，但是如果该信号成立，这可能意味着XRP即将进入另一种阶段。价格不好的地方。

This Week: A Drop, Then A Bounce

本周：一滴，然后弹跳

XRP didn't exactly close out March on a high note. In fact, it closed below its opening price on six out of seven trading days during the last week of the month. That's... not bullish.

XRP并没有在高音中完全关闭三月。实际上，在当月最后一周的七个交易日中的六个交易日中的六个交易价格低于其开业价格。那不是看好。

The price slipped from almost $2.50 to end the month hovering around $2.02 — a solid drop that had some traders reaching for the panic button.

价格从近2.50美元下跌到结束月，徘徊在2.02美元左右，这是一些交易者达到恐慌按钮的实力。

But on Monday morning, it slipped even lower, hitting lows of $1.97 before bouncing back. By Tuesday afternoon, it had already bounced back above $2, trading hands at around $2.1062. A move of over 7% in a single session.

但是在星期一早上，它降低了下滑，在弹跳之前跌入了1.97美元的低点。到星期二下午，它已经弹回2美元以上，交易价格约为2.1062美元。一次会议中的移动超过7％。

Still Rangebound — For Now

仍然可以使用 - 目前

Despite the warning signs and the slip below $2, XRP stayed afloat and bounced back inside that familiar $2 to $3 range it's been bouncing between for the last couple of months.

尽管有警告标志和低于2美元的滑移，但XRP仍在漂浮，并在过去几个月之间一直弹跳到熟悉的2至3美元之间。

At least for now, it seems to have avoided breaking down completely.

至少目前，它似乎已经避免了完全分解。

Cardano (ADA) Also Saw A Drop, Then A Bounce

卡尔达诺（ADA）也看到了一滴，然后弹跳

Funny enough, Cardano (ADA) is going through something eerily similar.

有趣的是，Cardano（ADA）正在经历异常相似的事情。

ADA also dipped hard on Monday, falling to lows of $0.61 before bouncing cleanly off support and rallying almost 8%, landing near $0.6693 at press time.

艾达（Ada）周一还努力下跌，跌至0.61美元的低点，然后弹跳干净地支撑并集结了近8％，在发稿时降落接近0.6693美元。

The setup is kind of the same: a drop, a recovery, and a lot of questions.

设置是相同的：滴，恢复和许多问题。

And there's a little extra juice behind ADA's move.Coinbase just got the green light to offer CFTC-regulated ADA futures, which could give it a short-term tailwind. The approval came after the standard two-week review, and it might help build bullish momentum if traders decide to take it.

ADA的举动背后还有一些额外的果汁。Coinbase刚获得了绿灯，可以提供CFTC调节的ADA期货，这可能会给它带来短期的逆风。批准是在标准为期两周的评论之后获得的，如果交易者决定接受它，这可能有助于建立看涨的动力。

Why People Are Watching XRP & ADA So Closely

为什么人们如此仔细地观看XRP和ADA

Here's the thing — neither XRP nor ADA are exactly "hot" altcoins right now. At least not in the same way that LINK or ATOM have been trending lately.

这就是事情 - XRP和ADA现在都不是“热”山寨币。至少与链接或原子最近流行的方式相同。

But they've both been getting attention because of their ties (or at least perceived ties) to U.S. policy circles and the current administration.

但是，由于与美国政策界和现任政府的联系（或至少有联系），他们俩都引起了人们的关注。

Both tokens have also become kind of bellwethers for the broader altcoin space. When they move, the market watches — and sometimes follows.

这两个令牌也已成为较宽的山寨币空间的铃铛。当他们移动时，市场会观看 - 有时会跟随。