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Hyperliquid [HYPE], a blockchain that hosts the largest decentralized perpetual futures exchange, has experienced remarkable growth since its launch in 2024. However, despite its achievements, concerns are emerging regarding its long-term sustainability.
Hyperliquid’s Footprint Expands
Hyperliquid’s launch was followed by a rapid rise in market share, thanks to its perpetual futures exchange, which now commands 70% of the market, outpacing rivals like GMX and dYdX. This positioned Hyperliquid as a major player among decentralized exchanges (DEXs), handling approximately $260 million in daily transactions.
Meanwhile, DEX trading volumes reached record highs of $433 billion in December 2024, further highlighting the industry’s momentum. But as Hyperliquid basked in these achievements, questions arose about its ability to maintain these gains over the long haul.
A recent report by VanEck expressed concerns regarding Hyperliquid’s market valuation of $25 billion, which is largely driven by the meteoric rise of the HYPE token. Without stronger developer engagement, this valuation could be at risk, the report stated.
Hyperliquid’s smart contract platform has yet to cultivate a vibrant ecosystem of developers, which is crucial for sustaining growth and delivering on community expectations, the report added.
Diversification and Strategic Challenges
Hyperliquid’s airdrop, heralded as 2024’s most successful token generation event, has put HYPE in the spotlight. The token saw gains of over 500% within a month, peaking at $34 before stabilizing around $25 in early January 2025.
However, as VanEck pointed out, maintaining this momentum requires a broader use case beyond its highly successful perpetual futures exchange.
Hyperliquid’s ambitions extend beyond its flagship exchange. By introducing an Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM)-compatible smart contract platform in 2025, Hyperliquid aims to diversify its utility and attract decentralized application (dApp) developers.
Early testnet activity has shown encouraging signs, with at least six native dApps already operational and garnering thousands of users. This development marks a crucial step in positioning Hyperliquid as a general-purpose blockchain rather than a single-product platform.
Challenges in a Competitive Market
Hyperliquid’s rise has been swift, but maintaining its competitive edge will be challenging. According to VanEck, DEXs often struggle with a lack of long-term competitive moats due to their reliance on open-source technology, which makes features easily replicable.
Without unique innovations or a loyal developer community, sustaining market dominance could be difficult. Another critical aspect is network decentralization. The selection process of validators for Hyperliquid is taken by the governing body called the Hyper Foundation, which has been questioned multiple times.
The foundation, therefore, clarified that validator roles are given out based on merit, hence reinstating its transparency and fairness policy. This would help to gain the much-needed trust of the community—a key factor in any blockchain ecosystem.
Will Hyperliquid Meet Its Lofty Expectations?
The next 12 months will be pivotal for Hyperliquid. The success of its EVM-compatible platform will determine whether it can evolve into a multi-faceted blockchain capable of supporting diverse applications.
Expanding its developer base, fostering innovation, and addressing community concerns will be vital to sustaining its impressive market valuation and long-term relevance.
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