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以太坊的交易費用已達到六個月來的最低點,平均為 1.12 美元。此次下跌與 ETH 價格小幅上漲同時發生,可能預示著山寨幣的潛在反彈。汽油費的下降與歷史趨勢一致,通常在市場高點時達到頂峰,在低點時下降。儘管由於 ETH 發行量多於銷毀量導致流通供應增加,但在 DeFi 激增的推動下,以太坊網路在 2024 年經歷了顯著的活動成長。
Ethereum's Plunging Gas Fees Signal Potential Altcoin Rally
以太坊汽油費暴跌預示著山寨幣的潛在反彈
Key Findings
主要發現
- Ethereum transaction fees have plummeted to their lowest point in six months.
- Lower gas fees, coupled with a market dip, suggest a potential recovery for Ethereum and altcoins.
- Despite increased supply, Ethereum's network activity has surged due to DeFi growth.
- Analysts anticipate a potential altcoin rally triggered by reduced gas fees.
Gas Fees Hit All-time Lows
以太坊交易費用已暴跌至六個月來的最低點。的成長而激增。
Ethereum's gas fees have descended to their lowest levels in six months, aligning with a modest uptick in Ethereum's price. The average transaction fee has fallen to a mere $1.12, according to the crypto analytics platform Santiment.
以太坊的汽油費已降至六個月來的最低水平,與以太坊價格的小幅上漲一致。根據加密貨幣分析平台 Santiment 的數據,平均交易費用已降至僅 1.12 美元。
Santiment interprets this decline as a potential indicator of an impending altcoin rally. Gas fees tend to fluctuate with investor sentiment, reaching peaks during market highs and bottoms during market lows.
Santiment 將這種下跌解讀為山寨幣即將上漲的潛在指標。天然氣費往往會隨著投資者情緒而波動,在市場高點時達到峰值,在市場低點時觸底。
Market Retracement and Network Respite
市場回調與網路喘息
The recent market correction, along with decreased network demand, could facilitate a faster-than-expected recovery for Ethereum and related altcoins, notes Santiment. Ethereum's price has witnessed a 4.3% increase over the last week.
Santiment 指出,最近的市場調整以及網路需求的下降可能會促進以太坊和相關山寨幣的復甦速度快於預期。以太幣的價格上週上漲了 4.3%。
Layer-2 Networks Surge
二層網路激增
Notably, three Ethereum layer-2 networks - Optimism (OP), Arbitrum (ARB), and Polygon - have emerged among the top five best-performing assets within the top 50 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. These networks have posted impressive gains, ranging from 2.8% to 11.7%.
值得注意的是,三個以太坊第 2 層網路——Optimism (OP)、Arbitrum (ARB) 和 Polygon——已躋身市值排名前 50 的加密貨幣中表現最佳的前 5 名資產之列。這些網路的漲幅令人印象深刻,從 2.8% 到 11.7% 不等。
Circulating Supply Increase
流通供應量增加
However, the downturn in network activity has resulted in an increase in Ethereum's circulating supply. Over the past month, 74,458 new ETH were issued, while only 57,516 were burned, leading to a net supply increase of 16,979 ETH. This contrasts with the deflation witnessed in recent months.
然而,網路活動的低迷導致以太坊的流通供應量增加。過去一個月,新發行了 74,458 枚 ETH,而僅銷毀了 57,516 枚,淨供應量增加了 16,979 枚 ETH。這與近幾個月出現的通貨緊縮形成鮮明對比。
Ethereum's Proof-of-Stake Transition and DeFi Surge
以太坊的權益證明轉型和 DeFi 激增
Ethereum transitioned to a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism in September 2022, aiming to reduce the overall supply and increase its value. Since then, over 437,000 ETH have been burned.
以太坊於 2022 年 9 月過渡到權益證明共識機制,旨在減少整體供應量並增加其價值。從那時起,已有超過 437,000 個 ETH 被燒毀。
Despite the circulating supply increase, Ethereum's network activity has flourished due to the surge in decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. In the first quarter of 2024, Ethereum's network revenue reached $365 million, representing a 155% year-on-year growth.
儘管流通供應量增加,但由於去中心化金融(DeFi)應用程式的激增,以太坊的網路活動仍然蓬勃發展。 2024年第一季,以太坊網路營收達3.65億美元,年增155%。
The increase in network activity has driven Ethereum's average daily transactions to surpass last year's figures, currently standing at 1.15 million. This is approaching the peak levels observed during Ethereum's significant run in 2021.
網路活動的增加推動以太坊的日均交易量超過去年的數字,目前為 115 萬筆。這正在接近 2021 年以太坊大幅運行期間觀察到的峰值水平。
Implications for Altcoins
對山寨幣的影響
Analysts speculate that the drop in gas fees, coupled with Ethereum's network breather and the surge in layer-2 networks, could trigger an altcoin rally. Lower gas fees make it more affordable for users to interact with Ethereum applications, potentially stimulating activity and driving up the prices of related altcoins.
分析師推測,汽油費的下降,加上以太坊網路的喘息和第二層網路的激增,可能會引發山寨幣的反彈。較低的汽油費使用戶能夠更實惠地與以太坊應用程式進行交互,從而可能刺激活動並推高相關山寨幣的價格。
About the Author
關於作者
Teuta Franjkovic is a seasoned writer and editor with over 15 years of experience. She specializes in covering macroeconomics, technology, cryptocurrency, and blockchain. Her expertise has been featured in various publications, including Forbes, Bloomberg, CoinTelegraph, and CoinSpeaker.
Teuta Franjkovic 是一位經驗豐富的作家和編輯,擁有超過 15 年的經驗。她的專業領域涵蓋宏觀經濟、技術、加密貨幣和區塊鏈。她的專業知識曾在《富比士》、《彭博社》、《CoinTelegraph》和《CoinSpeaker》等多種出版物中得到報導。
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