以太坊汽油费暴跌暗示山寨币即将上涨

以太坊的交易费用已达到六个月来的最低点，平均为 1.12 美元。此次下跌与 ETH 价格小幅上涨同时发生，可能预示着山寨币的潜在反弹。汽油费的下降与历史趋势一致，通常在市场高点时达到顶峰，在低点时下降。尽管由于 ETH 发行量多于销毁量导致流通供应量增加，但在 DeFi 激增的推动下，以太坊网络在 2024 年经历了显着的活动增长。

Ethereum's Plunging Gas Fees Signal Potential Altcoin Rally

以太坊汽油费暴跌预示着山寨币的潜在反弹

Key Findings

主要发现

• Ethereum transaction fees have plummeted to their lowest point in six months.
• Lower gas fees, coupled with a market dip, suggest a potential recovery for Ethereum and altcoins.
• Despite increased supply, Ethereum's network activity has surged due to DeFi growth.
• Analysts anticipate a potential altcoin rally triggered by reduced gas fees.

Gas Fees Hit All-time Lows

以太坊交易费用已暴跌至六个月来的最低点。较低的 Gas 费用，加上市场下跌，表明以太坊和山寨币有潜在的复苏。尽管供应量增加，但以太坊的网络活动由于 DeFi 的增长而激增。分析师预计，以太坊的网络活动可能会出现复苏。天然气费降低引发山寨币上涨。天然气费创历史新低

Ethereum's gas fees have descended to their lowest levels in six months, aligning with a modest uptick in Ethereum's price. The average transaction fee has fallen to a mere $1.12, according to the crypto analytics platform Santiment.

以太坊的汽油费已降至六个月来的最低水平，与以太坊价格的小幅上涨一致。根据加密货币分析平台 Santiment 的数据，平均交易费用已降至仅为 1.12 美元。

Santiment interprets this decline as a potential indicator of an impending altcoin rally. Gas fees tend to fluctuate with investor sentiment, reaching peaks during market highs and bottoms during market lows.

Santiment 将这种下跌解读为山寨币即将上涨的潜在指标。天然气费往往会随着投资者情绪而波动，在市场高点时达到峰值，在市场低点时触底。

Market Retracement and Network Respite

市场回调和网络喘息

The recent market correction, along with decreased network demand, could facilitate a faster-than-expected recovery for Ethereum and related altcoins, notes Santiment. Ethereum's price has witnessed a 4.3% increase over the last week.

Santiment 指出，最近的市场调整以及网络需求的下降可能会促进以太坊和相关山寨币的复苏速度快于预期。以太坊的价格上周上涨了 4.3%。

Layer-2 Networks Surge

二层网络激增

Notably, three Ethereum layer-2 networks - Optimism (OP), Arbitrum (ARB), and Polygon - have emerged among the top five best-performing assets within the top 50 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization. These networks have posted impressive gains, ranging from 2.8% to 11.7%.

值得注意的是，三个以太坊第 2 层网络——Optimism (OP)、Arbitrum (ARB) 和 Polygon——已跻身市值排名前 50 的加密货币中表现最佳的前 5 名资产之列。这些网络的涨幅令人印象深刻，从 2.8% 到 11.7% 不等。

Circulating Supply Increase

流通供应量增加

However, the downturn in network activity has resulted in an increase in Ethereum's circulating supply. Over the past month, 74,458 new ETH were issued, while only 57,516 were burned, leading to a net supply increase of 16,979 ETH. This contrasts with the deflation witnessed in recent months.

然而，网络活动的低迷导致以太坊的流通供应量增加。过去一个月，新发行了 74,458 枚 ETH，而仅销毁了 57,516 枚，净供应量增加了 16,979 枚 ETH。这与近几个月出现的通货紧缩形成鲜明对比。

Ethereum's Proof-of-Stake Transition and DeFi Surge

以太坊的权益证明转型和 DeFi 激增

Ethereum transitioned to a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism in September 2022, aiming to reduce the overall supply and increase its value. Since then, over 437,000 ETH have been burned.

以太坊于 2022 年 9 月过渡到权益证明共识机制，旨在减少总体供应量并增加其价值。从那时起，已有超过 437,000 个 ETH 被烧毁。

Despite the circulating supply increase, Ethereum's network activity has flourished due to the surge in decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. In the first quarter of 2024, Ethereum's network revenue reached $365 million, representing a 155% year-on-year growth.

尽管流通供应量增加，但由于去中心化金融（DeFi）应用程序的激增，以太坊的网络活动仍然蓬勃发展。 2024年第一季度，以太坊网络收入达到3.65亿美元，同比增长155%。

The increase in network activity has driven Ethereum's average daily transactions to surpass last year's figures, currently standing at 1.15 million. This is approaching the peak levels observed during Ethereum's significant run in 2021.

网络活动的增加推动以太坊的日均交易量超过去年的数字，目前为 115 万笔。这正在接近 2021 年以太坊大幅运行期间观察到的峰值水平。

Implications for Altcoins

对山寨币的影响

Analysts speculate that the drop in gas fees, coupled with Ethereum's network breather and the surge in layer-2 networks, could trigger an altcoin rally. Lower gas fees make it more affordable for users to interact with Ethereum applications, potentially stimulating activity and driving up the prices of related altcoins.

分析师推测，汽油费的下降，加上以太坊网络的喘息和第二层网络的激增，可能会引发山寨币的反弹。较低的汽油费使用户能够更实惠地与以太坊应用程序进行交互，从而可能刺激活动并推高相关山寨币的价格。

About the Author

关于作者

Teuta Franjkovic is a seasoned writer and editor with over 15 years of experience. She specializes in covering macroeconomics, technology, cryptocurrency, and blockchain. Her expertise has been featured in various publications, including Forbes, Bloomberg, CoinTelegraph, and CoinSpeaker.

Teuta Franjkovic 是一位经验丰富的作家和编辑，拥有超过 15 年的经验。她的专业领域涵盖宏观经济、技术、加密货币和区块链。她的专业知识曾在《福布斯》、《彭博社》、《CoinTelegraph》和《CoinSpeaker》等多种出版物中得到报道。

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