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根據 Coin Metrics 的數據,比特幣價格最近上漲 2% 至 69,105.03 美元。此前曾一度上漲至70,522.84美元。
Bitcoin price rose 2% Tuesday evening to $69,105.03, as investors waited for direction on the potential outcome of the U.S. presidential election.
由於投資者等待美國總統大選潛在結果的方向,比特幣價格週二晚間上漲 2% 至 69,105.03 美元。
Earlier, bitcoin rose as high as $70,522.84, putting it just 5% away from its all-time high, which it traded near last week.
早些時候,比特幣漲至 70,522.84 美元,距離上週接近的歷史高點僅 5%。
A clear winner in the election has yet to be declared, and investors are expecting bitcoin trading to be choppy until that happens.
選舉的明顯獲勝者尚未宣布,投資者預計在此之前比特幣交易將出現波動。
Vice President Kamala Harris is expected to bring risk of downside moves to the price of bitcoin, while traders anticipate a bump in price in the event of a win by former President Donald Trump.
預計副總統卡馬拉·哈里斯將為比特幣價格帶來下行風險,而交易員預計,如果前總統川普獲勝,比特幣價格將會上漲。
"The election is having a massive influence on crypto," said Ryan Rasmussen, head of research at Bitwise Asset Management. "Expect bitcoin – and crypto more broadly – to be choppy in the days ahead … until we have definitive election results."
Bitwise 資產管理公司研究主管 Ryan Rasmussen 表示:“這次選舉對加密貨幣產生了巨大影響。” “預計比特幣——以及更廣泛的加密貨幣——在未來幾天會出現波動……直到我們得到明確的選舉結果。”
"If Trump wins, I believe we'll see new all-time highs," Rasmussen added. "If Harris wins, I expect a decent short-term sell-off, with prices taking a month or two to recover. But eventually, either way, I think we go higher."
「如果川普獲勝,我相信我們將看到新的歷史高點,」拉斯穆森補充道。 “如果哈里斯獲勝,我預計短期內會出現相當大的拋售,價格需要一兩個月才能恢復。但最終,無論哪種方式,我認為我們都會走高。”
Bitcoin is widely expected to rise to a new record in coming weeks. In the 2012, 2016 and 2020 elections, bitcoin saw returns of roughly 87%, 44% and 145% in the 90 days following election day, respectively.
人們普遍預計比特幣將在未來幾週內升至新紀錄。在 2012 年、2016 年和 2020 年的選舉中,比特幣在選舉日後 90 天內的回報率分別約為 87%、44% 和 145%。
That's in part because election years happen to fall on Bitcoin halving years, when the supply of the cryptocurrency ratchets downward. Post election returns have also tended to align with major Federal Reserve policy shifts. This year, the market is looking forward to further interest rate reductions.
部分原因是選舉年恰逢比特幣減半年,此時加密貨幣的供應量逐漸下降。選舉後的回報也往往與聯準會的重大政策轉變保持一致。今年,市場期待進一步降息。
Bitcoin has wavered around the $70,000 mark, after hitting that level last week for the first time since March. At about $69,000, bitcoin has been trading at its fair value price, according to CryptoQuant.
比特幣在上周自 3 月以來首次觸及 7 萬美元大關後,一直在 7 萬美元大關附近波動。根據 CryptoQuant 的數據,比特幣一直以其公允價值價格進行交易,價格約為 69,000 美元。
"For now, everyone we've spoken to is keeping their powder dry," said James Davies, CEO at crypto futures and options trading platform Crypto Valley Exchange. "I've heard from numerous leading market makers and traders and can say with conviction that almost everyone is set up to react. They don't even know which way markets will go based on [the] result. There's likely to be massive short-term volatility whichever outcome."
加密貨幣期貨和選擇權交易平台 Crypto Valley Exchange 執行長 James Davies 表示:“目前,我們採訪過的每個人都保持著警惕。” 「我從眾多領先的做市商和交易員那裡聽說過,並且可以確信地說,幾乎每個人都準備好做出反應。他們甚至不知道市場將根據結果走向何方。可能會出現大量空頭-期限波動,無論結果如何。
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