由于投资者等待美国总统选举潜在结果的方向，加密货币周二晚间小幅走高

根据 Coin Metrics 的数据，比特币价格最近上涨 2% 至 69,105.03 美元。此前曾一度上涨至70,522.84美元。

Bitcoin price rose 2% Tuesday evening to $69,105.03, as investors waited for direction on the potential outcome of the U.S. presidential election.

由于投资者等待美国总统大选的潜在结果，比特币价格周二晚间上涨 2% 至 69,105.03 美元。

Earlier, bitcoin rose as high as $70,522.84, putting it just 5% away from its all-time high, which it traded near last week.

早些时候，比特币涨至 70,522.84 美元，距离上周接近的历史高点仅 5%。

A clear winner in the election has yet to be declared, and investors are expecting bitcoin trading to be choppy until that happens.

选举的明显获胜者尚未宣布，投资者预计在此之前比特币交易将出现波动。

Vice President Kamala Harris is expected to bring risk of downside moves to the price of bitcoin, while traders anticipate a bump in price in the event of a win by former President Donald Trump.

预计副总统卡马拉·哈里斯将给比特币价格带来下行风险，而交易员预计，如果前总统唐纳德·特朗普获胜，比特币价格将会上涨。

"The election is having a massive influence on crypto," said Ryan Rasmussen, head of research at Bitwise Asset Management. "Expect bitcoin – and crypto more broadly – to be choppy in the days ahead … until we have definitive election results."

Bitwise 资产管理公司研究主管 Ryan Rasmussen 表示：“这次选举对加密货币产生了巨大影响。” “预计比特币——以及更广泛的加密货币——在未来几天会出现波动……直到我们得到明确的选举结果。”

"If Trump wins, I believe we'll see new all-time highs," Rasmussen added. "If Harris wins, I expect a decent short-term sell-off, with prices taking a month or two to recover. But eventually, either way, I think we go higher."

“如果特朗普获胜，我相信我们将看到新的历史高点，”拉斯穆森补充道。 “如果哈里斯获胜，我预计短期内会出现相当大的抛售，价格需要一两个月才能恢复。但最终，无论哪种方式，我认为我们都会走高。”

Bitcoin is widely expected to rise to a new record in coming weeks. In the 2012, 2016 and 2020 elections, bitcoin saw returns of roughly 87%, 44% and 145% in the 90 days following election day, respectively.

人们普遍预计比特币将在未来几周内升至新纪录。在 2012 年、2016 年和 2020 年的选举中，比特币在选举日后 90 天内的回报率分别约为 87%、44% 和 145%。

That's in part because election years happen to fall on Bitcoin halving years, when the supply of the cryptocurrency ratchets downward. Post election returns have also tended to align with major Federal Reserve policy shifts. This year, the market is looking forward to further interest rate reductions.

部分原因是选举年恰逢比特币减半年，此时加密货币的供应量逐渐下降。选举后的回报也往往与美联储的重大政策转变保持一致。今年，市场期待进一步降息。

Bitcoin has wavered around the $70,000 mark, after hitting that level last week for the first time since March. At about $69,000, bitcoin has been trading at its fair value price, according to CryptoQuant.

比特币在上周自 3 月份以来首次触及 70,000 美元大关后，一直在 70,000 美元大关附近波动。根据 CryptoQuant 的数据，比特币一直以其公允价值价格进行交易，价格约为 69,000 美元。

"For now, everyone we've spoken to is keeping their powder dry," said James Davies, CEO at crypto futures and options trading platform Crypto Valley Exchange. "I've heard from numerous leading market makers and traders and can say with conviction that almost everyone is set up to react. They don't even know which way markets will go based on [the] result. There's likely to be massive short-term volatility whichever outcome."

加密货币期货和期权交易平台 Crypto Valley Exchange 首席执行官詹姆斯·戴维斯 (James Davies) 表示：“目前，我们采访过的每个人都保持着警惕。” “我从众多领先的做市商和交易员那里听说过，并且可以确信地说，几乎每个人都准备好做出反应。他们甚至不知道市场将根据结果走向何方。可能会出现大量空头- 期限波动，无论结果如何。”