加密貨幣分析師預測比特幣潛在飆升與美元指數疲軟有關

加密貨幣分析師 Jamie Coutts 強調了監控美元指數（DXY）以發現潛在的比特幣反彈的重要性。從歷史上看，美元指數走弱與比特幣夏季反彈同時發生，使其成為值得關注的關鍵指標。 Coutts 表示，DXY 跌破 101 關口可能會引發比特幣大幅上漲，有可能達到 15 萬美元。

Crypto Analyst Signals Potential Surge in Bitcoin Value

加密貨幣分析師表示比特幣價值可能飆升

Noted crypto analyst Jamie Coutts has identified a key indicator that has historically preceded significant rallies in Bitcoin (BTC) during the second and third quarters of the year. This indicator, known as the dollar index (DXY), measures the strength of the US dollar against a basket of other major currencies.

著名加密貨幣分析師 Jamie Coutts 發現了一個關鍵指標，該指標歷來在今年第二和第三季比特幣 (BTC) 大幅反彈之前出現。此指標稱為美元指數（DXY），衡量美元兌一籃子其他主要貨幣的強勢。

Coutts observed that the DXY has often exhibited an inverse correlation with risk assets, such as Bitcoin. When the dollar strengthens, risk assets tend to decline, and vice versa. Notably, every major Bitcoin rally that has occurred during the summer months (June to September) has been preceded by a weakening DXY.

Coutts 觀察到，DXY 經常與比特幣等風險資產呈負相關。當美元走強時，風險資產往往會下降，反之亦然。值得注意的是，夏季（6 月至 9 月）發生的每一次比特幣大幅上漲之前都伴隨著 DXY 的走弱。

"If there was one indicator to watch to gauge the validity of this thesis, I believe it would be the dollar," Coutts remarked. "Every BTC summer rally has been heralded by a strengthening dollar that subsequently peaks and reverses course, initiating a sharp upward trajectory for BTC."

「如果有一個指標值得關注來衡量這一論點的有效性，我相信那就是美元，」庫茨表示。 “每次 BTC 夏季上漲都以美元走強為先兆，美元隨後見頂並逆轉走勢，開啟了 BTC 的大幅上漲軌跡。”

At present, the DXY is consolidating within a narrow trading range. Coutts suggests that a decisive break below the 101 level could trigger a substantial rally for BTC. Conversely, a breakout above 107-108 could exert considerable downward pressure on risk assets.

目前，美元指數在窄幅區間內盤整。 Coutts 表示，決定性跌破 101 水準可能會引發 BTC 大幅反彈。相反，突破107-108可能會對風險資產造成相當大的下行壓力。

"A move below 101 should lead to a decline into the low 90s," Coutts stated. "Historically, such a move has coincided with a surge in BTC value to approximately $150,000."

Coutts 表示：“跌破 101 應該會導致跌至 90 左右。” “從歷史上看，這一舉措與 BTC 價值飆升至約 15 萬美元同時發生。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $67,759. Should the DXY follow the historical pattern identified by Coutts, it could potentially pave the way for a significant upward movement in Bitcoin's value in the coming months. Investors are advised to monitor the DXY closely for any potential breakouts or reversals that may signal a change in market sentiment.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 67,759 美元。如果美元指數遵循顧資銀行確定的歷史模式，則可能為未來幾個月比特幣價值的大幅上漲鋪平道路。建議投資人密切注意 DXY 是否出現任何可能預示市場情緒變化的潛在突破或逆轉。