加密货币分析师预测比特币潜在飙升与美元指数疲软有关

加密货币分析师 Jamie Coutts 强调了监控美元指数（DXY）以发现潜在的比特币反弹的重要性。从历史上看，美元指数走弱与比特币夏季反弹同时发生，使其成为值得关注的关键指标。 Coutts 表示，DXY 跌破 101 关口可能会引发比特币大幅上涨，有可能达到 150,000 美元。

Crypto Analyst Signals Potential Surge in Bitcoin Value

加密货币分析师表示比特币价值可能飙升

Noted crypto analyst Jamie Coutts has identified a key indicator that has historically preceded significant rallies in Bitcoin (BTC) during the second and third quarters of the year. This indicator, known as the dollar index (DXY), measures the strength of the US dollar against a basket of other major currencies.

著名加密货币分析师杰米·库茨 (Jamie Coutts) 发现了一个关键指标，该指标历来在今年第二和第三季度比特币 (BTC) 大幅反弹之前出现。该指标称为美元指数（DXY），衡量美元兑一篮子其他主要货币的强势。

Coutts observed that the DXY has often exhibited an inverse correlation with risk assets, such as Bitcoin. When the dollar strengthens, risk assets tend to decline, and vice versa. Notably, every major Bitcoin rally that has occurred during the summer months (June to September) has been preceded by a weakening DXY.

Coutts 观察到，DXY 经常与比特币等风险资产呈负相关。当美元走强时，风险资产往往会下降，反之亦然。值得注意的是，夏季（6 月至 9 月）发生的每一次比特币大幅上涨之前都伴随着 DXY 的走弱。

"If there was one indicator to watch to gauge the validity of this thesis, I believe it would be the dollar," Coutts remarked. "Every BTC summer rally has been heralded by a strengthening dollar that subsequently peaks and reverses course, initiating a sharp upward trajectory for BTC."

“如果有一个指标值得关注来衡量这一论点的有效性，我相信那就是美元，”库茨表示。 “每次 BTC 夏季上涨都以美元走强为先兆，美元随后见顶并逆转走势，开启了 BTC 的大幅上涨轨迹。”

At present, the DXY is consolidating within a narrow trading range. Coutts suggests that a decisive break below the 101 level could trigger a substantial rally for BTC. Conversely, a breakout above 107-108 could exert considerable downward pressure on risk assets.

目前，美元指数在窄幅区间内盘整。 Coutts 表示，决定性跌破 101 水平可能会引发 BTC 大幅反弹。相反，突破107-108可能会给风险资产带来相当大的下行压力。

"A move below 101 should lead to a decline into the low 90s," Coutts stated. "Historically, such a move has coincided with a surge in BTC value to approximately $150,000."

Coutts 表示：“跌破 101 应该会导致跌至 90 左右。” “从历史上看，这一举措与 BTC 价值飙升至约 15 万美元同时发生。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $67,759. Should the DXY follow the historical pattern identified by Coutts, it could potentially pave the way for a significant upward movement in Bitcoin's value in the coming months. Investors are advised to monitor the DXY closely for any potential breakouts or reversals that may signal a change in market sentiment.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 67,759 美元。如果美元指数遵循顾资银行确定的历史模式，则可能为未来几个月比特币价值的大幅上涨铺平道路。建议投资者密切关注 DXY 是否出现任何可能预示市场情绪变化的潜在突破或逆转。