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CFTC 和 Kalshi 之間持續的法律糾紛正在加劇,但監管機構並不有利。
The upcoming U.S. presidential election is a hot topic in the financial industry, with a surge in activity on prediction markets. These platforms allow users to place bets on various aspects of the election, such as who will win or the likelihood of certain policies being implemented.
即將到來的美國總統大選是金融界的熱門話題,預測市場的活動激增。這些平台允許用戶對選舉的各個方面進行投注,例如誰會獲勝或實施某些政策的可能性。
However, the increasing activity on prediction markets has also attracted the attention of regulators, particularly the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The commission has been attempting to shut down ongoing bets related to the upcoming election, but its efforts have faced legal challenges.
然而,預測市場日益活躍也引起了監管機構的關注,特別是美國商品期貨交易委員會(CFTC)。該委員會一直試圖阻止與即將到來的選舉相關的持續押注,但其努力面臨法律挑戰。
Court Rejects CFTC’s Bid to Shut Kalshi
法院駁回 CFTC 關閉 Kalshi 的請求
In the latest development, a U.S. appeals court has rejected the CFTC's request to halt operations of prediction platform Kalshi, which is offering derivatives wagering on the November U.S. presidential election.
在最新進展中,美國一家上訴法院駁回了 CFTC 停止預測平台 Kalshi 營運的請求,該平台正在提供針對 11 月美國總統大選的衍生性商品投注服務。
On Wednesday, Oct. 3, the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit dismissed the CFTC's application for a stay order, which sought to block Kalshi from continuing to offer these bets.
10 月 3 日星期三,美國哥倫比亞特區巡迴上訴法院駁回了 CFTC 的中止令申請,該申請旨在阻止 Kalshi 繼續提供這些賭注。
This ruling comes after the commission filed for an “emergency stay order” on Sept. 6, following a loss in its long-running battle against Kalshi over the legality of its election wagering derivatives.
這項裁決是在該委員會於 9 月 6 日提交「緊急中止令」之後作出的,此前該委員會在與 Kalshi 就其選舉投注衍生品的合法性問題進行的長期鬥爭中失敗。
According to the appeals court, the CFTC failed to provide sufficient evidence to support its claims for the stay order request. The commission did not demonstrate that “irreparable harm” would occur if Kalshi were to continue its operations, the court stated.
上訴法院稱,CFTC 未能提供足夠的證據來支持其中止令請求的主張。法院表示,該委員會並未證明,如果卡爾希繼續運營,將會造成「無法彌補的損害」。
The commission's concerns about potential market manipulation and the integrity of the electoral process were deemed largely speculative and insufficient to justify its request, according to the court.
法院表示,該委員會對潛在市場操縱和選舉程序完整性的擔憂在很大程度上被認為是推測性的,不足以證明其要求的合理性。
Despite the setback, the court's ruling leaves the door open for the CFTC to re-file its application if substantial evidence does emerge. This suggests that the commission may make another attempt to shut down Kalshi's election wagering derivatives, especially as it continues to ramp up its scrutiny of prediction markets.
儘管遭遇挫折,但法院的裁決為商品期貨交易委員會在確實出現實質證據時重新提交申請敞開了大門。這表明該委員會可能會再次嘗試關閉卡爾希的選舉投注衍生品,特別是在它繼續加強對預測市場的審查的情況下。
CFTC Ramps Up Scrutiny of Prediction Platforms
CFTC 加強對預測平台的審查
In a recent interview, CFTC Chair Rostin Behnam highlighted the commission's intention to crack down on prediction markets that violate regulations, mentioning Kalshi and decentralized prediction platform Polymarkets by name.
在最近的一次採訪中,CFTC 主席 Rostin Behnam 強調了該委員會打擊違規預測市場的意圖,並提到了 Kalshi 和去中心化預測平台 Polymarkets 的名字。
According to Behnam, several risks are involved with unregulated prediction markets, and he stated that they could influence voter behavior, potentially impacting democratic processes.
貝納姆表示,不受監管的預測市場涉及多種風險,他表示這些風險可能會影響選民的行為,進而可能影響民主進程。
The commission has asserted that the Commodity Exchange Act prohibits contracts tied to certain sensitive topics and that it's prepared to use its authority to crack down on platforms that enable such contracts.
該委員會聲稱,《商品交易法》禁止與某些敏感主題相關的合同,並準備利用其權力打擊支持此類合約的平台。
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