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隨著時間的推移,比特幣的價值變動產生了廣泛的影響。然而,從金融影響到地緣政治宣傳,中東地區不斷升級的地緣政治結果是否會影響比特幣?
Bitcoin’s [BTC] value motion has been influenced by a wide range of factors over time. From financial trends to geopolitical news, how might the escalating geopolitical events in the Middle-East impact Bitcoin?
隨著時間的推移,比特幣的價值變動受到多種因素的影響。從金融趨勢到地緣政治新聞,中東不斷升級的地緣政治事件將如何影響比特幣?
Before we explore the potential Bitcoin impact, it is important to note that war, especially of the physical nature, is ضد to human advancement, and our sympathies lie with those affected.
在我們探討比特幣的潛在影響之前,重要的是要注意戰爭,尤其是物理性質的戰爭,對人類進步至關重要,我們對受影響的人表示同情。
The threat of major geopolitical conflicts tends to have a widespread impact, especially on markets.
重大地緣政治衝突的威脅往往會產生廣泛的影響,尤其是對市場的影響。
Investors are usually less enthusiastic about investing not only in Bitcoin but also in the broader risk-on investment landscape during times of conflict.
在衝突時期,投資者通常不僅對投資比特幣,而且對投資更廣泛的創投領域也不太熱衷。
This was the case in February 2022 when the Russia-Ukraine war began. Bitcoin and the rest of crypto experienced significant outflows as the investment landscape shifted to a cautious stance.
2022年2月俄烏戰爭爆發時就是這種情況。隨著投資格局轉向謹慎立場,比特幣和其他加密貨幣經歷了大幅資金外流。
Will Bitcoin face a similar fate this time?
比特幣這次會面臨類似的命運嗎?
So far, Bitcoin has already seen a substantial outflow in the last 5 days, dropping from a high of $66,000 to its press time price of $60,450.
到目前為止,比特幣在過去 5 天內已經出現大幅流出,從 66,000 美元的高點跌至發稿時的 60,450 美元。
Exchange inflows were at 10,278 BTC in the last 24 hours, while exchange outflows were lower at 9,278 BTC.
過去 24 小時內,交易所流入量為 10,278 BTC,而交易所流出量較低,為 9,278 BTC。
Higher exchange inflows than outflows signaled that Bitcoin could dip below the $60,000 mark heading into the weekend if the selling pressure remained.
外匯流入量高於流出量表明,如果拋售壓力持續存在,比特幣可能會在周末跌破 60,000 美元大關。
However, it is also worth noting that both inflows and outflows have been slowing down for the last three days.
然而,同樣值得注意的是,過去三天的流入和流出都在放緩。
It was unclear whether the volatile geopolitical situation played a role in the market sentiment so far. This is because the selling pressure this week could also be a result of profit-taking from Bitcoin’s rally in September.
到目前為止,尚不清楚不穩定的地緣政治局勢是否對市場情緒產生了影響。這是因為本週的拋售壓力也可能是由於 9 月比特幣上漲帶來的獲利了結所造成的。
While it is possible that the rising tensions could impact Bitcoin by influencing sentiment, the current situation also happens to be a bit different.
雖然緊張局勢升級可能會透過影響情緒來影響比特幣,但目前的情況也恰好有些不同。
BTC’s selling pressure in early 2022 had several factors hammering down on the cryptocurrency.
2022 年初 BTC 的拋售壓力受到多種因素的影響。
This was around the same time that interest rates were being raised by governments, hence liquidity was flowing out of the market a lot faster.
大約在同一時間,政府提高利率,因此流動性以更快的速度流出市場。
ونزالاتي Bitcoin’s Price Prediction 2024–2025
我的比賽 2024-2025 年比特幣價格預測
One major difference this time is that global liquidity is on the verge of increasing thanks to interest rate cuts. In other words, the dynamics are far more varied this time.
這次的一個主要差異是,由於降息,全球流動性即將增加。換句話說,這次的動態變化要大得多。
Ultimately, geopolitical tensions are bound to have an impact in the short-term, but that impact could also be diluted by the changing liquidity scenario.
最終,地緣政治緊張局勢必然會在短期內產生影響,但這種影響也可能會被不斷變化的流動性情境所削弱。
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