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中東地緣政治緊張局勢引發的最新拋售導致價格失去了關鍵支撐位:50 日指數移動平均線 (EMA) 為 61,318 美元,100 日指數移動平均線為 61,438 美元。
Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped by over $6,000 between Sept. 29 and Oct. 3, reaching a two-week low of $59,860 and based on the intra-day price action, it looks like the decline is set to continue.
9 月 29 日至 10 月 3 日期間,比特幣 (BTC) 價格下跌超過 6,000 美元,觸及兩週低點 59,860 美元,根據盤中價格走勢,跌勢似乎將持續下去。
BTC/USD hourly chart. Source: TradingView
比特幣/美元每小時圖。來源:TradingView
The latest sell-off, triggered by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, has seen the price lose key support levels: the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $61,318 and the 100-day EMA at $61,438.
中東地緣政治緊張局勢引發的最新拋售導致價格失去了關鍵支撐位:50 日指數移動平均線 (EMA) 為 61,318 美元,100 日指數移動平均線為 61,438 美元。
“#Bitcoin still appears to be heading lower,” declared Bitcoin analyst AlphaBTC in an Oct. 3 post on X.
比特幣分析師 AlphaBTC 在 10 月 3 日的 X 帖子中宣稱:“#Bitcoin 似乎仍在走低。”
The analyst was referring to Bitcoin’s price action since Sept. 29, when it turned away from highs of $66,071, undoing some of the gains made from “FOMO buying” when BTC recovered from the Sept. 6 local low of $52,546.
這位分析師指的是自9 月29 日以來比特幣的價格走勢,當時比特幣從66,071 美元的高點回落,抵消了BTC 從9 月6 日局部低點52,546 美元反彈時“FOMO 買盤”帶來的部分收益。
AlphaBTC said that, given what is happening geopolitically and the weakness starting to appear in US economic data, Bitcoin’s price is likely to drop further.
AlphaBTC表示,鑑於地緣政治正在發生的情況以及美國經濟數據開始疲軟,比特幣的價格可能會進一步下跌。
BTC/USD chart. Source: AlphaBTC
比特幣/美元圖表。資料來源:AlphaBTC
Fellow analyst Crypto Rover shared similar sentiments, saying that Bitcoin traders would be in a bad situation “if Bitcoin loses this support” provided by the $60,000 level.
分析師 Crypto Rover 也有類似的看法,他表示,“如果比特幣失去 60,000 美元水平提供的支撐”,比特幣交易者的處境將會很糟糕。
In an earlier post, AlphaBTC shared a chart presenting two scenarios for where BTC price could go in the short term. The first is a bullish case where Bitcoin would confirm a double-bottom structure “around the 61.8 Fib level” at $61,370. This would see BTC embark on a V-shaped recovery toward $70,000.
在先前的一篇文章中,AlphaBTC 分享了一張圖表,展示了 BTC 價格短期走勢的兩種情況。第一個是看漲情況,比特幣將確認「61.8斐波那契水平附近」的雙底結構,價格為 61,370 美元。這將使 BTC 開始 V 形復甦,朝 70,000 美元邁進。
The second is a bearish case involving a breakdown of the support at $60,000, swiftly moving the price down to $58,000.
第二個是看跌情況,涉及 60,000 美元支撐位的崩潰,價格迅速下跌至 58,000 美元。
BTC/USD daily chart. Source: AlphaBTC
比特幣/美元日線圖。資料來源:AlphaBTC
With the current price action, AlphaBTC sets the short-term target for Bitcoin between $57,500 and $61,300.
根據目前的價格走勢,AlphaBTC 將比特幣的短期目標設定在 57,500 美元至 61,300 美元之間。
Other analysts believe that Bitcoin’s price could see deeper corrections, setting targets between $58,000 and $52,000.
其他分析師認為,比特幣的價格可能會出現更深層的調整,將目標設定在 58,000 美元至 52,000 美元之間。
Independent trader Emperor Keo Xplus set the bearish target at $52,000 saying that $63,000 was an important level for the bulls.
獨立交易員Emperor Keo Xplus將看跌目標定為52,000美元,稱63,000美元對多頭來說是一個重要水準。
Source: Emperor Keo
資料來源:Keo皇帝
Pseudonymous analyst Crypto Patel shared similar sentiments, saying that if support at $60,000 is lost, the next logical move for the bears would be $55,000.
匿名分析師 Crypto Patel 也有類似的看法,他表示,如果失去 6 萬美元的支撐,空頭的下一個合乎邏輯的走勢將是 55,000 美元。
The 200-day EMA provides the last line of defense for Bitcoin price
200日均線為比特幣價格提供了最後一道防線
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows Bitcoin’s price action has formed a series of higher lows on the daily chart (see below) to stay above the ascending trendline. Bitcoin price is required to hold above this level to avoid sinking deeper.
來自 Cointelegraph Markets Pro 和 TradingView 的數據顯示,比特幣的價格走勢在日線圖上形成了一系列更高的低點(見下文),以保持在上升趨勢線之上。比特幣價格需要保持在該水平之上,以避免進一步下跌。
The appearance of a doji candlestick on the daily chart implied the importance of the $60,000 level for both buyers and sellers.
日線圖上十字燭台的出現暗示了 60,000 美元水平對買家和賣家的重要性。
BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView
比特幣/美元日線圖。來源:TradingView
However, if bulls lose the ongoing battle, they may retreat toward the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), which appears to be the last line of defense for Bitcoin at $59,890.
然而,如果多頭在這場持續的戰鬥中失敗,他們可能會撤向 200 天指數移動平均線 (EMA),這似乎是比特幣 59,890 美元的最後一道防線。
This suggests that high demand-side liquidity from this demand zone could push BTC’s price past the resistance provided by the 100-day and 50-day EMAs, ending the current sell-off.
這表明,來自該需求區域的高需求側流動性可能會推動 BTC 價格突破 100 日和 50 日均線提供的阻力,從而結束當前的拋售。
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