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中东地缘政治紧张局势引发的最新抛售导致价格失去了关键支撑位:50 日指数移动平均线 (EMA) 为 61,318 美元,100 日指数移动平均线为 61,438 美元。
Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped by over $6,000 between Sept. 29 and Oct. 3, reaching a two-week low of $59,860 and based on the intra-day price action, it looks like the decline is set to continue.
9 月 29 日至 10 月 3 日期间,比特币 (BTC) 价格下跌超过 6,000 美元,触及两周低点 59,860 美元,并且根据盘中价格走势,跌势似乎将持续下去。
BTC/USD hourly chart. Source: TradingView
比特币/美元每小时图表。来源:TradingView
The latest sell-off, triggered by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, has seen the price lose key support levels: the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $61,318 and the 100-day EMA at $61,438.
中东地缘政治紧张局势引发的最新抛售导致价格失去了关键支撑位:50 日指数移动平均线 (EMA) 为 61,318 美元,100 日指数移动平均线为 61,438 美元。
“#Bitcoin still appears to be heading lower,” declared Bitcoin analyst AlphaBTC in an Oct. 3 post on X.
比特币分析师 AlphaBTC 在 10 月 3 日的 X 帖子中宣称:“#Bitcoin 似乎仍在走低。”
The analyst was referring to Bitcoin’s price action since Sept. 29, when it turned away from highs of $66,071, undoing some of the gains made from “FOMO buying” when BTC recovered from the Sept. 6 local low of $52,546.
这位分析师指的是自 9 月 29 日以来比特币的价格走势,当时比特币从 66,071 美元的高点回落,抵消了 BTC 从 9 月 6 日局部低点 52,546 美元反弹时“FOMO 买盘”带来的部分收益。
AlphaBTC said that, given what is happening geopolitically and the weakness starting to appear in US economic data, Bitcoin’s price is likely to drop further.
AlphaBTC表示,鉴于地缘政治正在发生的情况以及美国经济数据开始出现疲软,比特币的价格可能会进一步下跌。
BTC/USD chart. Source: AlphaBTC
比特币/美元图表。来源:AlphaBTC
Fellow analyst Crypto Rover shared similar sentiments, saying that Bitcoin traders would be in a bad situation “if Bitcoin loses this support” provided by the $60,000 level.
分析师 Crypto Rover 也有类似的看法,他表示,“如果比特币失去 60,000 美元水平提供的支撑”,比特币交易者的处境将会很糟糕。
In an earlier post, AlphaBTC shared a chart presenting two scenarios for where BTC price could go in the short term. The first is a bullish case where Bitcoin would confirm a double-bottom structure “around the 61.8 Fib level” at $61,370. This would see BTC embark on a V-shaped recovery toward $70,000.
在之前的一篇文章中,AlphaBTC 分享了一张图表,展示了 BTC 价格短期走势的两种情况。第一个是看涨情况,比特币将确认“61.8斐波那契水平附近”的双底结构,价格为 61,370 美元。这将使 BTC 开始 V 形复苏,向 70,000 美元迈进。
The second is a bearish case involving a breakdown of the support at $60,000, swiftly moving the price down to $58,000.
第二个是看跌情况,涉及 60,000 美元支撑位的崩溃,价格迅速下跌至 58,000 美元。
BTC/USD daily chart. Source: AlphaBTC
比特币/美元日线图。来源:AlphaBTC
With the current price action, AlphaBTC sets the short-term target for Bitcoin between $57,500 and $61,300.
根据目前的价格走势,AlphaBTC 将比特币的短期目标设定在 57,500 美元至 61,300 美元之间。
Other analysts believe that Bitcoin’s price could see deeper corrections, setting targets between $58,000 and $52,000.
其他分析师认为,比特币的价格可能会出现更深层次的调整,将目标设定在 58,000 美元至 52,000 美元之间。
Independent trader Emperor Keo Xplus set the bearish target at $52,000 saying that $63,000 was an important level for the bulls.
独立交易员Emperor Keo Xplus将看跌目标定为52,000美元,称63,000美元对多头来说是一个重要水平。
Source: Emperor Keo
资料来源:Keo皇帝
Pseudonymous analyst Crypto Patel shared similar sentiments, saying that if support at $60,000 is lost, the next logical move for the bears would be $55,000.
匿名分析师 Crypto Patel 也有类似的看法,他表示,如果失去 60,000 美元的支撑,空头的下一个合乎逻辑的走势将是 55,000 美元。
The 200-day EMA provides the last line of defense for Bitcoin price
200日均线为比特币价格提供了最后一道防线
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows Bitcoin’s price action has formed a series of higher lows on the daily chart (see below) to stay above the ascending trendline. Bitcoin price is required to hold above this level to avoid sinking deeper.
来自 Cointelegraph Markets Pro 和 TradingView 的数据显示,比特币的价格走势在日线图上形成了一系列更高的低点(见下文),以保持在上升趋势线之上。比特币价格需要保持在该水平之上,以避免进一步下跌。
The appearance of a doji candlestick on the daily chart implied the importance of the $60,000 level for both buyers and sellers.
日线图上十字烛台的出现暗示了 60,000 美元水平对买家和卖家的重要性。
BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView
比特币/美元日线图。来源:TradingView
However, if bulls lose the ongoing battle, they may retreat toward the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), which appears to be the last line of defense for Bitcoin at $59,890.
然而,如果多头在这场持续的战斗中失败,他们可能会撤向 200 天指数移动平均线 (EMA),这似乎是比特币 59,890 美元的最后一道防线。
This suggests that high demand-side liquidity from this demand zone could push BTC’s price past the resistance provided by the 100-day and 50-day EMAs, ending the current sell-off.
这表明,来自该需求区域的高需求侧流动性可能会推动 BTC 价格突破 100 日和 50 日均线提供的阻力,从而结束当前的抛售。
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