鮑威爾的謹慎立場和降息猜測推動比特幣飆升

儘管市場存在不確定性，但比特幣 (BTC) 表現出了韌性，創下 69,000 美元的歷史新高，成為暫時的支撐。傑羅姆·鮑威爾的謹慎言論和聯準會不願降息的態度讓投資者放心，為比特幣等風險資產提供了支持。 6月降息的可能性為61%，而3月PCE指數符合預期，重申了聯準會對通膨壓力的評估。

Bitcoin Soars, Buoyed by Powell's Cautious Outlook and Rate Cut Anticipations

鮑威爾謹慎的前景和降息預期推動比特幣飆升

Amidst market volatility and economic uncertainties, Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited remarkable resilience, with potential support hovering around its previous all-time high of $69,000.

在市場波動和經濟不確定性的背景下，比特幣（BTC）表現出了非凡的韌性，潛在支撐位徘徊在先前的歷史高點 69,000 美元附近。

Jerome Powell, Chair of the United States Federal Reserve, delivered reassuring remarks at the Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy Conference in San Francisco, fostering optimism in the market. Powell maintained a cautious stance on inflation and economic prospects, emphasizing the Fed's reluctance to hasten interest rate reductions due to robust economic growth and a buoyant labor market.

聯準會主席鮑威爾在舊金山宏觀經濟和貨幣政策會議上發表了令人安心的講話，提振了市場的樂觀情緒。鮑威爾對通膨和經濟前景保持謹慎立場，強調由於經濟強勁成長和勞動市場活躍，聯準會不願加快降息。

Powell's measured comments instilled confidence among investors, particularly those holding risk assets such as Bitcoin. The market has become increasingly receptive to the possibility of an interest rate cut, with June emerging as a favored timeframe for such a move. According to data from CME Group's FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 0.25% reduction at the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting stands at 61%.

鮑威爾謹慎的言論給了投資者信心，尤其是那些持有比特幣等風險資產的投資者。市場對降息可能性的接受度越來越高，六月成為降息的有利時間框架。根據芝商所FedWatch Tool的數據，6月聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)會議降息0.25%的機率為61%。

Powell's cautious approach underscores the Fed's commitment to thorough deliberation before implementing policy adjustments. On March 29, the release of the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, a key inflation gauge monitored closely by the Fed, aligned with expectations and registered at 2.5%. This data corroborated the Fed's assessment of inflationary pressures, further shaping market expectations regarding future monetary policy decisions.

鮑威爾的謹慎態度凸顯了聯準會在實施政策調整之前徹底審議的承諾。 3 月 29 日，聯準會密切監測的關鍵通膨指標——最新個人消費支出 (PCE) 指數發布，該指數與預期相符，為 2.5%。這些數據證實了聯準會對通膨壓力的評估，進一步塑造了市場對未來貨幣政策決策的預期。

Technical analysis provides further insights into Bitcoin's price dynamics. Analysts have identified $69,000 as a pivotal level, with a close above it signaling a potential breakout for the cryptocurrency. On-chain signals, including the moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) oscillator, also offer positive indications for BTC's price trajectory.

技術分析提供了對比特幣價格動態的進一步見解。分析師認為 69,000 美元是一個關鍵水平，收盤價高於該水平表明加密貨幣可能會突破。鏈上訊號，包括移動平均線收斂/發散（MACD）振盪器，也為 BTC 的價格軌跡提供了積極的跡象。

Traders are paying close attention to the MACD oscillator on daily time frames, which is positioned for a potential cross-up. This technical indicator suggests a shift to bullish momentum, coinciding with the possibility of Bitcoin surpassing its previous all-time high near $74,000. These positive on-chain signals complement the prevailing market sentiment, mirroring rising investor confidence.

交易者正在密切關注每日時間範圍內的 MACD 振盪器，該振盪器處於潛在交叉向上的位置。該技術指標表明轉向看漲勢頭，同時比特幣有可能突破先前接近 74,000 美元的歷史高點。這些正向的鏈上訊號補充了當前的市場情緒，反映出投資人信心的增強。

In conclusion, Bitcoin has demonstrated resilience in the face of market uncertainties, supported by expectations of an interest rate cut and a cautious outlook from the Federal Reserve. Technical analysis and on-chain indicators reinforce the positive sentiment surrounding the cryptocurrency, suggesting the potential for further price appreciation in the near future.

總而言之，在降息預期和聯準會謹慎前景的支撐下，面對市場不確定性，比特幣展現了韌性。技術分析和鏈上指標強化了圍繞加密貨幣的正面情緒，表明在不久的將來價格有可能進一步升值。