鲍威尔的谨慎立场和降息猜测推动比特币飙升

尽管市场存在不确定性，但比特币 (BTC) 表现出了韧性，创下 69,000 美元的历史新高，成为暂时的支撑。杰罗姆·鲍威尔的谨慎言论和美联储不愿降息的态度让投资者放心，为比特币等风险资产提供了支持。 6月降息的可能性为61%，而3月PCE指数符合预期，重申了美联储对通胀压力的评估。

Bitcoin Soars, Buoyed by Powell's Cautious Outlook and Rate Cut Anticipations

鲍威尔谨慎的前景和降息预期推动比特币飙升

Amidst market volatility and economic uncertainties, Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited remarkable resilience, with potential support hovering around its previous all-time high of $69,000.

在市场波动和经济不确定性的背景下，比特币（BTC）表现出了非凡的韧性，潜在支撑位徘徊在之前的历史高点 69,000 美元附近。

Jerome Powell, Chair of the United States Federal Reserve, delivered reassuring remarks at the Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy Conference in San Francisco, fostering optimism in the market. Powell maintained a cautious stance on inflation and economic prospects, emphasizing the Fed's reluctance to hasten interest rate reductions due to robust economic growth and a buoyant labor market.

美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在旧金山宏观经济和货币政策会议上发表了令人安心的讲话，提振了市场的乐观情绪。鲍威尔对通胀和经济前景保持谨慎立场，强调由于经济强劲增长和劳动力市场活跃，美联储不愿加快降息。

Powell's measured comments instilled confidence among investors, particularly those holding risk assets such as Bitcoin. The market has become increasingly receptive to the possibility of an interest rate cut, with June emerging as a favored timeframe for such a move. According to data from CME Group's FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 0.25% reduction at the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting stands at 61%.

鲍威尔谨慎的言论给投资者注入了信心，尤其是那些持有比特币等风险资产的投资者。市场对降息可能性的接受度越来越高，六月成为降息的有利时间框架。根据芝商所FedWatch Tool的数据，6月联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议降息0.25%的概率为61%。

Powell's cautious approach underscores the Fed's commitment to thorough deliberation before implementing policy adjustments. On March 29, the release of the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, a key inflation gauge monitored closely by the Fed, aligned with expectations and registered at 2.5%. This data corroborated the Fed's assessment of inflationary pressures, further shaping market expectations regarding future monetary policy decisions.

鲍威尔的谨慎态度凸显了美联储在实施政策调整之前进行彻底审议的承诺。 3 月 29 日，美联储密切监测的关键通胀指标——最新个人消费支出 (PCE) 指数发布，该指数与预期相符，为 2.5%。该数据证实了美联储对通胀压力的评估，进一步塑造了市场对未来货币政策决策的预期。

Technical analysis provides further insights into Bitcoin's price dynamics. Analysts have identified $69,000 as a pivotal level, with a close above it signaling a potential breakout for the cryptocurrency. On-chain signals, including the moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) oscillator, also offer positive indications for BTC's price trajectory.

技术分析提供了对比特币价格动态的进一步见解。分析师认为 69,000 美元是一个关键水平，收盘价高于该水平表明加密货币可能会突破。链上信号，包括移动平均线收敛/发散（MACD）振荡器，也为 BTC 的价格轨迹提供了积极的迹象。

Traders are paying close attention to the MACD oscillator on daily time frames, which is positioned for a potential cross-up. This technical indicator suggests a shift to bullish momentum, coinciding with the possibility of Bitcoin surpassing its previous all-time high near $74,000. These positive on-chain signals complement the prevailing market sentiment, mirroring rising investor confidence.

交易者正在密切关注每日时间框架内的 MACD 振荡器，该振荡器处于潜在交叉向上的位置。该技术指标表明转向看涨势头，同时比特币有可能突破之前接近 74,000 美元的历史高点。这些积极的链上信号补充了当前的市场情绪，反映出投资者信心的增强。

In conclusion, Bitcoin has demonstrated resilience in the face of market uncertainties, supported by expectations of an interest rate cut and a cautious outlook from the Federal Reserve. Technical analysis and on-chain indicators reinforce the positive sentiment surrounding the cryptocurrency, suggesting the potential for further price appreciation in the near future.

总而言之，在降息预期和美联储谨慎前景的支撑下，面对市场不确定性，比特币表现出了韧性。技术分析和链上指标强化了围绕加密货币的积极情绪，表明在不久的将来价格有可能进一步升值。