週一，比特幣價格創下 106,000 美元的新高峰——自年初以來飆升 150%

比特幣在 12 月初突破 10 萬美元里程碑後，經歷了短暫的價格盤整，週一價格上漲。

Bitcoin price analysis: BTC soars to $106,000 on supply squeeze, Trump euphoria, macro tailwinds

比特幣價格分析：由於供應緊張、川普的樂觀情緒和宏觀利好，比特幣飆升至 106,000 美元

Bitcoin price hit a new peak price of $106,000 on Monday, continuing its 150% surge since the start of the year.

週一，比特幣價格創下 106,000 美元的新高，延續年初以來 150% 的漲幅。

Monday’s price rally followed a brief consolidation period for Bitcoin after crossing the $100,000 milestone earlier in December.

比特幣在 12 月初突破 10 萬美元里程碑後，經歷了短暫的盤整期，週一價格上漲。

“Bitcoin is now in uncharted waters.”

“比特幣現在處於未知領域。”

“Bitcoin’s ascent to $106,000 shows that animal spirits are in play as we enter the final weeks of 2024,” Kozyakov told DL News.

Kozyakov 告訴 DL News：“比特幣上漲至 106,000 美元表明，隨著我們進入 2024 年的最後幾週，動物精神正在發揮作用。”

The market seems to have established a “psychological support” at $100,000, Mena Theodoru, co-founder of crypto exchange Coinstash, told DL News.

加密貨幣交易所 Coinstash 聯合創始人 Mena Theodoru 告訴 DL News，市場似乎已經在 10 萬美元建立了「心理支撐」。

With two weeks left in the year, market observers are betting that Bitcoin’s price still has room to grow.

距離今年還剩兩週，市場觀察家押注比特幣的價格仍有上漲空間。

“Bitcoin’s price is being driven up amid expectations of sustained high demand, and several notable news catalysts culminating in a new all-time high,” Shannon Kurtas, head of trading and crypto exchange Kraken, told DL News.

Kraken 交易和加密貨幣交易所主管 Shannon Kurtas 向 DL News 表示：“由於需求持續高漲的預期以及一些值得注意的新聞催化劑最終創下歷史新高，比特幣的價格正在上漲。”

Here are three factors that could pump Bitcoin’s price.

以下是可能推高比特幣價格的三個因素。

Bitcoin is getting scarcer amid massive withdrawals from crypto exchanges.

隨著加密貨幣交易所的大量提款，比特幣變得越來越稀缺。

“Cryptocurrency exchanges are experiencing massive outflows, significantly reducing the availability of Bitcoin on trading platforms,” crypto research platform 10x Research stated in a report on Monday.

加密貨幣研究平台 10x Research 在周一的一份報告中表示：“加密貨幣交易所正在經歷大規模資金外流，大大減少了交易平台上比特幣的可用性。”

“Simultaneously, OTC desks are running low on inventory,” the report said. “Together, these factors indicate a potential squeeze in Bitcoin prices.”

報告稱：“與此同時，場外交易櫃檯的庫存不足。” “這些因素綜合起來表明比特幣價格可能會受到擠壓。”

OTC, or over-the-counter, desks are match-makers of sorts between crypto buyers and sellers.

OTC（場外交易）櫃檯是加密貨幣買家和賣家之間的某種媒人。

Coinbase, Binance, Bitfinex, and Gemini have all experienced massive Bitcoin outflows in the last week, data from crypto analytics platform Coinglass shows.

加密分析平台 Coinglass 的數據顯示，Coinbase、Binance、Bitfinex 和 Gemini 上週都經歷了大規模的比特幣外流。

Outflows from major centralised exchanges have topped 180,000 Bitcoin since Donald Trump’s election victory last month.

自唐納德·川普上個月贏得大選以來，主要中心化交易所的比特幣流出量已超過 18 萬個。

For comparison, only 40,000 Bitcoin was withdrawn from exchanges between late July and November 4, according to Coinglass data.

相比之下，根據 Coinglass 的數據，7 月底至 11 月 4 日期間，只有 40,000 個比特幣從交易所撤出。

Trump’s election victory and the crypto industry’s prospects under his presidency are still causing a buzz in the market.

川普的選舉勝利以及他擔任總統期間加密行業的前景仍然引起市場熱議。

The president-elect has promised to create a strategic Bitcoin reserve, a move some market observers say will legitimise the asset.

當選總統承諾建立比特幣戰略儲備，一些市場觀察家稱此舉將使該資產合法化。

“If America builds a Bitcoin reserve, this will create a FOMO effect, so we’re likely to see other countries following suit and sovereign wealth funds introducing Bitcoin allocations to the portfolios,” Tim Kravchunovsky told DL News.

Tim Kravchunovsky 告訴 DL News：“如果美國建立比特幣儲備，這將產生 FOMO 效應，因此我們可能會看到其他國家效仿，主權財富基金也將比特幣配置引入投資組合。”

As Trump’s inauguration on January 20 nears, there is palpable excitement for Bitcoin and the crypto market.

隨著 1 月 20 日川普就職典禮的臨近，比特幣和加密貨幣市場明顯令人興奮。

10x Research predicts that Bitcoin could surge to $120,000 by Trump’s inauguration.

10x Research 預測，川普就職後，比特幣可能會飆升至 12 萬美元。

The case for Bitcoin climbing higher might also be boosted by major economies adopting dovish monetary policies.

主要經濟體採取鴿派貨幣政策也可能推動比特幣走高。

Bitcoin and crypto have performed well during periods of loose monetary policies in the past.

比特幣和加密貨幣在過去寬鬆的貨幣政策時期表現良好。

There’s a 97% chance that the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates to between $4.25 and $4.50 at its December 18 meeting, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool.

根據 CME 集團的 FedWatch 工具，聯準會在 12 月 18 日的會議上將利率降至 4.25 美元至 4.50 美元的可能性為 97%。

Low interest rates are usually bullish for crypto as it incentivises investors to bet on riskier assets.

低利率通常對加密貨幣有利，因為它會激勵投資者押注風險較高的資產。

The central banks of both Canada and Switzerland recently cut interest rates. The same goes for the European Central Bank.

加拿大和瑞士央行最近均降息。歐洲央行也是如此。

China already announced a massive $284 billion economic stimulus package in September to spur growth.

中國已於 9 月宣布了 2,840 億美元的大規模經濟刺激計畫以刺激經濟成長。