周一，比特币价格创下 106,000 美元的新峰值——自年初以来飙升 150%

比特币在 12 月初突破 10 万美元里程碑后，经历了短暂的价格盘整，周一价格上涨。

Bitcoin price analysis: BTC soars to $106,000 on supply squeeze, Trump euphoria, macro tailwinds

比特币价格分析：由于供应紧张、特朗普的乐观情绪和宏观利好，比特币飙升至 106,000 美元

Bitcoin price hit a new peak price of $106,000 on Monday, continuing its 150% surge since the start of the year.

周一，比特币价格创下 106,000 美元的新高，延续年初以来 150% 的涨幅。

Monday’s price rally followed a brief consolidation period for Bitcoin after crossing the $100,000 milestone earlier in December.

比特币在 12 月初突破 10 万美元里程碑后，经历了短暂的盘整期，周一价格上涨。

“Bitcoin is now in uncharted waters.”

“比特币现在处于未知领域。”

“Bitcoin’s ascent to $106,000 shows that animal spirits are in play as we enter the final weeks of 2024,” Kozyakov told DL News.

Kozyakov 告诉 DL News：“比特币上涨至 106,000 美元表明，随着我们进入 2024 年的最后几周，动物精神正在发挥作用。”

The market seems to have established a “psychological support” at $100,000, Mena Theodoru, co-founder of crypto exchange Coinstash, told DL News.

加密货币交易所 Coinstash 联合创始人 Mena Theodoru 告诉 DL News，市场似乎已经在 10 万美元处建立了“心理支撑”。

With two weeks left in the year, market observers are betting that Bitcoin’s price still has room to grow.

距离今年还剩两周，市场观察人士押注比特币的价格仍有上涨空间。

“Bitcoin’s price is being driven up amid expectations of sustained high demand, and several notable news catalysts culminating in a new all-time high,” Shannon Kurtas, head of trading and crypto exchange Kraken, told DL News.

Kraken 交易和加密货币交易所主管 Shannon Kurtas 向 DL News 表示：“由于需求持续高涨的预期以及一些值得注意的新闻催化剂最终创下历史新高，比特币的价格正在上涨。”

Here are three factors that could pump Bitcoin’s price.

以下是可能推高比特币价格的三个因素。

Bitcoin is getting scarcer amid massive withdrawals from crypto exchanges.

随着加密货币交易所的大量提款，比特币变得越来越稀缺。

“Cryptocurrency exchanges are experiencing massive outflows, significantly reducing the availability of Bitcoin on trading platforms,” crypto research platform 10x Research stated in a report on Monday.

加密货币研究平台 10x Research 在周一的一份报告中表示：“加密货币交易所正在经历大规模资金外流，大大减少了交易平台上比特币的可用性。”

“Simultaneously, OTC desks are running low on inventory,” the report said. “Together, these factors indicate a potential squeeze in Bitcoin prices.”

报告称：“与此同时，场外交易柜台的库存不足。” “这些因素综合起来表明比特币价格可能会受到挤压。”

OTC, or over-the-counter, desks are match-makers of sorts between crypto buyers and sellers.

OTC（场外交易）柜台是加密货币买家和卖家之间的某种媒人。

Coinbase, Binance, Bitfinex, and Gemini have all experienced massive Bitcoin outflows in the last week, data from crypto analytics platform Coinglass shows.

加密分析平台 Coinglass 的数据显示，Coinbase、Binance、Bitfinex 和 Gemini 在上周都经历了大规模的比特币外流。

Outflows from major centralised exchanges have topped 180,000 Bitcoin since Donald Trump’s election victory last month.

自唐纳德·特朗普上个月赢得大选以来，主要中心化交易所的比特币流出量已超过 180,000 个。

For comparison, only 40,000 Bitcoin was withdrawn from exchanges between late July and November 4, according to Coinglass data.

相比之下，根据 Coinglass 的数据，7 月底至 11 月 4 日期间，只有 40,000 个比特币从交易所撤出。

Trump’s election victory and the crypto industry’s prospects under his presidency are still causing a buzz in the market.

特朗普的选举胜利以及他担任总统期间加密行业的前景仍然引起市场热议。

The president-elect has promised to create a strategic Bitcoin reserve, a move some market observers say will legitimise the asset.

当选总统承诺建立比特币战略储备，一些市场观察人士称此举将使该资产合法化。

“If America builds a Bitcoin reserve, this will create a FOMO effect, so we’re likely to see other countries following suit and sovereign wealth funds introducing Bitcoin allocations to the portfolios,” Tim Kravchunovsky told DL News.

Tim Kravchunovsky 告诉 DL News：“如果美国建立比特币储备，这将产生 FOMO 效应，因此我们可能会看到其他国家效仿，主权财富基金也将比特币配置引入投资组合。”

As Trump’s inauguration on January 20 nears, there is palpable excitement for Bitcoin and the crypto market.

随着 1 月 20 日特朗普就职典礼的临近，比特币和加密货币市场明显令人兴奋。

10x Research predicts that Bitcoin could surge to $120,000 by Trump’s inauguration.

10x Research 预测，特朗普就职后，比特币可能会飙升至 12 万美元。

The case for Bitcoin climbing higher might also be boosted by major economies adopting dovish monetary policies.

主要经济体采取鸽派货币政策也可能推动比特币走高。

Bitcoin and crypto have performed well during periods of loose monetary policies in the past.

比特币和加密货币在过去宽松的货币政策时期表现良好。

There’s a 97% chance that the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates to between $4.25 and $4.50 at its December 18 meeting, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool.

根据 CME 集团的 FedWatch 工具，美联储在 12 月 18 日的会议上将利率降至 4.25 美元至 4.50 美元的可能性为 97%。

Low interest rates are usually bullish for crypto as it incentivises investors to bet on riskier assets.

低利率通常对加密货币有利，因为它会激励投资者押注风险较高的资产。

The central banks of both Canada and Switzerland recently cut interest rates. The same goes for the European Central Bank.

加拿大和瑞士央行最近均降息。欧洲央行也是如此。

China already announced a massive $284 billion economic stimulus package in September to spur growth.

中国已于 9 月宣布了 2840 亿美元的大规模经济刺激计划以刺激经济增长。