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全球最大的加密貨幣本週仍保持強勁漲幅,由於押注美國監管將有利於川普領導下的加密貨幣,其價格創下了 9 萬美元以上的歷史新高。
Bitcoin prices retreated on Friday from recent record highs as optimism over a Donald Trump presidency cooled and broader risk appetite was hit by increased uncertainty over U.S. interest rates.
由於對唐納德·川普(Donald Trump)總統任期的樂觀情緒降溫,以及美國利率不確定性增加打擊了更廣泛的風險偏好,比特幣價格從近期歷史高位回落。
The world’s biggest cryptocurrency was still set to post stellar gains for the week, having hit a record high of over $93,000 earlier in the week on bets that U.S. regulations will favor crypto under Trump.
全球最大的加密貨幣本週仍將錄得大幅上漲,本週早些時候,由於人們押注美國監管將有利於川普領導下的加密貨幣,其價格創下了超過 93,000 美元的歷史新高。
Bitcoin prices fell 0.6% to $90,233.0 by 09:02 ET (14:02 GMT), after hitting a record high of $93,226.6 earlier in the week. Markets were now watching for the crypto to cross $100,000, which is seen as a key level.
比特幣價格在本週早些時候觸及 93,226.6 美元的歷史新高後,到美國東部時間 09:02(格林尼治標準時間 14:02)下跌 0.6% 至 90,233.0 美元。市場現在正在關注加密貨幣能否突破 10 萬美元,這被視為一個關鍵水平。
Bitcoin set for best week since February
比特幣創下二月以來最好的一周
Bitcoin was set to add about 17% this week - its best weekly performance since late-February. The coin was also headed for a third straight week of gains.
比特幣本週預計將上漲約 17%,這是自 2 月底以來的最佳單週表現。該代幣也將連續第三週上漲。
Gains in Bitcoin were driven chiefly by optimism over a Trump presidency, after he won the 2024 presidential elections. Institutional inflows into crypto exchange-traded funds were seen as a major driver of recent price gains.
在川普贏得 2024 年總統選舉後,人們對他當選總統的樂觀情緒推動了比特幣的上漲。機構資金流入加密貨幣交易所交易基金被視為近期價格上漲的主要動力。
Trump has vowed to enact more crypto-friendly regulation, and has also floated the possibility of a national Bitcoin reserve.
川普誓言要製定更加有利於加密貨幣的監管,並提出了建立國家比特幣儲備的可能性。
But optimism over Trump now appeared to have cooled, especially as traders now awaited more clarity on what his policies will entail.
但現在對川普的樂觀情緒似乎已經降溫,尤其是交易員現在正在等待他的政策將帶來什麼更明確的訊息。
Trump is also expected to enact expansionary policies that could push up inflation and keep interest rates relatively high in the coming years.
預計川普還將制定擴張性政策,可能推高通膨,並在未來幾年保持相對較高的利率。
Bitcoin could hit $180K in this cycle, VanEck's head of crypto research says
VanEck 的加密貨幣研究主管表示,比特幣在這個週期中可能會達到 18 萬美元
VanEck's head of digital assets research Matthew Sigel said Bitcoin’s ongoing price rally could extend well into 2025. Speaking with CNBC, Sigel likened the recent surge in Bitcoin’s value, which followed Donald Trump’s presidential nomination, to the rally seen after Joe Biden’s election in 2020.
VanEck 數位資產研究主管Matthew Sigel 表示,比特幣持續的價格上漲可能會持續到2025 年。登當選後的上漲進行了比較。
He estimated that Bitcoin’s price might double, reaching $180,000 during this bullish phase.
他估計比特幣的價格可能會翻倍,在這個看漲階段達到 18 萬美元。
“As we expected, Bitcoin saw this high volatility pump after the election. We’re now in blue sky territory, no technical resistance, and we think we’re likely to make repeated all-time highs over the next two quarters,” Sigel said in an appearance on CNBC’s Squawk Box. The first two financial quarters of 2025 end on March 31 and June 30, respectively.
「正如我們預期的那樣,比特幣在大選後出現瞭如此高的波動性。我們現在處於藍天領域,沒有技術阻力,我們認為未來兩個季度我們可能會屢創歷史新高,」西格爾在 CNBC 的 Squawk Box 節目中表示。 2025年前兩個財務季度分別於3月31日和6月30日結束。
Sigel also noted the similarities to the market dynamics of four years ago.
西格爾也指出了與四年前市場動態的相似之處。
“The same patterns played out four years ago,” he explained. “Between the election and the end of the year in 2020, Bitcoin doubled. There were about six 10% corrections so it’s not going to be a straight line, but we're up 30% so far, and a number of indicators that we track are still flashing green for this rally to continue.”
「四年前也出現過同樣的情況,」他解釋道。 「從大選到 2020 年底,比特幣價格翻了一番。大約有六次 10% 的修正,所以它不會是一條直線,但到目前為止我們已經上漲了 30%,而且我們跟踪的許多指標仍然呈綠色閃爍,這使得反彈能夠繼續下去。
Earlier this month, VanEck CEO Jan Van Eck remarked that Bitcoin’s price could potentially climb as high as $300,000.
本月早些時候,VanEck 執行長 Jan Van Eck 表示,比特幣的價格可能會攀升至 30 萬美元。
Rate jitters weigh after Powell comments, inflation data
鮑威爾言論和通膨數據引發利率緊張
Crypto’s recent rally was stalled by heightened uncertainty over U.S. interest rates, especially after a series of strong consumer and producer inflation readings for October.
由於美國利率的不確定性加劇,尤其是在 10 月一系列強勁的消費者和生產者通膨數據公佈之後,加密貨幣近期的漲勢陷入停滯。
The readings were followed by comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who said that resilience in the U.S. economy gave the central bank more time to consider further interest rate cuts.
聯準會主席鮑威爾發表評論後表示,美國經濟的韌性使央行有更多時間考慮進一步降息。
Traders were seen scaling back bets on a December rate cut following Powell’s comments, which also sparked losses in broader risk-driven assets. Wall Street retreated from record highs in the past two sessions.
鮑威爾發表言論後,交易員減少了 12 月降息的押注,也引發了更廣泛的風險驅動資產的損失。過去兩個交易日,華爾街股市從歷史高點回落。
The dollar and Treasury yields rose sharply this week, further pressuring risk assets.
本週美元和國債殖利率大幅上漲,進一步令風險資產承壓。
Crypto price today: Doge heads for stellar week; ADA, XRP spike
今日加密貨幣價格:Doge 迎來輝煌的一周; ADA、XRP 尖峰
Broader cryptocurrency prices retreated tracking Bitcoin but were mostly set for strong gains this week. World no.2 crypto Ether fell over 2% to $3,101.94.
更廣泛的加密貨幣價格跟隨比特幣回落,但本周大多將強勁上漲。全球第二大加密貨幣以太幣下跌超過 2%,至 3,101.94 美元。
Dogecoin was a standout performer this week, up 65%, and headed for its best week since October 2022. Social media buzz around the token rose after Trump announced the formation of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which will be led by Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy.
狗狗幣本週表現突出,上漲了65%,並有望創下2022 年10 月以來表現最好的一周。圍繞該代幣的熱度有所上升馬斯克和維韋克·拉馬斯瓦米。
SOL and MATIC moved in a flat range on Friday, but were all sitting on strong gains over the past week. Meanwhile, XRP and ADA saw sharp surges of 23% and 17%, respectively.
SOL 和 MATIC 週五走勢平穩,但在過去一周均強勁上漲。同時,XRP 和 ADA 分別大幅上漲 23% 和 17%。
Ambar Warrick contributed to this report
安巴爾沃里克 (Ambar Warrick) 對本報告做出了貢獻
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