比特幣無法支付美國國債，著名經濟學家彼得·希夫與比特幣支持者的觀點不同

經濟學家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）對他所謂的「比特幣炒作者」大膽宣稱 100 萬比特幣可以解決該國國債表示懷疑

Renowned economist Peter Schiff has expressed skepticism over the bold declaration by Bitcoin (BTC) supporters that 1 million BTC can settle the national debt of the United States.

著名經濟學家 Peter Schiff 對比特幣（BTC）支持者大膽宣稱 100 萬 BTC 可以解決美國公債表示懷疑。

According to Schiff, even with that number of cryptos, it will still be insufficient to address the country’s enormous government debt.

希夫表示，即使有這麼多的加密貨幣，仍然不足以解決該國龐大的政府債務。

Schiff took to Twitter on Monday to air his views on the matter, arguing that to pay off the US national debt with 1 million Bitcoin, the crypto needs to attain an unrealistic increase of over 20,000% in its market capitalization.

希夫週一在推特上發表了他對此事的看法，他認為，要用 100 萬比特幣償還美國國債，加密貨幣的市值需要實現超過 20,000% 的增長，這是不切實際的。

“#Bitcoin pumpers claim that if the U.S. buys 1 million Bitcoin, someday we will be able to use that Bitcoin to pay off the National Debt,” wrote Schiff in the post.

「#比特幣炒作者聲稱，如果美國購買 100 萬個比特幣，有一天我們將能夠使用該比特幣來償還國債，」希夫在帖子中寫道。

He explained that 1 million coins of the firstborn cryptocurrency would not be adequate to settle the country’s massive debt of around $36 trillion.

他解釋說，100 萬枚初代加密貨幣不足以償還該國約 36 兆美元的巨額債務。

#Bitcoin pumpers claim that if the U.S. buys 1 million Bitcoin, someday we will be able to use that Bitcoin to pay off the National Debt. For 1 million Bitcoin to equal today’s $36.25 trillion National Debt, Bitcoin’s market cap would be $761 trillion, 6x larger than world GDP!

#比特幣炒作者聲稱，如果美國購買 100 萬個比特幣，有一天我們將能夠使用該比特幣來償還國債。如果 100 萬個比特幣相當於今天 36.25 兆美元的國債，那麼比特幣的市值將達到 761 兆美元，是世界 GDP 的 6 倍！

— Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) December 13, 2024

— 彼得希夫 (@PeterSchiff) 2024 年 12 月 13 日

As of press time, Bitcoin is traded at $102,286 per coin. At the current price, one million Bitcoins would amount to over $102 billion, a huge amount but still meager compared to the enormous national debt of $36.25 trillion.

截至發稿時，比特幣的交易價格為每枚 102,286 美元。以目前的價格，100 萬個比特幣價值超過 1,020 億美元，雖然數額龐大，但與 36.25 兆美元的巨額國家債務相比仍然微不足道。

The economist said that Bitcoin could only make this happen if its market capitalization surged by over 20,000%, doubting if BTC could ever reach that exponential growth.

這位經濟學家表示，只有當比特幣的市值飆升超過 20,000% 時，比特幣才能實現這一目標，他懷疑比特幣能否達到指數級增長。

“For 1 million Bitcoin to equal today’s $36.25 trillion National Debt, Bitcoin’s market cap would be $761 trillion, 6x larger than world GDP,” he said.

他表示：“如果 100 萬個比特幣相當於今天 36.25 兆美元的國債，那麼比特幣的市值將達到 761 兆美元，是世界 GDP 的 6 倍。”

Schiff sees Bitcoin’s total value increasing by more than 200,000% as improbable, so BTC paying the US debt is not possible.

Schiff認為比特幣總價值成長超過200,000%是不可能的，因此比特幣償還美國債務是不可能的。

The economist explained that by the time, if ever, Bitcoin reached $761 trillion in market capitalization the state debt would also grow at that time, adding, “By then the national debt will be much more than $36.25 trillion, requiring a much higher Bitcoin price to pay it off.”

這位經濟學家解釋說，到時候，如果比特幣的市值達到761 兆美元，國家債務也會隨之增長，並補充道，「到那時，國家債務將遠遠超過36.25 兆美元，需要更高的比特幣價格”來還清它。”

He argued that the US debt is not fixed but rather increases over time, saying that the American government borrows money annually, so consequently, state debt will continue to grow every year, which makes it even harder for Bitcoin to pay off the national debt.

他認為，美國的債務不是固定的，而是隨著時間的推移而增加的，美國政府每年都會借錢，因此，國家債務每年都會持續增長，這使得比特幣更難償還國家債務。

Schiff also questioned if Bitcoin would be adopted at a global scale like fiat currencies, noting that even though BTC’s prices have soared, the crypto has not yet been used as a global currency.

希夫也質疑比特幣是否會像法定貨幣一樣在全球範圍內被採用，並指出儘管比特幣的價格已經飆升，但這種加密貨幣尚未被用作全球貨幣。

“There will not be global adoption. So far very few people have adopted it at all,” Schiff remarked.

“不會有全球採用。到目前為止，很少有人採用它，」希夫說。

He said that few countries have accepted Bitcoin as their official currency while many governments still oppose the idea of crypto replacing their currencies.

他表示，很少有國家接受比特幣作為官方貨幣，許多政府仍然反對用加密貨幣取代本國貨幣的想法。

“Bitcoin is a speculative asset, and its value is driven by hope, not real demand,” he said.

「比特幣是一種投機資產，其價值是由希望驅動的，而不是真正的需求，」他說。