比特币无法支付美国国债，著名经济学家彼得·希夫与比特币支持者的观点不同

经济学家彼得·希夫（Peter Schiff）对他所谓的“比特币炒作者”大胆宣称 100 万比特币可以解决该国国债表示怀疑

Renowned economist Peter Schiff has expressed skepticism over the bold declaration by Bitcoin (BTC) supporters that 1 million BTC can settle the national debt of the United States.

著名经济学家 Peter Schiff 对比特币（BTC）支持者大胆宣称 100 万 BTC 可以解决美国国债表示怀疑。

According to Schiff, even with that number of cryptos, it will still be insufficient to address the country’s enormous government debt.

希夫表示，即使有这么多的加密货币，仍然不足以解决该国巨大的政府债务。

Schiff took to Twitter on Monday to air his views on the matter, arguing that to pay off the US national debt with 1 million Bitcoin, the crypto needs to attain an unrealistic increase of over 20,000% in its market capitalization.

希夫周一在推特上发表了他对此事的看法，他认为，要用 100 万比特币偿还美国国债，加密货币的市值需要实现超过 20,000% 的增长，这是不切实际的。

“#Bitcoin pumpers claim that if the U.S. buys 1 million Bitcoin, someday we will be able to use that Bitcoin to pay off the National Debt,” wrote Schiff in the post.

“#比特币炒作者声称，如果美国购买 100 万个比特币，有一天我们将能够使用该比特币来偿还国债，”希夫在帖子中写道。

He explained that 1 million coins of the firstborn cryptocurrency would not be adequate to settle the country’s massive debt of around $36 trillion.

他解释说，100 万枚初代加密货币不足以偿还该国约 36 万亿美元的巨额债务。

#Bitcoin pumpers claim that if the U.S. buys 1 million Bitcoin, someday we will be able to use that Bitcoin to pay off the National Debt. For 1 million Bitcoin to equal today’s $36.25 trillion National Debt, Bitcoin’s market cap would be $761 trillion, 6x larger than world GDP!

#比特币炒作者声称，如果美国购买 100 万个比特币，有一天我们将能够使用该比特币来偿还国债。如果 100 万个比特币相当于今天 36.25 万亿美元的国债，那么比特币的市值将达到 761 万亿美元，是世界 GDP 的 6 倍！

— Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) December 13, 2024

— 彼得·希夫 (@PeterSchiff) 2024 年 12 月 13 日

As of press time, Bitcoin is traded at $102,286 per coin. At the current price, one million Bitcoins would amount to over $102 billion, a huge amount but still meager compared to the enormous national debt of $36.25 trillion.

截至发稿时，比特币的交易价格为每枚 102,286 美元。按目前的价格计算，100 万个比特币价值超过 1020 亿美元，虽然数额巨大，但与 36.25 万亿美元的巨额国家债务相比仍然微不足道。

The economist said that Bitcoin could only make this happen if its market capitalization surged by over 20,000%, doubting if BTC could ever reach that exponential growth.

这位经济学家表示，只有当比特币的市值飙升超过 20,000% 时，比特币才能实现这一目标，他怀疑比特币能否达到指数级增长。

“For 1 million Bitcoin to equal today’s $36.25 trillion National Debt, Bitcoin’s market cap would be $761 trillion, 6x larger than world GDP,” he said.

他表示：“如果 100 万个比特币相当于今天 36.25 万亿美元的国债，那么比特币的市值将达到 761 万亿美元，是世界 GDP 的 6 倍。”

Schiff sees Bitcoin’s total value increasing by more than 200,000% as improbable, so BTC paying the US debt is not possible.

Schiff认为比特币总价值增长超过200,000%是不可能的，因此比特币偿还美国债务是不可能的。

The economist explained that by the time, if ever, Bitcoin reached $761 trillion in market capitalization the state debt would also grow at that time, adding, “By then the national debt will be much more than $36.25 trillion, requiring a much higher Bitcoin price to pay it off.”

这位经济学家解释说，到时候，如果比特币的市值达到 761 万亿美元，国家债务也会随之增长，并补充道，“到那时，国家债务将远远超过 36.25 万亿美元，需要更高的比特币价格”来还清它。”

He argued that the US debt is not fixed but rather increases over time, saying that the American government borrows money annually, so consequently, state debt will continue to grow every year, which makes it even harder for Bitcoin to pay off the national debt.

他认为，美国的债务不是固定的，而是随着时间的推移而增加的，美国政府每年都会借钱，因此，国家债务每年都会持续增长，这使得比特币更难偿还国家债务。

Schiff also questioned if Bitcoin would be adopted at a global scale like fiat currencies, noting that even though BTC’s prices have soared, the crypto has not yet been used as a global currency.

希夫还质疑比特币是否会像法定货币一样在全球范围内被采用，并指出尽管比特币的价格飙升，但这种加密货币尚未被用作全球货币。

“There will not be global adoption. So far very few people have adopted it at all,” Schiff remarked.

“不会有全球采用。到目前为止，很少有人采用它，”希夫说道。

He said that few countries have accepted Bitcoin as their official currency while many governments still oppose the idea of crypto replacing their currencies.

他表示，很少有国家接受比特币作为官方货币，而许多政府仍然反对用加密货币取代本国货币的想法。

“Bitcoin is a speculative asset, and its value is driven by hope, not real demand,” he said.

“比特币是一种投机资产，其价值是由希望驱动的，而不是真正的需求，”他说。