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比特幣的網路哈希率是衡量其處理能力和安全性的關鍵指標,於 10 月 21 日飆升至前所未有的每秒 769.8 exahashes (EH/s)。
Bitcoin's network hashrate hit a new all-time high on October 21, reaching 769.8 exahashes per second (EH/s), according to data from BitInfoCharts. This marks a significant increase in the computational power dedicated to securing and processing transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain. A higher hashrate generally makes the network more resistant to attacks, as it would require a vast amount of energy and resources to manipulate the chain.
根據 BitInfoCharts 的數據,比特幣的網路哈希率於 10 月 21 日創下歷史新高,達到每秒 769.8 exahashes (EH/s)。這標誌著專用於保護和處理比特幣區塊鏈交易的運算能力顯著增加。較高的算力通常使網路更能抵抗攻擊,因為它需要大量的能量和資源來操縱鏈。
The rising hashrate is largely attributed to the expanding presence of publicly traded mining companies in the Bitcoin mining landscape. These companies, such as Marathon Digital Holdings (NASDAQ:MARA) and Riot Blockchain (NASDAQ:RIOT), are leveraging their financial resources and economies of scale to deploy advanced mining equipment and increase their hashpower contribution.
哈希率的上升很大程度上歸因於上市礦業公司在比特幣礦業領域的不斷擴大。 Marathon Digital Holdings(納斯達克股票代碼:MARA)和 Riot Blockchain(納斯達克股票代碼:RIOT)等公司正在利用其財務資源和規模經濟來部署先進的採礦設備並增加其算力貢獻。
However, despite this positive development on the network security front, Bitcoin's price faced some headwinds on October 22. After failing to break through the $70,000 resistance level, the cryptocurrency experienced a pullback. During U.S. morning trading, Bitcoin fell below $67,000, underperforming other major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Litecoin.
然而,儘管網路安全方面取得了積極的進展,比特幣的價格在 10 月 22 日仍面臨一些阻力。在美國早盤交易中,比特幣跌破 67,000 美元,表現落後於以太坊和萊特幣等其他主要加密貨幣。
According to market analysts, this price pullback could be linked to rising interest rates in Western economies and the uncertainty surrounding upcoming U.S. earnings reports, which might be impacting the broader market sentiment and crypto prices.
市場分析師表示,這種價格回檔可能與西方經濟體利率上升以及即將發布的美國收益報告的不確定性有關,這可能會影響更廣泛的市場情緒和加密貨幣價格。
The record-breaking hashrate, while a testament to the network's strength, also presents challenges for Bitcoin miners, especially smaller operations. As the hashrate increases, so does the computational difficulty of mining a Bitcoin block. This translates to higher operating costs for miners, particularly in the aftermath of the Bitcoin halving, which reduced block rewards.
破紀錄的哈希率雖然證明了網路的實力,但也為比特幣礦工,特別是規模較小的礦工帶來了挑戰。隨著哈希率的增加,挖掘比特幣區塊的計算難度也隨之增加。這意味著礦工的營運成本更高,特別是在比特幣減半之後,區塊獎勵減少了。
Moreover, hashprice, a measure of Bitcoin mining profitability, experienced a brief surge in August, reaching $50 per petahash per second (PH/s), mainly due to a spike in transaction fees linked to the on-chain minting of the Runes protocol. However, mining profitability has since declined, and analysts from Jefferies are warning of a potentially challenging October for miners.
此外,衡量比特幣挖礦盈利能力的hashprice 在8 月經歷了短暫的飆升,達到每秒每petahash (PH/s) 50 美元,這主要是由於與符文協議的鏈上鑄造相關的交易費用飆升。然而,採礦業獲利能力此後下降,傑富瑞 (Jefferies) 分析師警告稱,10 月對礦商來說可能充滿挑戰。
In other developments, data reveals that 12 of the largest public Bitcoin miners now collectively control close to 29% of the network's total hashrate. This highlights the growing dominance of these companies in the Bitcoin mining ecosystem, thanks to their ability to scale operations and access capital efficiently.
在其他進展中,數據顯示,12 家最大的公共比特幣礦商目前共同控制網路總算力的近 29%。這凸顯了這些公司在比特幣挖礦生態系統中日益佔據的主導地位,這要歸功於它們擴大營運規模和有效獲取資本的能力。
As the U.S. elections approach and broader macroeconomic factors continue to unfold, market observers are keeping a close eye on how these elements might impact Bitcoin's price trajectory and, consequently, mining profitability. The interplay between Bitcoin's price volatility, the evolving mining landscape, and macroeconomic developments will continue to shape the future of the cryptocurrency.
隨著美國大選的臨近和更廣泛的宏觀經濟因素繼續顯現,市場觀察家正在密切關注這些因素可能如何影響比特幣的價格軌跡,從而影響挖礦盈利能力。比特幣的價格波動、不斷變化的挖礦格局和宏觀經濟發展之間的相互作用將繼續塑造加密貨幣的未來。
An age-old debate in the crypto community revolves around the relationship between Bitcoin's hash rate and its price movements. Some believe that price drives hash, while others maintain that the opposite is true. Here's a brief overview of both perspectives:
加密貨幣社群中的一個由來已久的爭論圍繞著比特幣的哈希率與其價格變動之間的關係。有些人認為價格驅動哈希值,而有些人則認為事實恰恰相反。以下是這兩種觀點的簡要概述:
Christopher Bendiksen, Head of Research at CoinShares, presents a compelling view in his blog post titled "An Honest Explanation of Price, Hashrate & Bitcoin Mining Network Dynamics." According to Bendiksen, Bitcoin's hash rate is inherently tied to its price movements, albeit with a time lag.
CoinShares 研究主管 Christopher Bendiksen 在其題為「價格、算力和比特幣挖礦網絡動態的誠實解釋」的部落格文章中提出了令人信服的觀點。根據本迪克森的說法,比特幣的哈希率本質上與其價格走勢相關,儘管存在時間滯後。
In his analysis, as Bitcoin's price surges, the corresponding increase in hash rate lags due to the time miners need to procure and install more efficient hardware. As the price rises, block rewards become more lucrative, gradually enticing miners to upgrade their equipment. This process explains why hash rate increases often trail behind Bitcoin's price spikes.
在他的分析中,隨著比特幣價格的飆升,由於礦工需要時間來採購和安裝更有效率的硬件,因此算力的相應增長會滯後。隨著價格上漲,區塊獎勵變得更加豐厚,逐漸吸引礦工升級設備。這個過程解釋了為什麼哈希率的成長通常落後於比特幣的價格飆升。
Bendiksen also highlights that miners are paid in Bitcoin but incur operational costs in local currency. This dynamic means that miners won't expand operations or procure additional hash power unless the price of Bitcoin supports profitability. When mining becomes unprofitable, miners won't continue simply to “support the network” - they need economic incentive. Higher Bitcoin prices allow smaller miners to join the competition, pushing the network's hash rate higher as participation grows.
本迪克森也強調,礦工以比特幣支付報酬,但以當地貨幣支付營運成本。這種動態意味著,除非比特幣的價格支持獲利能力,否則礦工不會擴大營運或獲得額外的算力。當挖礦變得無利可圖時,礦工不會繼續簡單地「支持網路」——他們需要經濟誘因。更高的比特幣價格允許規模較小的礦工加入競爭,隨著參與度的增加,推動網路的哈希率更高。
On the other hand, proponents of the “price follows hash” theory, like vocal Bitcoin advocate Max Keiser, present the opposite view, claiming that hash rate is the driving force behind Bitcoin's price movements.
另一方面,「價格跟隨哈希值」理論的支持者,例如比特幣倡導者馬克斯·凱瑟(Max Keiser)則提出了相反的觀點,聲稱哈希率是比特幣價格變動背後的驅動力。
Keiser, a firm believer in this perspective, frequently asserts that the Bitcoin price lags behind hash rate growth. Following a new all-time high in hash rate on July 8, 2020, Keiser tweeted, “The constant 10-minute emission schedule of #Bitcoin is the lure that will always attract miners – even acting irrationally – that pushes up hash rate with price following.”
Keiser 是這一觀點的堅定信徒,他經常斷言比特幣價格落後於算力增長。在2020 年7 月8 日算力創下歷史新高後,Keizer 發推文稱,「#Bitcoin 持續10 分鐘的發行計劃是永遠吸引礦工的誘惑,即使他們的行為不理性,也會隨著價格推高算力。
For Keiser, the hash rate isn't just a technical measure of network health but a macro indicator of adoption and a growing rejection of traditional financial systems. However, the idea that miners would act irrationally or continue mining at a loss seems far-fetched
對凱澤來說,哈希率不僅是網路健康狀況的技術衡量標準,也是傳統金融體系採用和日益排斥的宏觀指標。然而,認為礦工會做出非理性行為或繼續虧本挖礦的想法似乎有些牽強。
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