交易員表示，如果聯準會明年繼續降息，比特幣價格可能會上漲近一倍，達到 18 萬美元

11 月21 日，全球最受歡迎的加密貨幣價格創下98,000 美元的新紀錄高點，原因是唐納德·川普對加密貨幣的支持持樂觀態度，預示著隨著美國轉向友好監管而不是打擊，該行業將迎來繁榮。

Bitcoin price could nearly double to hit $180,000 if US interest rates are cut

如果美國降息，比特幣價格可能幾乎翻倍，達到 18 萬美元

Traders are expressing optimism that Bitcoin could nearly double the current price of $98,000 to hit $180,000 if the Federal Reserve continues to cut US interest rates next year and demand from institutional investors increases significantly.

交易員樂觀地認為，如果聯準會明年繼續降息並且機構投資者的需求大幅增加，比特幣的價格可能會比目前 98,000 美元的價格幾乎翻倍，達到 18 萬美元。

Prices of the world's most popular cryptocurrency hit a new record high of $98,000 on Nov 21, attributed to optimism regarding Donald Trump's support for crypto heralding a boom for the industry as the US pivots to friendly regulations in place of a crackdown.

11 月21 日，全球最受歡迎的加密貨幣價格創下98,000 美元的新紀錄高點，原因是唐納德·川普對加密貨幣的支持持樂觀態度，預示著隨著美國轉向友好監管而不是打擊，該行業將迎來繁榮。

Trump's transition team has begun to hold discussions over whether to create a White House post dedicated to digital asset policy.

川普的過渡團隊已開始討論是否在白宮設立一個專門負責數位資產政策的職位。

Peerapat Hankongkaew, chief investment officer of Cryptomind Advisory, said it would not be surprising if the price of Bitcoin hits $100,000 soon, if factors support market confidence such as lower interest rates.

Cryptomind Advisory 首席投資長 Peerapat Hankongkaew 表示，如果利率下降等因素支撐市場信心，比特幣價格很快就達到 10 萬美元也就不足為奇了。

Cryptomind, a Bangkok-based digital asset advisory, has predicted since the beginning of 2024 that if interest rates fell, capital would flow into riskier assets because of increased liquidity in the system.

總部位於曼谷的數位資產諮詢公司 Cryptomind 自 2024 年初以來就預測，如果利率下降，由於系統流動性增加，資本將流入風險較高的資產。

Each year, the advisory said there are positive factors that support the price of Bitcoin increasing a few times a year.

該諮詢報告稱，每年都有正面因素支持比特幣價格每年上漲數次。

This year, the price of Bitcoin increased sharply in January on news that institutional investors were allowed to buy spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. In May, the dollar weakened considerably.

今年1月份，由於機構投資人獲準購買現貨比特幣交易所交易基金的消息，比特幣價格大幅上漲。 5月份，美元大幅貶值。

The current price increase was spurred by Trump's victory in the US presidential election as he has generally supported Bitcoin, he said.

他表示，目前的價格上漲是由於川普在美國總統大選中獲勝，因為他總體上支持比特幣。

The current assessment is stable, though profit-taking could happen in the short term as investors tend to sell and take profits, said Mr Peerapat.

皮拉帕特表示，目前的評估是穩定的，但由於投資者傾向於賣出並獲利了結，短期內可能會出現獲利了結。

"Therefore, we do not recommend buying more. If investors already own Bitcoin, we recommend holding on and waiting for supporting factors such as interest rate cuts and the dollar weakening," he said.

「因此，我們不建議購買更多比特幣。如果投資者已經持有比特幣，我們建議持有並等待降息和美元走軟等支撐因素，」他說。

Recently the Fed signalled a delay in cutting interest rates, causing capital to move back to the bond market and the US stock market. As a consequence, capital is flowing out of emerging markets again, said Mr Peerapat.

近期聯準會釋放出延後降息的訊號，導致資金回流至債券市場和美國股市。皮拉帕特表示，因此，資本再次流出新興市場。

For the Bitcoin price trend in 2025, if the price breaks through $100,000, Cryptomind sees the next resistance at $115,000. This would be followed by some correction from profit-taking before it surges to $180,000 if there are additional positive factors such as continued interest rate cuts, noted the advisory.

對於2025年比特幣價格走勢，如果價格突破10萬美元，Cryptomind認為下一個阻力位是115,000美元。該諮詢指出，如果存在持續降息等其他積極因素，隨後將在飆升至 18 萬美元之前進行一些獲利了結調整。

If Trump can implement pro-crypto policies, demand should spike for Bitcoin and stablecoins such as USDT and USDC, which are pairs traded, with a bull run era expected, according to Cryptomind.

Cryptomind 表示，如果川普能夠實施支持加密貨幣的政策，那麼對比特幣和 USDT 和 USDC 等穩定幣的需求應該會激增，這些穩定幣是成對交易的，預計牛市時代將會到來。

However, investors must follow news on Bitcoin and use the information to make investment decisions because crypto is highly volatile and carries high risk, said Mr Peerapat.

然而，皮拉帕特表示，投資人必須關注比特幣新聞，並利用這些資訊做出投資決策，因為加密貨幣波動性很大，風險也很高。