交易员表示，如果美联储明年继续降息，比特币价格可能会上涨近一倍，达到 18 万美元

11 月 21 日，全球最受欢迎的加密货币价格创下 98,000 美元的新纪录高点，原因是唐纳德·特朗普对加密货币的支持持乐观态度，预示着随着美国转向友好监管而不是打击，该行业将迎来繁荣。

Bitcoin price could nearly double to hit $180,000 if US interest rates are cut

如果美国降息，比特币价格可能几乎翻倍，达到 18 万美元

Traders are expressing optimism that Bitcoin could nearly double the current price of $98,000 to hit $180,000 if the Federal Reserve continues to cut US interest rates next year and demand from institutional investors increases significantly.

交易员乐观地认为，如果美联储明年继续降息并且机构投资者的需求大幅增加，比特币的价格可能会比当前 98,000 美元的价格几乎翻倍，达到 180,000 美元。

Prices of the world's most popular cryptocurrency hit a new record high of $98,000 on Nov 21, attributed to optimism regarding Donald Trump's support for crypto heralding a boom for the industry as the US pivots to friendly regulations in place of a crackdown.

11 月 21 日，全球最受欢迎的加密货币价格创下 98,000 美元的新纪录高点，原因是唐纳德·特朗普对加密货币的支持持乐观态度，预示着随着美国转向友好监管而不是打击，该行业将迎来繁荣。

Trump's transition team has begun to hold discussions over whether to create a White House post dedicated to digital asset policy.

特朗普的过渡团队已开始讨论是否在白宫设立一个专门负责数字资产政策的职位。

Peerapat Hankongkaew, chief investment officer of Cryptomind Advisory, said it would not be surprising if the price of Bitcoin hits $100,000 soon, if factors support market confidence such as lower interest rates.

Cryptomind Advisory 首席投资官 Peerapat Hankongkaew 表示，如果利率下降等因素支撑市场信心，比特币价格很快达到 10 万美元也就不足为奇了。

Cryptomind, a Bangkok-based digital asset advisory, has predicted since the beginning of 2024 that if interest rates fell, capital would flow into riskier assets because of increased liquidity in the system.

总部位于曼谷的数字资产咨询公司 Cryptomind 自 2024 年初以来就预测，如果利率下降，由于系统流动性增加，资本将流入风险较高的资产。

Each year, the advisory said there are positive factors that support the price of Bitcoin increasing a few times a year.

该咨询报告称，每年都有积极因素支持比特币价格每年上涨数次。

This year, the price of Bitcoin increased sharply in January on news that institutional investors were allowed to buy spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. In May, the dollar weakened considerably.

今年1月份，由于机构投资者获准购买现货比特币交易所交易基金的消息，比特币价格大幅上涨。 5月份，美元大幅贬值。

The current price increase was spurred by Trump's victory in the US presidential election as he has generally supported Bitcoin, he said.

他表示，目前的价格上涨是由于特朗普在美国总统大选中获胜，因为他总体上支持比特币。

The current assessment is stable, though profit-taking could happen in the short term as investors tend to sell and take profits, said Mr Peerapat.

皮拉帕特表示，目前的评估是稳定的，但由于投资者倾向于卖出并获利了结，短期内可能会出现获利了结。

"Therefore, we do not recommend buying more. If investors already own Bitcoin, we recommend holding on and waiting for supporting factors such as interest rate cuts and the dollar weakening," he said.

“因此，我们不建议购买更多比特币。如果投资者已经持有比特币，我们建议持有并等待降息和美元走软等支撑因素，”他表示。

Recently the Fed signalled a delay in cutting interest rates, causing capital to move back to the bond market and the US stock market. As a consequence, capital is flowing out of emerging markets again, said Mr Peerapat.

近期美联储释放出推迟降息的信号，导致资金回流至债券市场和美国股市。皮拉帕特表示，因此，资本再次流出新兴市场。

For the Bitcoin price trend in 2025, if the price breaks through $100,000, Cryptomind sees the next resistance at $115,000. This would be followed by some correction from profit-taking before it surges to $180,000 if there are additional positive factors such as continued interest rate cuts, noted the advisory.

对于2025年比特币价格走势，如果价格突破10万美元，Cryptomind认为下一个阻力位是115,000美元。该咨询指出，如果存在持续降息等其他积极因素，随后将在飙升至 180,000 美元之前进行一些获利了结调整。

If Trump can implement pro-crypto policies, demand should spike for Bitcoin and stablecoins such as USDT and USDC, which are pairs traded, with a bull run era expected, according to Cryptomind.

Cryptomind 表示，如果特朗普能够实施支持加密货币的政策，那么对比特币和 USDT 和 USDC 等稳定币的需求应该会激增，这些稳定币是成对交易的，预计牛市时代将会到来。

However, investors must follow news on Bitcoin and use the information to make investment decisions because crypto is highly volatile and carries high risk, said Mr Peerapat.

然而，皮拉帕特表示，投资者必须关注比特币新闻，并利用这些信息做出投资决策，因为加密货币波动性很大，风险也很高。