比特幣下跌引發擔憂，並表明市場波動中存在買入機會

比特幣最近的價格下跌引起了市場分析師的擔憂並引發了討論。雖然一些專家預測價格將進一步下跌至 59,000 美元，但其他專家則認為這是長期利潤的策略性買入機會。在波動中，分析師觀察到顯示可能下跌的訊號，包括 TD 序列的死亡交叉和紅色 9 燭台。然而，長期預測仍然樂觀，預計 BTC 2024 年將達到 10 萬美元，2025 年將達到 15 萬美元。

Bitcoin Market Analysis: Potential Dip to $59,000 Raises Concerns and Buying Signals

比特幣市場分析：可能跌至 59,000 美元引發擔憂和購買訊號

Amidst a broader market selloff, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a significant drop, prompting analysts to speculate on its future trajectory. The recent price decline has sparked concerns over market stability while simultaneously presenting potential buying opportunities for long-term investors.

在更廣泛的市場拋售中，比特幣（BTC）的價格大幅下跌，促使分析師對其未來趨勢進行猜測。最近的價格下跌引發了對市場穩定性的擔憂，同時為長期投資者提供了潛在的買入機會。

Expert Predictions and Sell Signals

專家預測和賣出訊號

Renowned crypto market analyst Ali Martinez has identified two key sell signals for Bitcoin: a death cross between the 50 and 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) and a red 9 candlestick from the TD Sequential indicator. Martinez suggests that a break below $63,300 could trigger a further decline towards $61,000 or even $59,000, raising the possibility of a breach of the $60,000 support level.

著名加密貨幣市場分析師 Ali Martinez 確定了比特幣的兩個關鍵賣出訊號：50 和 100 簡單移動平均線 (SMA) 之間的死亡交叉以及 TD 順序指標的紅色 9 燭台。馬丁內斯表示，跌破 63,300 美元可能會引發進一步跌向 61,000 美元甚至 59,000 美元，增加突破 60,000 美元支撐位的可能性。

Geopolitical Factors and Market Sentiment

地緣政治因素與市場情緒

On-chain analytics firm Kaiko has attributed Bitcoin's recent 6% decline in April to geopolitical tensions. Despite the surge in traditional safe-haven assets like gold and the US dollar, Bitcoin has failed to benefit from market volatility, casting doubt on its resilience during periods of global turmoil.

鏈上分析公司 Kaiko 將比特幣 4 月最近 6% 的下跌歸因於地緣政治緊張局勢。儘管黃金和美元等傳統避險資產大幅上漲，但比特幣未能從市場波動中受益，令人對其在全球動盪時期的彈性產生懷疑。

Potential Dip as Buying Signal

潛在下跌作為買進訊號

Despite the concerns raised by analysts, some industry experts view a potential drop in Bitcoin's price below $60,000 as a buying signal for savvy investors. While short-term volatility is expected following the recent Bitcoin halving event, long-term forecasts suggest a positive trajectory for BTC.

儘管分析師提出了擔憂，但一些行業專家認為，比特幣價格可能跌破 6 萬美元，這對精明的投資者來說是一個買入訊號。雖然最近的比特幣減半事件預計會出現短期波動，但長期預測顯示比特幣將呈現積極的發展軌跡。

A study by Spot On Chain, using Google Cloud's Vertex AI, predicts Bitcoin prices ranging from $56k to $70k in May, June, and July 2024, with a 48% likelihood of falling below $60k. However, the study also projects significant movement in the second half of 2024, with a 63% chance of reaching $100,000 and a 42% chance of exceeding $150,000 in the first half of 2025.

Spot On Chain 使用Google Cloud 的Vertex AI 進行的一項研究預測，2024 年5 月、6 月和7 月，比特幣價格將在5.6 萬美元到7 萬美元之間，其中有48% 的可能性跌破6 萬美元。然而，該研究也預測 2024 年下半年將出現重大變化，2025 年上半年達到 10 萬美元的可能性為 63%，超過 15 萬美元的可能性為 42%。

Selling Trend and Buying Opportunity

銷售趨勢和購買機會

IntoTheBlock reports that experienced Bitcoin holders have recently begun selling a portion of their holdings, a trend typically observed at the beginning and peak of bull markets. While this behavior has raised some concerns, the firm emphasizes that it aligns with historical market cycles and that there is ample time remaining compared to previous cycles.

IntoTheBlock 報導稱，經驗豐富的比特幣持有者最近開始出售部分持有的比特幣，這種趨勢通常在牛市開始和高峰時觀察到。雖然這種行為引起了一些擔憂，但該公司強調，它符合歷史市場週期，與先前的週期相比，還有充足的時間。

Coinbase Premium Gap Signals Selling Pressure

Coinbase 溢價缺口顯示拋售壓力

According to CryptoQuant data, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap has turned negative, indicating significant selling pressure from US investors on Coinbase. This trend, while potentially indicative of a bearish sentiment, also presents a potential buying opportunity for those seeking to acquire Bitcoin at a discount.

根據 CryptoQuant 數據，比特幣 Coinbase 溢價缺口已轉為負數，顯示美國投資者對 Coinbase 造成巨大拋售壓力。這種趨勢雖然可能表明看跌情緒，但也為那些尋求以折扣價購買比特幣的人提供了潛在的買入機會。

Market Volatility and Current Price

市場波動和當前價格

As of this writing, the Bitcoin price has declined by 4.39% to $63,486.12, with trading volume surging by 35.40% to $32.42 billion. The flagship cryptocurrency has oscillated between a high of $66,730.43 and a low of $63,316.21 in the last 24 hours, highlighting the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market.

截至本文撰寫時，比特幣價格已下跌 4.39% 至 63,486.12 美元，交易量飆升 35.40% 至 324.2 億美元。在過去 24 小時內，旗艦加密貨幣在 66,730.43 美元的高點和 63,316.21 美元的低點之間波動，凸顯了加密貨幣市場的波動性。

Conclusion

結論

The recent dip in Bitcoin's price has sparked a cautious outlook among investors, prompting speculation about a potential breach of the $60,000 support level. However, long-term forecasts remain optimistic, with analysts predicting substantial growth in the coming years. While short-term volatility is inevitable, the current downturn may represent a strategic buying opportunity for investors with a long-term investment horizon.

最近比特幣價格的下跌引發了投資者對比特幣前景的謹慎態度，引發了可能突破 6 萬美元支撐位的猜測。然而，長期預測仍然樂觀，分析師預測未來幾年將大幅成長。雖然短期波動不可避免，但當前的低迷可能為具有長期投資視野的投資者提供策略性買入機會。