加密貨幣市場等待 12 月就業報告，比特幣 (BTC) 價格重回 12 月 5 日區間低點

美國股市週四休市，以紀念前總統吉米卡特 (Jimmy Carter)，但加密貨幣是 24/7 的，並且在明天 12 月就業報告發布之前的任何緊張情緒中首當其衝。

U.S. stock markets were closed Thursday in a tribute to former President Jimmy Carter, but crypto never sleeps and is bearing the brunt of any anxiety ahead of tomorrow's December employment report.

美國股市週四休市，以紀念前總統吉米卡特 (Jimmy Carter)，但加密貨幣永不眠，並且在明天 12 月就業報告發布之前首當其沖地受到任何焦慮的影響。

In late-afternoon trading, the price of bitcoin (BTC) had returned to levels not seen in over a month, barely staying above $91,000 and down about 3% over the past 24 hours.

在午後交易中，比特幣 (BTC) 的價格回到了一個多月以來的最低水平，勉強保持在 91,000 美元以上，在過去 24 小時內下跌了約 3%。

The broader CoinDesk 20 Index is down similarly, but notable underperformers include solana (SOL) and chainlink (LINK), both down by double-digit percentages.

更廣泛的 CoinDesk 20 指數也出現了類似的下跌，但值得注意的表現不佳者包括 solana (SOL) 和 chainlink (LINK)，兩者均下跌了兩位數百分比。

The continued sell-off in crypto follows a major fourth quarter 2024 rally, driven by Donald Trump's victory in November and hopes of a friendlier regulatory environment from Washington D.C.

在唐納德·川普 (Donald Trump) 11 月獲勝以及華盛頓特區對更友好的監管環境的希望推動下，加密貨幣在 2024 年第四季度出現大幅反彈之後持續遭到拋售

Another factor propping up crypto was easier monetary policy, with the U.S. Federal Reserve cutting its overnight interest rate by 100 basis points since September. However, this support has waned after a series of economic reports showed the economy and inflation to be much stronger than markets and the central bank anticipated. This has pushed yields on long-term interest rates up by over 100 basis points since the Fed began cutting short-term rates.

支撐加密貨幣的另一個因素是寬鬆的貨幣政策，而聯準會自 9 月以來將隔夜利率下調了 100 個基點。然而，在一系列經濟報告顯示經濟和通膨遠強於市場和央行預期後，這種支持已經減弱。自從聯準會開始削減短期利率以來，這已將長期利率收益率推高了100多個基點。

Today's selling comes ahead of Friday morning's December jobs report. Another strong data point could lead markets to not only abandon the prospect of rate cuts in 2025 but also begin pricing in the need for rate increases in the coming months.

今天的拋售發生在周五上午的 12 月就業報告之前。另一個強而有力的數據點可能會導致市場不僅放棄 2025 年降息的前景，而且開始考慮未來幾個月升息的必要性。

How low could bitcoin fall?

比特幣能跌多低？

"BTC, ETH and SOL are now revisiting December 5 range lows and people are starting to accept these levels may not hold," well-followed trader Eugene Ng Ah Sio noted in an X post. "This is when most people panic."

備受關注的交易員 Eugene Ng Ah Sio 在 X 帖子中指出：“BTC、ETH 和 SOL 現在正在重新審視 12 月 5 日的區間低點，人們開始接受這些水平可能無法維持。” “這是大多數人恐慌的時候。”

He added that the next support level for bitcoin is $85,000 if the $90,000 level fails to hold.

他補充說，如果未能守住 9 萬美元的水平，比特幣的下一個支撐位是 8.5 萬美元。

Joe McCann, founder of venture capital fund Asymmetric Capital, wrote that BTC could be eyeing $75,000 if it doesn't hold the $90,000 line.

創投基金 Asymmetry Capital 的創始人 Joe McCann 寫道，如果 BTC 無法守住 9 萬美元的線，它可能會瞄準 75,000 美元。

Prominent trader Skew noted that Thursday's price decline could be driven by headlines about further Silk Road-related bitcoin sales. In a separate post analyzing Binance order book data, Skew added that bid liquidity ready to buy up bitcoin at prices below the current levels is strong, outpacing sellers.

著名交易員 Skew 指出，週四的價格下跌可能是由有關絲綢之路相關比特幣進一步銷售的頭條新聞推動的。在另一篇分析幣安訂單簿數據的文章中，Skew 補充說，準備以低於當前水平的價格購買比特幣的出價流動性強勁，超過了賣家。

"Something to note here is the lack of volatility behind price here, which is partly the sell flow not being sizable, and the amount of bid liquidity which outstrips current sell pressure," Skew wrote. "This doesn't look that bad."

Skew 寫道：“值得注意的是，價格背後缺乏波動性，部分原因是賣出流量不大，而買入流動性超過了當前的賣出壓力。” “這看起來沒那麼糟。”