加密货币市场等待 12 月就业报告，比特币 (BTC) 价格重回 12 月 5 日区间低点

美国股市周四休市，以纪念前总统吉米·卡特 (Jimmy Carter)，但加密货币是 24/7 的，并且在明天 12 月就业报告发布之前的任何紧张情绪中首当其冲。

U.S. stock markets were closed Thursday in a tribute to former President Jimmy Carter, but crypto never sleeps and is bearing the brunt of any anxiety ahead of tomorrow's December employment report.

美国股市周四休市，以纪念前总统吉米·卡特 (Jimmy Carter)，但加密货币永不眠，并且在明天 12 月就业报告发布之前首当其冲地受到任何焦虑的影响。

In late-afternoon trading, the price of bitcoin (BTC) had returned to levels not seen in over a month, barely staying above $91,000 and down about 3% over the past 24 hours.

在午后交易中，比特币 (BTC) 的价格回到了一个多月以来的最低水平，勉强保持在 91,000 美元以上，在过去 24 小时内下跌了约 3%。

The broader CoinDesk 20 Index is down similarly, but notable underperformers include solana (SOL) and chainlink (LINK), both down by double-digit percentages.

更广泛的 CoinDesk 20 指数也出现了类似的下跌，但值得注意的表现不佳者包括 solana (SOL) 和 chainlink (LINK)，两者均下跌了两位数百分比。

The continued sell-off in crypto follows a major fourth quarter 2024 rally, driven by Donald Trump's victory in November and hopes of a friendlier regulatory environment from Washington D.C.

在唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 11 月获胜以及华盛顿特区对更友好的监管环境的希望推动下，加密货币在 2024 年第四季度出现大幅反弹之后持续遭到抛售

Another factor propping up crypto was easier monetary policy, with the U.S. Federal Reserve cutting its overnight interest rate by 100 basis points since September. However, this support has waned after a series of economic reports showed the economy and inflation to be much stronger than markets and the central bank anticipated. This has pushed yields on long-term interest rates up by over 100 basis points since the Fed began cutting short-term rates.

支撑加密货币的另一个因素是更宽松的货币政策，美联储自 9 月份以来将隔夜利率下调了 100 个基点。然而，在一系列经济报告显示经济和通胀远强于市场和央行预期后，这种支持已经减弱。自美联储开始削减短期利率以来，这已将长期利率收益率推高了100多个基点。

Today's selling comes ahead of Friday morning's December jobs report. Another strong data point could lead markets to not only abandon the prospect of rate cuts in 2025 but also begin pricing in the need for rate increases in the coming months.

今天的抛售发生在周五上午的 12 月就业报告之前。另一个强有力的数据点可能会导致市场不仅放弃 2025 年降息的前景，而且开始考虑未来几个月加息的必要性。

How low could bitcoin fall?

比特币能跌到多低？

"BTC, ETH and SOL are now revisiting December 5 range lows and people are starting to accept these levels may not hold," well-followed trader Eugene Ng Ah Sio noted in an X post. "This is when most people panic."

备受关注的交易员 Eugene Ng Ah Sio 在 X 帖子中指出：“BTC、ETH 和 SOL 现在正在重新审视 12 月 5 日的区间低点，人们开始接受这些水平可能无法维持。” “这是大多数人恐慌的时候。”

He added that the next support level for bitcoin is $85,000 if the $90,000 level fails to hold.

他补充说，如果未能守住 90,000 美元的水平，比特币的下一个支撑位是 85,000 美元。

Joe McCann, founder of venture capital fund Asymmetric Capital, wrote that BTC could be eyeing $75,000 if it doesn't hold the $90,000 line.

风险投资基金 Asymcapital 的创始人 Joe McCann 写道，如果 BTC 不能守住 90,000 美元的线，它可能会瞄准 75,000 美元。

Prominent trader Skew noted that Thursday's price decline could be driven by headlines about further Silk Road-related bitcoin sales. In a separate post analyzing Binance order book data, Skew added that bid liquidity ready to buy up bitcoin at prices below the current levels is strong, outpacing sellers.

著名交易员 Skew 指出，周四的价格下跌可能是由有关丝绸之路相关比特币进一步销售的头条新闻推动的。在另一篇分析币安订单簿数据的文章中，Skew 补充说，准备以低于当前水平的价格购买比特币的出价流动性强劲，超过了卖家。

"Something to note here is the lack of volatility behind price here, which is partly the sell flow not being sizable, and the amount of bid liquidity which outstrips current sell pressure," Skew wrote. "This doesn't look that bad."

Skew 写道：“值得注意的是，价格背后缺乏波动性，部分原因是卖出流量不大，而买入流动性超过了当前的卖出压力。” “这看起来没那么糟糕。”