比特幣 [BTC] 價格預測：這種勢頭最終能否推動 BTC 突破六位數大關？

比特幣[BTC]連續兩天穩定在98,000美元大關附近。在“新年”炒作推動的一周看漲趨勢之後

Bitcoin [BTC] has been hovering around the $98,000 mark for two consecutive days now. After a week of bullish trends driven by the ‘New Year’ hype, market makers are preparing for potential shifts. These shifts are tied to Donald Trump’s inauguration, which is just two weeks away.

比特幣[BTC]現已連續兩天徘徊在 98,000 美元大關附近。在「新年」炒作推動的一周看漲趨勢之後，做市商正在為潛在的轉變做好準備。這些轉變與唐納德·川普的就職典禮有關，距離川普的就職典禮只有兩週了。

Altcoins aren’t sitting idle, either. AIOZ has surged 20% in the past 24 hours, signaling that capital isn’t just sticking to Bitcoin – it’s flowing across the market.

山寨幣也沒閒著。 AIOZ 在過去 24 小時內飆升了 20%，這表明資本不僅僅停留在比特幣上，而是在整個市場上流動。

As excitement builds, could this momentum finally push BTC past the six-figure mark? All signs point to an intriguing two weeks ahead.

隨著人們的興奮不斷增強，這種勢頭最終能否推動比特幣突破六位數大關？所有跡像都表明未來兩週將是有趣的。

The clock is ticking

時鐘在滴答作響

In Q4 of last year, Trump’s influence helped Bitcoin flirt with the $100K mark. However, broader market forces quickly stepped in to cool the rally. This highlights a critical truth: even strong catalysts can’t avoid the unpredictable impact of larger economic trends.

去年第四季度，川普的影響力幫助比特幣衝上了 10 萬美元大關。然而，更廣泛的市場力量迅速介入，為漲勢降溫。這凸顯了一個關鍵事實：即使是強大的催化劑也無法避免更大的經濟趨勢所帶來的不可預測的影響。

During this period, Bitcoin’s exchange reserves surged by 1.7% in just a week, reaching 2.43 million BTC—the largest increase in over three months.

在此期間，比特幣的外匯儲備在短短一周內飆升了1.7%，達到243萬比特幣，這是三個多月來的最大增幅。

However, the narrative quickly reversed. Bitcoin reserves have now dropped to a new four-year low of 2.30 million BTC, indicating that more Bitcoin is being taken off exchanges.

然而，劇情很快就逆轉。比特幣儲備現已降至 230 萬比特幣的四年新低，這表明更多的比特幣正在從交易所下架。

Despite this, activity remains subdued. Futures Open Interest (OI) is under $60 billion, compared to $70 billion when BTC touched $108K. Notably, trading volumes have also slipped by 6%.

儘管如此，活動仍然低迷。期貨未平倉合約 (OI) 不足 600 億美元，而 BTC 觸及 10.8 萬美元時為 700 億美元。值得注意的是，交易量也下滑了 6%。

Source: Coinglass

來源：Coinglass

With Trump’s inauguration just two weeks away, a surge in both metrics could be the catalyst Bitcoin needs to break six figures – and potentially set a new all-time high.

距離川普就職典禮僅剩兩週時間，這兩項指標的飆升可能成為比特幣突破六位數所需的催化劑，並有可能創下新的歷史高點。

But weak demand at these levels might flip the script, leading to a sharp pullback instead. The stakes are high.

但在這些水準上的疲軟需求可能會扭轉局面，導致大幅回檔。賭注很高。

Bitcoin investors brace for a test of patience

比特幣投資者準備迎接耐心考驗

As Bitcoin nears the $100K mark, the “risk” factor is becoming more powerful in the market.

隨著比特幣接近10萬美元大關，市場上的「風險」因素變得越來越強大。

Retail investors, who make up 88% of Bitcoin’s network, are feeling the pressure. The fear of a potential crash looms large, and if Bitcoin can’t establish $100K as a solid support level, we could see some hesitation in capital inflow.

佔比特幣網路 88% 的散戶投資者正感受到壓力。對潛在崩盤的擔憂日益凸顯，如果比特幣無法建立 10 萬美元作為堅實的支撐位，我們可能會看到資本流入出現一些猶豫。

Trump’s return to the White House could be the perfect catalyst. His influence might be just what Bitcoin needs to stay strong and avoid falling back into the $97K – $99K price band.

川普重返白宮可能是完美的催化劑。他的影響力可能正是比特幣保持強勢並避免跌回 97,000 美元至 99,000 美元價格區間所需要的。

Read Bitcoin [BTC] Price Prediction 2025-2026

閱讀比特幣 [BTC] 2025-2026 年價格預測

Meanwhile, the altcoin market isn’t far behind. Ethereum [ETH] is showing signs of weakness, with options volume dropping by 50% and $7 million worth of long positions squeezed out. The market is waiting for a clear rebound.

同時，山寨幣市場也不甘落後。以太坊 [ETH] 顯示疲軟跡象，選擇權交易量下降 50%，價值 700 萬美元的多頭頭寸被擠出。市場正在等待明顯的反彈。

The coming weeks will put your patience to the test. The buzz around Trump’s inauguration could spark a buying frenzy, but without stronger accumulation in both Bitcoin and altcoins, even Trump’s return might not be enough.

接下來的幾週將考驗你的耐心。圍繞川普就職典禮的熱議可能會引發購買狂潮，但如果比特幣和山寨幣沒有更強勁的積累，即使川普的回歸也可能還不夠。

Keep a close eye on volume indicators. If the buying picks up significantly, we could see the market break out.

密切關注成交量指標。如果購買量顯著增加，我們可能會看到市場突破。