比特币 [BTC] 价格预测：这种势头最终能否推动 BTC 突破六位数大关？

比特币[BTC]连续两天稳定在98000美元大关附近。在“新年”炒作推动的一周看涨趋势之后

Bitcoin [BTC] has been hovering around the $98,000 mark for two consecutive days now. After a week of bullish trends driven by the ‘New Year’ hype, market makers are preparing for potential shifts. These shifts are tied to Donald Trump’s inauguration, which is just two weeks away.

比特币[BTC]现已连续两天徘徊在 98,000 美元大关附近。在“新年”炒作推动的一周看涨趋势之后，做市商正在为潜在的转变做好准备。这些转变与唐纳德·特朗普的就职典礼有关，距离特朗普的就职典礼只有两周了。

Altcoins aren’t sitting idle, either. AIOZ has surged 20% in the past 24 hours, signaling that capital isn’t just sticking to Bitcoin – it’s flowing across the market.

山寨币也没有闲着。 AIOZ 在过去 24 小时内飙升了 20%，这表明资本不仅仅停留在比特币上，而是在整个市场上流动。

As excitement builds, could this momentum finally push BTC past the six-figure mark? All signs point to an intriguing two weeks ahead.

随着人们的兴奋不断增强，这种势头最终能否推动比特币突破六位数大关？所有迹象都表明未来两周将是有趣的。

The clock is ticking

时钟在滴答作响

In Q4 of last year, Trump’s influence helped Bitcoin flirt with the $100K mark. However, broader market forces quickly stepped in to cool the rally. This highlights a critical truth: even strong catalysts can’t avoid the unpredictable impact of larger economic trends.

去年第四季度，特朗普的影响力帮助比特币冲上了 10 万美元大关。然而，更广泛的市场力量迅速介入，为涨势降温。这凸显了一个关键事实：即使是强大的催化剂也无法避免更大的经济趋势带来的不可预测的影响。

During this period, Bitcoin’s exchange reserves surged by 1.7% in just a week, reaching 2.43 million BTC—the largest increase in over three months.

在此期间，比特币的外汇储备在短短一周内飙升了1.7%，达到243万比特币，这是三个多月来的最大增幅。

However, the narrative quickly reversed. Bitcoin reserves have now dropped to a new four-year low of 2.30 million BTC, indicating that more Bitcoin is being taken off exchanges.

然而，剧情很快发生逆转。比特币储备现已降至 230 万比特币的四年新低，这表明更多的比特币正在从交易所下架。

Despite this, activity remains subdued. Futures Open Interest (OI) is under $60 billion, compared to $70 billion when BTC touched $108K. Notably, trading volumes have also slipped by 6%.

尽管如此，活动仍然低迷。期货未平仓合约 (OI) 不足 600 亿美元，而 BTC 触及 10.8 万美元时为 700 亿美元。值得注意的是，交易量也下滑了 6%。

Source: Coinglass

来源：Coinglass

With Trump’s inauguration just two weeks away, a surge in both metrics could be the catalyst Bitcoin needs to break six figures – and potentially set a new all-time high.

距离特朗普就职典礼仅剩两周时间，这两项指标的飙升可能成为比特币突破六位数所需的催化剂，并有可能创下新的历史高点。

But weak demand at these levels might flip the script, leading to a sharp pullback instead. The stakes are high.

但在这些水平上的疲软需求可能会扭转局面，导致大幅回调。赌注很高。

Bitcoin investors brace for a test of patience

比特币投资者准备迎接耐心考验

As Bitcoin nears the $100K mark, the “risk” factor is becoming more powerful in the market.

随着比特币接近10万美元大关，市场上的“风险”因素变得越来越强大。

Retail investors, who make up 88% of Bitcoin’s network, are feeling the pressure. The fear of a potential crash looms large, and if Bitcoin can’t establish $100K as a solid support level, we could see some hesitation in capital inflow.

占比特币网络 88% 的散户投资者正感受到压力。对潜在崩盘的担忧日益凸显，如果比特币无法建立 10 万美元作为坚实的支撑位，我们可能会看到资本流入出现一些犹豫。

Trump’s return to the White House could be the perfect catalyst. His influence might be just what Bitcoin needs to stay strong and avoid falling back into the $97K – $99K price band.

特朗普重返白宫可能是完美的催化剂。他的影响力可能正是比特币保持强势并避免跌回 97000 美元至 99000 美元价格区间所需要的。

Read Bitcoin [BTC] Price Prediction 2025-2026

阅读比特币 [BTC] 2025-2026 年价格预测

Meanwhile, the altcoin market isn’t far behind. Ethereum [ETH] is showing signs of weakness, with options volume dropping by 50% and $7 million worth of long positions squeezed out. The market is waiting for a clear rebound.

与此同时，山寨币市场也不甘落后。以太坊 [ETH] 显示疲软迹象，期权交易量下降 50%，价值 700 万美元的多头头寸被挤出。市场正在等待明显的反弹。

The coming weeks will put your patience to the test. The buzz around Trump’s inauguration could spark a buying frenzy, but without stronger accumulation in both Bitcoin and altcoins, even Trump’s return might not be enough.

接下来的几周将考验你的耐心。围绕特朗普就职典礼的热议可能会引发购买狂潮，但如果比特币和山寨币没有更强劲的积累，即使特朗普的回归也可能还不够。

Keep a close eye on volume indicators. If the buying picks up significantly, we could see the market break out.

密切关注成交量指标。如果购买量显着增加，我们可能会看到市场突破。