比特幣（BTC）價格預測：牛市還是熊市？

比特幣目前的價格為83,779美元，市值為1.66萬億美元，交易量為912.2億美元

Bitcoin (BTC) price action has seen a relief rally from the lows seen earlier this week, but traders may be setting themselves up for a disappointment as major technical indicators suggest that the dominant trend remains bearish despite short-term rebounds.

比特幣（BTC）的價格行動使本週早些時候看到的低點獲得了救濟集，但交易者可能會感到失望，因為主要技術指標表明，儘管短期籃板，但主要的趨勢仍然是看跌的。

On Thursday morning, bitcoin was trading at $83,779, showing signs of bouncing within an intraday range of $78,197 to $84,854. The apex cryptocurrency had a market capitalization of $1.66 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $91.22 billion.

在星期四早上，比特幣的交易價格為83,779美元，顯示出在日內範圍內彈跳的跡像在78,197美元至84,854美元之間。 Apex加密貨幣的市值為1.66萬億美元，交易量為912.2億美元。

Bitcoin price analysis: Bulls may be setting themselves up for disappointment as major technical indicators suggest that the dominant trend remains bearish despite short-term rebounds.

比特幣價格分析：公牛可能會感到失望，因為主要的技術指標表明，儘管短期籃板，但主要的趨勢仍然看跌。

Recent price movement suggests that bitcoin has experienced a relief rally following a sharp decline to $78,197. However, multiple technical indicators indicate that the dominant trend remains bearish. The relative strength index (RSI) sits at 25, signaling neutral conditions, while the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) level remains negative at -3,345, indicating that bearish momentum is still in play. Additionally, the momentum oscillator registers at -11,908, reinforcing the weakness in upward price movement.

最近的價格變動表明，比特幣在急劇下降至78,197美元之後經歷了一場浮雕集會。但是，多個技術指標表明，主要的趨勢仍然是看跌的。相對強度指數（RSI）位於25個信號中性條件下，而移動平均收斂差異（MACD）水平仍為-3,345，表明看跌動量仍在發揮作用。此外，動量振盪器的記錄為-11,908，增強了價格上漲的弱點。

Although the Stochastic and commodity channel index, at the moment, suggest short-term positive signals, broader moving averages (MAs) overwhelmingly suggest continued downward pressure.

儘管目前的隨機和商品渠道指數暗示了短期正信號，但更廣泛的移動平均（MAS）以壓倒性的持續向下壓力。

On BTC’s daily chart, bitcoin is trading well below key resistance zones between $85,000 and $90,000, and the downward trajectory is supported by high selling volume. Every major moving average, including the exponential moving average (EMA) and simple moving average (SMA) across 10, 20, 30, 50, and 100 periods, reflects a strong negative sentiment. The only outlier is the simple moving average (SMA-200), which provides a bullish signal at $81,995, suggesting that this level may serve as a longer-term support. Given the broader market trend, any bounce toward resistance is likely to face significant selling pressure, making current price action suspect.

在BTC的每日圖表上，比特幣的交易遠低於關鍵阻力區，在85,000美元至90,000美元之間，而下降軌跡得到了高銷售量的支持。每個主要移動平均線，包括10、20、30、50和100個時期的簡單移動平均值（EMA）和簡單的移動平均值（SMA），都反映出強烈的負面情緒。唯一的離群值是簡單的移動平均值（SMA-200），該平均值為81,995美元提供看漲信號，這表明此水平可以作為長期支持。考慮到更廣泛的市場趨勢，任何向抵抗的反彈都可能面臨巨大的銷售壓力，這使得當前的價格行動可疑。

The 4-hour chart reflects a sharp sell-off, followed by a mild recovery that has yet to establish a sustainable uptrend. Resistance remains firmly in place at $84,000 to $86,000, with support holding near $78,000 to $80,000. A break above $85,000 with strong volume could shift momentum toward $90,000, but a rejection at this level would likely accelerate another downturn. The average directional index (ADX) at 43 confirms that the prevailing trend remains strong, favoring further downside unless bitcoin decisively breaks above key resistance levels.

4小時的圖表反映了急劇的拋售，其次是溫和的恢復，尚未建立可持續的上升趨勢。阻力仍然牢固地固定在84,000至86,000美元之間，支援持有近78,000至80,000美元。超過85,000美元的大量突破可能會將勢頭轉移到90,000美元，但在這個水平上的拒絕可能會加速另一場經濟的下滑。 43處的平均方向指數（ADX）證實，當前的趨勢仍然很強，除非比特幣果斷地超過關鍵阻力水平，否則有利於進一步的缺點。

Short-term traders may find opportunities within the 1-hour chart, where increased volume has accompanied a small bounce. While bullish interest appears to be picking up within the $80,000 to $82,000 zone, a failure to hold above $79,000 could invalidate any bullish setups. If bitcoin reclaims $85,000, a push toward $88,000 to $90,000 may follow, but the broader technical landscape suggests caution. The overwhelming bearish outlook from moving averages and weak momentum indicators make this recent price action susceptible to a bull trap, where buyers may be lured into the market before another sharp sell-off occurs.

短期交易者可能會在1小時的圖表中找到機會，在1小時的圖表中，量增加的量伴隨著很小的反彈。儘管看漲的利息似乎在80,000美元至82,000美元的$ 82,000區域內，但未能持有79,000美元以上的股份可能使任何看漲的設置無效。如果比特幣收回$ 85,000，則可能會付出88,000美元至90,000美元，但更廣泛的技術格局表示謹慎。移動平均和弱勢指標的壓倒性看跌前景使得最近的價格行動容易受到公牛陷阱的影響，在此期間，在另一個急劇拋售之前，可能會將買家引誘到市場。

Given the combination of technical factors, traders should approach the current price action with skepticism. While bitcoin’s short-term bounce is drawing attention, major resistance levels and persistently bearish moving averages cast doubt on the sustainability of this recovery. A failure to break above $85,000 convincingly would likely reinforce the bear case, leading to another test of support at $78,000 or lower. As market conditions remain volatile, risk management is crucial, as the possibility of a deeper retracement remains in play.

鑑於技術因素的結合，交易者應與懷疑論達到當前的價格行動。儘管比特幣的短期反彈正在引起人們的注意，但主要的抵抗力水平和持續的看跌平均值對這種恢復的可持續性產生了懷疑。不可令人信服地打破85,000美元以上的損失可能會加強該熊案，從而導致另一項支持的測試為78,000美元或更低。隨著市場狀況的波動，風險管理至關重要，因為更深層回撤的可能性仍在起作用。

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比特幣後的公牛可能會感到失望，因為主要的技術指標表明，儘管短期籃板，但主要的趨勢仍然是看跌的。首先出現在TokenPost上|加密，web3，nft，defi，metaverse等。