比特幣在2024年經歷了大幅上漲,其價格自年初以來已經上漲了一倍多,逼近心理價位。
Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a remarkable rally in 2024, with its price surging by more than 100% since the beginning of the year. This price action has been closely followed by crypto enthusiasts and analysts alike, who are attempting to identify the peak of the BTC price rally. One analyst, known as Tony “The Bull” Severino, has shared his analysis, suggesting that the Donald Trump inauguration might be the time to expect the peak of the BTC price this bull run.
比特幣(BTC)在2024年經歷了令人矚目的反彈,其價格自年初以來飆升超過100%。這一價格走勢受到了加密貨幣愛好者和分析師的密切關注,他們試圖確定比特幣價格上漲的高峰。一位被稱為「公牛」托尼·塞維裡諾(Tony “The Bull” Severino) 的分析師分享了他的分析,認為唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump) 就職典禮可能是預計本次牛市中BTC 價格見頂的時候。
Severino, who is a popular crypto analyst on the social media platform X, recently shared his analysis, which combines technical analysis with cyclical patterns to attempt to identify the peak of the Bitcoin price. In his analysis, which was posted on platform X, Severino highlights a pattern in the BTC price movements that has aligned with the Elliott Wave Theory.
Severino 是社群媒體平台 X 上頗受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師,他最近分享了他的分析,該分析將技術分析與週期性模式相結合,試圖識別比特幣價格的峰值。 Severino 在 X 平台上發布的分析中強調了 BTC 價格走勢的模式,該模式與艾略特波浪理論一致。
The Elliott Wave Theory is a popular technical analysis framework that identifies recurring price wave patterns, which are said to correspond with the psychology of crowds in the market. Severino observes that the peaks of waves 1 and 3, as well as the troughs of waves 2 and 4 in the current BTC price cycle, have corresponded closely with specific time cycles since late 2023.
艾略特波浪理論是一種流行的技術分析框架,它可以識別反覆出現的價格波浪模式,據說這與市場中人群的心理相對應。 Severino 觀察到,目前 BTC 價格週期中第 1 波和第 3 波的波峰以及第 2 波和第 4 波的波谷與 2023 年底以來的特定時間週期密切對應。
According to Severino, this cyclical behavior suggests that the Bitcoin price may reach a significant peak around the time of the Donald Trump inauguration. "Buy the election. Sell the inauguration," Tony remarked.
塞維裡諾表示,這種週期性行為表明,比特幣價格可能會在唐納德·川普就職典禮前後達到顯著高峰。 「買選舉。賣就職典禮,」東尼說。
It is important to note that this analysis is based on technical price movements and does not take into account other factors that could influence the BTC price. For instance, the analysis does not consider the impact of President Trump's policies on the cryptocurrency industry or the broader economy.
值得注意的是,該分析是基於技術價格走勢,並未考慮可能影響 BTC 價格的其他因素。例如,該分析沒有考慮川普總統的政策對加密貨幣產業或更廣泛經濟的影響。