分析师预测，比特币（BTC）价格可能在唐纳德·特朗普就任美国新总统前后达到顶峰

比特币在2024年经历了大幅上涨，其价格自年初以来已经上涨了一倍多，逼近心理价位。

Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a remarkable rally in 2024, with its price surging by more than 100% since the beginning of the year. This price action has been closely followed by crypto enthusiasts and analysts alike, who are attempting to identify the peak of the BTC price rally. One analyst, known as Tony “The Bull” Severino, has shared his analysis, suggesting that the Donald Trump inauguration might be the time to expect the peak of the BTC price this bull run.

比特币（BTC）在2024年经历了令人瞩目的反弹，其价格自年初以来飙升超过100%。这一价格走势受到了加密货币爱好者和分析师的密切关注，他们试图确定比特币价格上涨的峰值。一位被称为“公牛”托尼·塞维里诺 (Tony “The Bull” Severino) 的分析师分享了他的分析，认为唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 就职典礼可能是预计本次牛市中 BTC 价格见顶的时候。

Severino, who is a popular crypto analyst on the social media platform X, recently shared his analysis, which combines technical analysis with cyclical patterns to attempt to identify the peak of the Bitcoin price. In his analysis, which was posted on platform X, Severino highlights a pattern in the BTC price movements that has aligned with the Elliott Wave Theory.

Severino 是社交媒体平台 X 上颇受欢迎的加密货币分析师，他最近分享了他的分析，该分析将技术分析与周期性模式相结合，试图识别比特币价格的峰值。 Severino 在 X 平台上发布的分析中强调了 BTC 价格走势的模式，该模式与艾略特波浪理论一致。

The Elliott Wave Theory is a popular technical analysis framework that identifies recurring price wave patterns, which are said to correspond with the psychology of crowds in the market. Severino observes that the peaks of waves 1 and 3, as well as the troughs of waves 2 and 4 in the current BTC price cycle, have corresponded closely with specific time cycles since late 2023.

艾略特波浪理论是一种流行的技术分析框架，它可以识别反复出现的价格波浪模式，据说这与市场中人群的心理相对应。 Severino 观察到，当前 BTC 价格周期中第 1 波和第 3 波的波峰以及第 2 波和第 4 波的波谷与 2023 年底以来的特定时间周期密切对应。

According to Severino, this cyclical behavior suggests that the Bitcoin price may reach a significant peak around the time of the Donald Trump inauguration. "Buy the election. Sell the inauguration," Tony remarked.

塞韦里诺表示，这种周期性行为表明，比特币价格可能会在唐纳德·特朗普就职典礼前后达到显着峰值。 “买选举。卖就职典礼，”托尼说。

It is important to note that this analysis is based on technical price movements and does not take into account other factors that could influence the BTC price. For instance, the analysis does not consider the impact of President Trump's policies on the cryptocurrency industry or the broader economy.

值得注意的是，该分析基于技术价格走势，并未考虑可能影响 BTC 价格的其他因素。例如，该分析没有考虑特朗普总统的政策对加密货币行业或更广泛经济的影响。