比特幣 (BTC) 價格接近歷史新高：84,000 美元目標即將到來，減半週期理論正在發揮作用

比特幣的交易價格接近歷史高點，分析師期待突破該水平的可能性。

Bitcoin is currently trading at $72,144 which marks a 0.85% decrease following yesterday’s peak at $72,850.

比特幣目前交易價格為 72,144 美元，較昨天的峰值 72,850 美元下跌了 0.85%。

The 9-day moving average is at $69,247.27 which is higher than the 21-day moving average of $66,179.88, confirming a bullish outlook.

9 日移動平均線位於 69,247.27 美元，高於 21 日移動平均線 66,179.88 美元，證實了看漲前景。

This particular arrangement of moving average coupled with a recent crossover indicator implies that Bitcoin has good upside momentum.

這種移動平均線的特殊排列加上最近的交叉指標意味著比特幣具有良好的上漲動力。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 66.69 and it is close to the overbought level of 70, therefore suggesting a strong buying signal. However, the RSI approaching 70 could signal potential overbought conditions, which often lead to short-term corrections.

相對強弱指數（RSI）為66.69，接近超買水準70，因此暗示強烈的買進訊號。然而，RSI 接近 70 可能預示著潛在的超買狀況，這通常會導致短期修正。

Some technical analysts have put a spotlight on $72,850 that, if breached, will signify additional upside momentum.

一些技術分析師將注意力集中在 72,850 美元，如果突破該水平，將意味著額外的上漲動力。

However, the 9-day moving average near $69,000 gives short-term support showing solid ground for an upward trajectory. When it comes to the RSI the chart itself shows a bullish trend on Bitcoin but we can see that the RSI is overbought.

然而，接近 69,000 美元的 9 日移動平均線提供了短期支撐，為上行軌跡奠定了堅實的基礎。當談到 RSI 時，圖表本身顯示了比特幣的看漲趨勢，但我們可以看到 RSI 已超買。

Bitcoin’s Next Level: $84,000 Target and Halving Cycle Theory

比特幣的下一個水準：84,000 美元目標和減半週期理論

According to CryptoQuant analyst Julio Moreno, Bitcoin is approaching ATH and he estimates it the next level of $84000 based on the on-chain realization price band.

CryptoQuant 分析師 Julio Moreno 表示，比特幣正在接近 ATH，他根據鏈上實現價格區間估計其下一個水準為 84,000 美元。

Moreno shared the above observations in his post on X, suggesting that price history and on-chain data were the two key factors behind this.

Moreno 在 X 的貼文中分享了上述觀察，表明價格歷史和鏈上數據是背後的兩個關鍵因素。

This target is the high resistance for many long-term Bitcoin holders since on-chain data indicates increased participation by institutions and individual investors.

對於許多長期比特幣持有者來說，這一目標存在很大阻力，因為鏈上數據表明機構和個人投資者的參與度增加。

Another analyst discusses “The Halving Cycles Theory” As it stands this expected cycle corresponds with Bitcoin approaching the ATH, supporting the argument that the coming months can propel BTC to even greater heights.

另一位分析師討論了“減半週期理論”，就目前情況來看，這一預期週期與比特幣接近 ATH 相對應，支持了未來幾個月可以將 BTC 推向更高高度的論點。

The Halving Cycle Theory is probably one of the best-known events that are traditionally associated with the increased scarcity and, consequently, the growth of prices. As Bitcoin’s block rewards decrease, many expect a supply shock that could further drive prices.

減半週期理論可能是最著名的事件之一，傳統上與稀缺性增加以及價格上漲有關。隨著比特幣區塊獎勵的減少，許多人預計供應衝擊可能會進一步推高價格。

Long-Term Projections: Could Bitcoin Reach $133,000?

長期預測：比特幣能否達到 133,000 美元？

Tony “the Bull” on X goes ahead to predict that Bitcoin’s 2M (two-month) RSI is nearing 70 as an indicator of a strong market for Bitcoin.

X 上的東尼「公牛」繼續預測，比特幣的 2M（兩個月）RSI 接近 70，這是比特幣市場強勁的指標。

According to this pattern, he sees this move potentially rising 87% from current levels and getting Bitcoin to around $133,000.

根據這一模式，他認為這一舉措可能會比當前水準上漲 87%，並使比特幣價格達到 133,000 美元左右。

This prediction is based on prior cycles because with each surge of BTC’s price, the value that it garners has been decreasing. TonythebullBTC says that previous cycles led to an ROI of 11000%, 2700%, and 437% meaning that the 20% ROI of the last cycle could bring Bitcoin close to $133,000.

這項預測是基於先前的周期，因為隨著比特幣價格的每次上漲，它所獲得的價值都在下降。 TonythebullBTC 表示，先前幾個週期的投資回報率分別為 11000%、2700% 和 437%，這意味著上一個週期 20% 的投資回報率可能會讓比特幣接近 133,000 美元。

While speculative, this target aligns with the theory that Bitcoin’s ROI shrinks with market maturity but still allows for substantial gains.

儘管具有投機性，但該目標與比特幣的投資回報率隨著市場成熟度而下降但仍可帶來可觀收益的理論相一致。