比特币 (BTC) 价格接近历史新高：84,000 美元目标即将到来，减半周期理论正在发挥作用

比特币的交易价格接近历史高点，分析师期待突破该水平的可能性。

Bitcoin is currently trading at $72,144 which marks a 0.85% decrease following yesterday’s peak at $72,850.

比特币目前交易价格为 72,144 美元，较昨天的峰值 72,850 美元下跌了 0.85%。

The 9-day moving average is at $69,247.27 which is higher than the 21-day moving average of $66,179.88, confirming a bullish outlook.

9 日移动平均线位于 69,247.27 美元，高于 21 日移动平均线 66,179.88 美元，证实了看涨前景。

This particular arrangement of moving average coupled with a recent crossover indicator implies that Bitcoin has good upside momentum.

这种移动平均线的特殊排列加上最近的交叉指标意味着比特币具有良好的上涨动力。

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 66.69 and it is close to the overbought level of 70, therefore suggesting a strong buying signal. However, the RSI approaching 70 could signal potential overbought conditions, which often lead to short-term corrections.

相对强弱指数（RSI）为66.69，接近超买水平70，因此暗示强烈的买入信号。然而，RSI 接近 70 可能预示着潜在的超买状况，这通常会导致短期修正。

Some technical analysts have put a spotlight on $72,850 that, if breached, will signify additional upside momentum.

一些技术分析师将注意力集中在 72,850 美元，如果突破该水平，将意味着额外的上涨动力。

However, the 9-day moving average near $69,000 gives short-term support showing solid ground for an upward trajectory. When it comes to the RSI the chart itself shows a bullish trend on Bitcoin but we can see that the RSI is overbought.

然而，接近 69,000 美元的 9 日移动平均线提供了短期支撑，为上行轨迹奠定了坚实的基础。当谈到 RSI 时，图表本身显示了比特币的看涨趋势，但我们可以看到 RSI 已超买。

Bitcoin’s Next Level: $84,000 Target and Halving Cycle Theory

比特币的下一个水平：84,000 美元目标和减半周期理论

According to CryptoQuant analyst Julio Moreno, Bitcoin is approaching ATH and he estimates it the next level of $84000 based on the on-chain realization price band.

CryptoQuant 分析师 Julio Moreno 表示，比特币正在接近 ATH，他根据链上实现价格区间估计其下一个水平为 84000 美元。

Moreno shared the above observations in his post on X, suggesting that price history and on-chain data were the two key factors behind this.

Moreno 在 X 的帖子中分享了上述观察，表明价格历史和链上数据是背后的两个关键因素。

This target is the high resistance for many long-term Bitcoin holders since on-chain data indicates increased participation by institutions and individual investors.

对于许多长期比特币持有者来说，这一目标存在很大阻力，因为链上数据表明机构和个人投资者的参与度有所增加。

Another analyst discusses “The Halving Cycles Theory” As it stands this expected cycle corresponds with Bitcoin approaching the ATH, supporting the argument that the coming months can propel BTC to even greater heights.

另一位分析师讨论了“减半周期理论”，就目前情况来看，这一预期周期与比特币接近 ATH 相对应，支持了未来几个月可以将 BTC 推向更高高度的论点。

The Halving Cycle Theory is probably one of the best-known events that are traditionally associated with the increased scarcity and, consequently, the growth of prices. As Bitcoin’s block rewards decrease, many expect a supply shock that could further drive prices.

减半周期理论可能是最著名的事件之一，传统上与​​稀缺性增加以及价格上涨相关。随着比特币区块奖励的减少，许多人预计供应冲击可能会进一步推高价格。

Long-Term Projections: Could Bitcoin Reach $133,000?

长期预测：比特币能否达到 133,000 美元？

Tony “the Bull” on X goes ahead to predict that Bitcoin’s 2M (two-month) RSI is nearing 70 as an indicator of a strong market for Bitcoin.

X 上的托尼“公牛”继续预测，比特币的 2M（两个月）RSI 接近 70，这是比特币市场强劲的指标。

According to this pattern, he sees this move potentially rising 87% from current levels and getting Bitcoin to around $133,000.

根据这一模式，他认为这一举措可能会比当前水平上涨 87%，并使比特币价格达到 133,000 美元左右。

This prediction is based on prior cycles because with each surge of BTC’s price, the value that it garners has been decreasing. TonythebullBTC says that previous cycles led to an ROI of 11000%, 2700%, and 437% meaning that the 20% ROI of the last cycle could bring Bitcoin close to $133,000.

这一预测是基于之前的周期，因为随着比特币价格的每次上涨，它所获得的价值都在下降。 TonythebullBTC 表示，之前几个周期的投资回报率分别为 11000%、2700% 和 437%，这意味着上一个周期 20% 的投资回报率可能会让比特币接近 133,000 美元。

While speculative, this target aligns with the theory that Bitcoin’s ROI shrinks with market maturity but still allows for substantial gains.

虽然具有投机性，但这一目标与比特币的投资回报率随着市场成熟度而下降但仍可带来可观收益的理论相一致。