比特幣（BTC）價格動作徘徊在$ 95,000以下，分析師辯論公牛和熊案

比特幣（BTC）在1月11日看到了明顯的波動性，在美國最近的就業數據“看跌過度反應”之後，徘徊在95,000美元以下。

Bitcoin (BTC) price hovered around $95,000 on January 11, following a “bearish overreaction” to recent US employment data. The cryptocurrency experienced a rollercoaster ride during the final Wall Street trading session, driven by mixed market reactions to the data, which initially caused a drop towards $92,000 before Bitcoin staged a $2,000 rally.

在美國最近的就業數據“看跌過度反應”之後，比特幣（BTC）的價格在1月11日徘徊在95,000美元左右。加密貨幣在最後的華爾街交易會議上經歷了過山車的騎行，這是由於對數據的混合反應而驅動的，最初在比特幣進行了2,000美元的集會之前，這導致了92,000美元的下降。

Bitcoin price faced bearish overreaction after US employment data

美國就業數據後，比特幣價格面臨看跌過度反應

According to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView, Bitcoin dipped towards $92,000 after the US employment data was released, only to rebound sharply with a $2,000 hourly candle, reaching new local highs. However, Bitcoin quickly consolidated, returning to familiar short-term ranges.

根據CoIntelegraph Markets Pro和Tradingview的數據，在發布美國就業數據後，比特幣跌至92,000美元，只是用2,000美元的小時蠟燭急劇反彈，達到了新的本地高點。但是，比特幣迅速合併，返回熟悉的短期範圍。

While the data led to a market-wide sell-off, many analysts suggest that the reaction may have been an overreaction. Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, shared on social media that the strong employment report could actually signal a longer bull run for Bitcoin. Despite initial bearish sentiment, Edwards believes that strong jobs data gives the Federal Reserve more flexibility to keep interest rates higher for longer, which could ultimately benefit risk assets like Bitcoin.

儘管數據導致了整個市場的拋售，但許多分析師表明，這種反應可能是一種過度反應。 Capriole Investments的創始人查爾斯·愛德華茲（Charles Edwards）在社交媒體上分享說，強大的就業報告實際上表明比特幣的公牛跑步更長。儘管最初的看跌情緒，愛德華茲（Edwards）認為，強大的就業數據使美聯儲更具靈活性，以使更長的利率更高，這最終可能會使像比特幣這樣的風險資產受益。

Broader market context: US employment data and investor expectations

更廣泛的市場環境：美國就業數據和投資者期望

The broader market took a hit as investors adjusted expectations regarding US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2025. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index both saw declines of approximately 1.5% on January 10, influenced by a tightening monetary policy outlook.

隨著投資者對2025年美國美聯儲降低利率的期望調整了期望。標準普爾500指數和納斯達克綜合指數在1月10日下降了約1.5％，受到貨幣政策的收緊影響，標準普爾500標準普爾500和納斯達克綜合指數大約下降了約1.5％。

Edwards pointed out that the latest employment data was the strongest in six months, alleviating fears of a potential bottoming in unemployment. He compared the current market dynamics to the aftermath of the March 2020 COVID-19 crash, where a sharp correction was followed by a significant rebound. He highlighted that, although the short-term reaction seemed bearish, the long-term implications could favor bulls as the economic data gives the Fed room to maintain high rates, supporting risk assets like Bitcoin.

愛德華茲指出，最新的就業數據是六個月來最強的，這減輕了人們對失業率潛在底層的擔憂。他將當前的市場動態與2020年3月Covid-19崩潰的後果進行了比較，在那裡，急切的糾正措施進行了重大反彈。他強調，儘管短期反應似乎是看跌，但由於經濟數據為維持高利率的房間提供了較高的餘地，但長期的影響可能會有利於公牛，從而支持像比特幣這樣的風險資產。

Shifting sentiment and Bitcoin’s critical support levels

轉移情感和比特幣的關鍵支持水平

Other analysts are watching Bitcoin’s next moves closely. Crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe suggested that the initial response to the employment data has already been priced in, and an upward trend for Bitcoin could be expected in the coming days, especially with low odds of a rate cut at the Fed’s upcoming meeting.

其他分析師正在密切觀看比特幣的下一個動作。加密交易者MichaëlVande Poppe建議，對就業數據的最初響應已經被定價，並且在未來幾天可能會預計比特幣的上升趨勢，尤其是在美聯儲即將舉行的會議上降低稅率的低頻。

However, not all analysts are optimistic. Popular analytics account Bitcoindata21 warned that if Bitcoin falls below $90,000, it could signal deeper market weakness, potentially dragging the crypto market down by 5-10%. If this happens, a strong recovery will be crucial to avoid a prolonged downtrend.

但是，並非所有分析師都樂觀。受歡迎的分析帳戶BitCoindata21警告說，如果比特幣低於90,000美元，它可能會表明更深的市場疲軟，可能會使加密貨幣市場下降5-10％。如果發生這種情況，強大的恢復對於避免長時間的下降趨勢至關重要。

Bitcoin RSI and market strength

比特幣RSI和市場實力

The relative strength index (RSI) for Bitcoin and the overall crypto market is showing signs of stress. Bitcoin’s RSI on the 1-hour chart has been fluctuating, while on the weekly chart, the total crypto market cap is approaching trend channel support. This suggests that Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are testing critical support levels, and investors should watch for signs of a recovery or further downside in the coming days.

比特幣和整體加密市場的相對強度指數（RSI）顯示出壓力的跡象。比特幣在1小時圖表上的RSI一直在波動，而在每週圖表上，總加密市值正在接近趨勢渠道的支持。這表明比特幣和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場正在測試關鍵支持水平，投資者應注意未來幾天恢復或進一步的跡象。