比特币（BTC）价格动作徘徊在$ 95,000以下，分析师辩论公牛和熊案

比特币（BTC）在1月11日看到了明显的波动性，在美国最近的就业数据“看跌过度反应”之后，徘徊在95,000美元以下。

Bitcoin (BTC) price hovered around $95,000 on January 11, following a “bearish overreaction” to recent US employment data. The cryptocurrency experienced a rollercoaster ride during the final Wall Street trading session, driven by mixed market reactions to the data, which initially caused a drop towards $92,000 before Bitcoin staged a $2,000 rally.

在美国最近的就业数据“看跌过度反应”之后，比特币（BTC）的价格在1月11日徘徊在95,000美元左右。加密货币在最后的华尔街交易会议上经历了过山车的骑行，这是由于对数据的混合反应而驱动的，最初在比特币进行了2,000美元的集会之前，这导致了92,000美元的下降。

Bitcoin price faced bearish overreaction after US employment data

美国就业数据后，比特币价格面临看跌过度反应

According to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView, Bitcoin dipped towards $92,000 after the US employment data was released, only to rebound sharply with a $2,000 hourly candle, reaching new local highs. However, Bitcoin quickly consolidated, returning to familiar short-term ranges.

根据CoIntelegraph Markets Pro和Tradingview的数据，在发布美国就业数据后，比特币跌至92,000美元，只是用2,000美元的每小时蜡烛急剧反弹，达到了新的本地高点。但是，比特币迅速合并，返回熟悉的短期范围。

While the data led to a market-wide sell-off, many analysts suggest that the reaction may have been an overreaction. Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, shared on social media that the strong employment report could actually signal a longer bull run for Bitcoin. Despite initial bearish sentiment, Edwards believes that strong jobs data gives the Federal Reserve more flexibility to keep interest rates higher for longer, which could ultimately benefit risk assets like Bitcoin.

尽管数据导致了整个市场的抛售，但许多分析师表明，这种反应可能是一种过度反应。 Capriole Investments的创始人查尔斯·爱德华兹（Charles Edwards）在社交媒体上分享说，强大的就业报告实际上表明比特币的公牛跑步更长。尽管最初的看跌情绪，爱德华兹（Edwards）认为，强大的就业数据使美联储更具灵活性，以使更长的利率更高，这最终可能会使像比特币这样的风险资产受益。

Broader market context: US employment data and investor expectations

更广泛的市场环境：美国就业数据和投资者期望

The broader market took a hit as investors adjusted expectations regarding US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2025. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index both saw declines of approximately 1.5% on January 10, influenced by a tightening monetary policy outlook.

随着投资者对2025年美国美联储降低利率的期望调整了期望。标准普尔500指数和纳斯达克综合指数在1月10日下降了约1.5％，受到货币政策的收紧影响，标准普尔500标准普尔500和纳斯达克综合指数大约下降了约1.5％。

Edwards pointed out that the latest employment data was the strongest in six months, alleviating fears of a potential bottoming in unemployment. He compared the current market dynamics to the aftermath of the March 2020 COVID-19 crash, where a sharp correction was followed by a significant rebound. He highlighted that, although the short-term reaction seemed bearish, the long-term implications could favor bulls as the economic data gives the Fed room to maintain high rates, supporting risk assets like Bitcoin.

爱德华兹指出，最新的就业数据是六个月来最强的，这减轻了人们对失业率潜在底层的担忧。他将当前的市场动态与2020年3月Covid-19崩溃的后果进行了比较，在那里，急切的纠正措施进行了重大反弹。他强调，尽管短期反应似乎是看跌，但由于经济数据为维持高利率的房间提供了较高的余地，但长期的影响可能会有利于公牛，从而支持像比特币这样的风险资产。

Shifting sentiment and Bitcoin’s critical support levels

转移情感和比特币的关键支持水平

Other analysts are watching Bitcoin’s next moves closely. Crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe suggested that the initial response to the employment data has already been priced in, and an upward trend for Bitcoin could be expected in the coming days, especially with low odds of a rate cut at the Fed’s upcoming meeting.

其他分析师正在密切观看比特币的下一个动作。加密交易者MichaëlVande Poppe建议，对就业数据的最初响应已经被定价，并且在未来几天可能会预计比特币的上升趋势，尤其是在美联储即将举行的会议上降低税率的低频。

However, not all analysts are optimistic. Popular analytics account Bitcoindata21 warned that if Bitcoin falls below $90,000, it could signal deeper market weakness, potentially dragging the crypto market down by 5-10%. If this happens, a strong recovery will be crucial to avoid a prolonged downtrend.

但是，并非所有分析师都乐观。受欢迎的分析帐户BitCoindata21警告说，如果比特币低于90,000美元，它可能会表明更深的市场疲软，可能会使加密货币市场下降5-10％。如果发生这种情况，强大的恢复对于避免长时间的下降趋势至关重要。

Bitcoin RSI and market strength

比特币RSI和市场实力

The relative strength index (RSI) for Bitcoin and the overall crypto market is showing signs of stress. Bitcoin’s RSI on the 1-hour chart has been fluctuating, while on the weekly chart, the total crypto market cap is approaching trend channel support. This suggests that Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are testing critical support levels, and investors should watch for signs of a recovery or further downside in the coming days.

比特币和整体加密市场的相对强度指数（RSI）显示出压力的迹象。比特币在1小时图表上的RSI一直在波动，而在每周图表上，总加密市值正在接近趋势渠道的支持。这表明比特币和更广泛的加密货币市场正在测试关键支持水平，投资者应注意未来几天恢复或进一步的迹象。