比特幣（BTC）和納斯達克都被錘擊，日元（JPY）飆升

這種市場行動看起來很像8月初發生的事情，這引發了一個問題，即我們是否會看到類似的結果。從歷史上看，低收益的日元一直是全球資產價格支持的來源，因此，它最近的躍升可能是最新的風險規避浪潮擊中加密貨幣和股票市場。摩根·魯西（Morgan Routhier）。

Nasdaq and Bitcoin (BTC) suffered setbacks in recent weeks as Japanese government bond yields rose and the Japanese yen (JPY), a preferred safe haven currency, gained value. This market activity closely resembles what occurred in early August, sparking interest in whether a similar outcome is on the horizon.

納斯達克和比特幣（BTC）在最近幾周遭受了挫折，因為日本政府債券收益率上升，日元（JPY）（一種首選的避風港貨幣）獲得了價值。這種市場活動與8月初發生的事情非常相似，這引起了人們對是否出現類似結果的興趣。

Historically, the low-yielding yen has provided support for global asset prices. Its recent surge could be a factor in the latest wave of risk aversion affecting both crypto and stock markets.

從歷史上看，低收益的日元為全球資產價格提供了支持。它最近的激增可能是影響加密和股票市場的最新風險規避浪潮的一個因素。

Yen Rally ‘Too Far, Too Fast’

日元集會“太遠，太快”

However, the yen’s bullish run might be reaching its peak. Data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTTC), tracked by MacroMicro, reveals that bets on the yen (speculative long positions) reached a record high last week.

但是，日元的看漲奔跑可能正在達到頂峰。 Macromicro跟踪的商品期貨交易委員會（CFTTC）的數據表明，上週對日元（投機性長位）的賭注達到了創紀錄的高度。

Usually, when traders heavily favor one side of a trade, it sets the stage for a reversal. As traders begin closing out these crowded positions, it can lead to a rapid decline in the asset's price.

通常，當交易者極大地支持交易的一方面時，它為逆轉奠定了基礎。隨著交易者開始結束這些擁擠的職位，這可能導致資產價格迅速下降。

This suggests that the yen’s upward climb might be slowing down, which could be beneficial for riskier assets like Bitcoin and the Nasdaq. Morgan Stanley's G10 FX Strategy team also hinted at this possibility on Friday, advising against expecting further gains in the yen.

這表明日元的上升攀登可能會放慢速度，這可能對比特幣和納斯達克等風險的資產有益。摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）的G10 FX戰略團隊還暗示了這一可能性，建議不要預期日元。

They highlighted the "stretched" bets on the yen and strong interest from Japanese investors to buy on dips in the yen as key factors.

他們強調了日元對日元的“伸展”賭注，日元投資者對日元的傾銷購買作為關鍵因素。

The team explained that many Japanese investors utilize the Nippon Individual Savings Account (NISA) to purchase foreign assets when markets become unstable, which can mitigate the pace of the yen's rise. Additionally, Japan's public pension system tends to respond to market trends by selling yen-denominated assets when the yen becomes too strong.

該小組解釋說，許多日本投資者利用日本個人儲蓄帳戶（NISA）在市場變得不穩定時購買外國資產，這可以減輕日元的增長。此外，日元變得太強大時，日本的公共養老金制度傾向於通過出售日元計數的資產來響應市場趨勢。

"Indeed, such a scenario occurred last August following a sharp appreciation of the JPY and a pronounced sell-off in equities," strategists remarked.

戰略家說：“確實，這種情況發生在去年八月，在對JPY的敏銳欣賞和股票中明顯的拋售之後，發生了這種情況。”

If history repeats itself, we could see Nasdaq and Bitcoin rebounding as traders pivot out of the yen and back into risk assets.

如果歷史重演，我們可以看到納斯達克和比特幣反彈，因為交易員從日元中轉移到風險資產中。

As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $80,945.10, showing a minor decrease of 0.41% in the past 24 hours. However, there's a significant increase in trading volume, up 50.78% to $60 billion, indicating more activity in the market.

截至目前，比特幣的交易價格為80,945.10美元，在過去24小時內略有下降0.41％。但是，交易量的增長顯著增加，增長了50.78％，達到600億美元，這表明市場上的活動更多。

Technical Analysis Hints at Potential Bitcoin Bounce

技術分析暗示潛在的比特幣反彈

The Bollinger Bands (BB) indicate that Bitcoin is testing the lower band, which could suggest oversold conditions for the asset. The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), currently around $87.7K, might act as resistance if BTC attempts a rebound.

布林樂隊（BB）表明比特幣正在測試下部頻段，這可能表明資產的超售條件。如果BTC嘗試反彈，目前約為87.7萬美元的20天指數移動平均值（EMA）可能是阻力。

If Bitcoin breaks decisively above this EMA, it could pave the way for a move towards the upper Bollinger Band limit, which is around $99.5K.

如果比特幣果斷地超過此EMA，它可能為朝上Bollinger Band Limit限制的道路鋪平了道路，該限額約為99.5萬美元。

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本文提供的信息僅用於信息和教育目的。本文不構成任何形式的財務建議或建議。加密貨幣新聞對由於提到的內容，產品或服務的利用而導致的任何損失概不負責。建議讀者在採取與公司相關的任何行動之前謹慎行事。